Super League
· Championship Group - 6
May 17, 2026 18:30
A. Koita
(ast. L. Rota)
72'
41'
(ast. D. Podence)
Rodinei
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Olympiakos Piraeus 24%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
0.78
Actual xG
0.62
4
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
4
Corners
3
20
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
L. Jovic
27'
41'
ast. D. Podence ·
Rodinei⚽
H. Moukoudi
43'
45'
D. Podence
R. Pereyra
/ B. Varga
51'
56'
G. Martins
/
D. Podence
56'
S. Hezze
/
D. Garcia
Zini
/ D. Kutesa
65'
O. Pineda
/ Joao Mario
65'
68'
Rodinei
⚽A. Koita
· ast. L. Rota
72'
72'
M. Taremi
/
A. El Kaabi
74'
L. Pirola
79'
G. Biancone
/
Costinha
80'
Andre Luiz
/
L. Scipioni
L. Jovic
/ R. Ljubicic
90'+3
L. Rota
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.0%
AEK
29.77%
X ←
24.23%
Olympiakos
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
0.78
-0.93
1.06
0.62
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
91
Alberto Brignoli
G
Alberto Brignoli
G
3
Stavros Pilios
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
H. Moukoudi
D
H. Moukoudi
D
12
L. Rota
1 👟
D
L. Rota
1 👟
D
37
Roberto Pereyra
51'
M
Roberto Pereyra
51'
M
13
Orbelín Pineda
65'
M
Orbelín Pineda
65'
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
11
A. Koita
1 ⚽
M
A. Koita
1 ⚽
M
90
Zini
65'
F
Zini
65'
F
9
L. Jović
89'
F
L. Jović
89'
F
Bench
81
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
25
B. Varga
39'
F
B. Varga
39'
F
7
D. Kutesa
25'
M
D. Kutesa
25'
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
80
Hakim Sahabo
M
Hakim Sahabo
M
29
James Penrice
D
James Penrice
D
10
João Mário
25'
M
João Mário
25'
M
4
Marko Grujić
M
Marko Grujić
M
15
Martin Georgiev
D
19
N. Eliasson
M
N. Eliasson
M
20
P. Mantalos
M
P. Mantalos
M
23
Robert Ljubičić
1'
M
Robert Ljubičić
1'
M
88
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
3
Francisco Ortega
D
Francisco Ortega
D
5
Lorenzo Pirola
D
Lorenzo Pirola
D
45
Panagiotis Retsos
D
Panagiotis Retsos
D
20
Costinha
79'
D
Costinha
79'
D
14
Dani García
56'
M
Dani García
56'
M
16
Lorenzo Scipioni
80'
M
Lorenzo Scipioni
80'
M
56
Daniel Podence
1 👟
56'
M
Daniel Podence
1 👟
56'
M
22
Chiquinho
M
Chiquinho
M
23
Rodinei
1 ⚽
M
Rodinei
1 ⚽
M
9
Ayoub El Kaabi
72'
F
Ayoub El Kaabi
72'
F
Bench
1
Alexandros Paschalakis
G
Alexandros Paschalakis
G
6
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
D
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
D
17
André Luiz
10'
F
André Luiz
10'
F
67
Argyrios Liatsikouras
M
Argyrios Liatsikouras
M
96
Christos Mouzakitis
M
Christos Mouzakitis
M
8
Diogo Nascimento
M
Diogo Nascimento
M
10
Gelson Martins
34'
M
Gelson Martins
34'
M
61
Georgios Kouraklis
G
Georgios Kouraklis
G
4
Giulian Biancone
11'
D
Giulian Biancone
11'
D
99
M. Taremi
18'
F
M. Taremi
18'
F
21
Rúben Vezo
D
Rúben Vezo
D
32
Santiago Hezze
34'
M
Santiago Hezze
34'
M
Best on the pitch
Rodinei
M · Olympiakos
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Ayoub El Kaabi
F · Olympiakos
7.20
2 shots
· 18 pass
L. Rota
D · AEK
7.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
R. Marin
M · AEK
7.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
A. Koita
M · AEK
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
B. Varga
F · AEK
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Brignoli | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Stavros Pilios | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Moukoudi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Zini | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Varga | F | 39 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Kutesa | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Ljubičić | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Ortega | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 7 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Pirola | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Panagiotis Retsos | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Dani García | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Scipioni | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Podence | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Rodinei | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Ayoub El Kaabi | F | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| André Luiz | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Giulian Biancone | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Taremi | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Hezze | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model assigned 46% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Olympiakos Piraeus win.