Super League
· Regular Season - 1
August 22, 2026 19:00
B. Varga
(ast. R. Marin)
11'
L. Jovic
(ast. S. Pilios)
19'
L. Jovic
(ast. R. Marin)
49'
Zini
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Iraklis 1908 28%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 4–0 Iraklis 1908.
Match statistics
11
Shots on target
1
2.06
Actual xG
0.38
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
2
Match Events
⚽B. Varga
· ast. R. Marin
11'
⚽L. Jovic
· ast. S. Pilios
19'
46'
E. Koljic
/
K. Kushta
46'
C. Rodriguez
/
K. Kaiboue
46'
Nanu
/
R. Nizet
⚽L. Jovic
· ast. R. Marin
49'
54'
57'
P. Marques
/
I. Lopez
M. Vitalis
58'
O. Zubkov
/ L. Majer
63'
L. Jovic
/ Zini
63'
R. Marin
/ K. Kairinen
72'
B. Varga
/ D. Kutesa
72'
⚽Zini
75'
M. Gacinovic
/ P. Mantalos
79'
81'
Vitor Meer
/
Pina
Pre-match prediction
42.35%
AEK ←
29.55%
X
28.1%
Iraklis
we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC)
42.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
2.06
+0.61
2.38
0.38
-2.0
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 4–0 Iraklis 1908.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?
The model assigned 42% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Iraklis 1908 win.