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Super League · Championship Group - 4 May 10, 2026 18:30
AEK Athens FC
#4 · 7 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Panathinaikos
#1 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AEK Athens FC
Zini 72'
Joao Mario 90'+3
62' A. Tetteh
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Panathinaikos 16%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Panathinaikos.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
2.16
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
1
14
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
H. Moukoudi
18'
F. Relvas
34'
42'
D. Calabria
45'+1
61'
A. Tetteh
62'
A. Tetteh⚽
T. Strakosha
64'
↕ R. Pereyra / Zini
66'
⚽Zini
72'
73'
A. Zaroury / P. Pantelidis ↕
74'
M. Siopis / S. Kontouris ↕
79'
A. Jagusic / S. Andino ↕
84'
M. Pantovic / A. Tetteh ↕
84'
F. Djuricic / V. Taborda ↕
O. Pineda
85'
↕ R. Marin / Joao Mario
86'
↕ A. Koita / P. Mantalos
86'
⚽Joao Mario
90'+3
↕ L. Jovic / R. Ljubicic
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
59.38%
AEK ←
24.57%
X
16.05%
Panathinaikos
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC) 59.38% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AEK
2.10
2.16
+0.06
Panathinaikos
1.04
0.45
-0.59
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3 9
2 Panetolikos Panetolikos 3 9
3 OFI OFI 4 9
4 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 7
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 4 7
6 PAOK PAOK 3 6
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 3 6
8 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 4 5
9 Atromitos Atromitos 4 2
10 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3 2
11 Kalamata Kalamata 3 1
12 Kifisia Kifisia 3 1
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3 0
14 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3 0
Lineups
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha T. Strakosha G 6.90
3 S. Pilios S. Pilios D 6.90
44 Filipe Relvas Filipe Relvas D 7.00
2 H. Moukoudi H. Moukoudi D 6.90
12 L. Rota L. Rota D 6.90
37 Roberto Pereyra Roberto Pereyra 66' M 6.90
18 R. Marin R. Marin 86' M 6.90
13 O. Pineda O. Pineda M 7.50
11 A. Koita A. Koita 86' M 6.20
9 L. Jović L. Jović F 7.30
25 B. Varga B. Varga F 7.30
Bench
91 A. Brignoli A. Brignoli G
81 Angelos Angelopoulos Angelos Angelopoulos G
7 Dereck Kutesa Dereck Kutesa M
21 D. Vida D. Vida D
10 João Mário João Mário 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.30
29 J. Penrice J. Penrice D
4
M. Grujić M
15 M. Todorski M. Todorski D
19 N. Eliasson N. Eliasson M
20 P. Mantalos P. Mantalos 12' M 6.90
23 R. Ljubičić R. Ljubičić 2' M
90 Zini Zini 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.60
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-4-2
40 A. Lafont A. Lafont G 7.60
77 G. Kiriakopoulos G. Kiriakopoulos D 6.50
5 A. Touba A. Touba D 7.00
14 E. Palmer-Brown E. Palmer-Brown D 6.50
2 D. Calabria D. Calabria D 6.50
10 Santino Andino Santino Andino 79' M 6.20
16
Adam Gnezda Čerin M 7.20
18 S. Kontouris S. Kontouris 74' M 6.90
23 Pavlos Pantelidis Pavlos Pantelidis 73' M 6.20
20 V. Taborda V. Taborda 84' F 7.00
7 A. Tetteh A. Tetteh 1 ⚽ 84' F 6.70
Bench
88 Adriano Jagušić Adriano Jagušić 19' M 6.30
9 Anass Zaroury Anass Zaroury 25' F 6.50
31
Filip Đuričić 14' M 6.50
27 G. Kotsiras G. Kotsiras D
70 K. Kotsaris K. Kotsaris G
19 K. Świderski K. Świderski F
12 L. Chaves L. Chaves G
72 Miloš Pantović Miloš Pantović 14' M 6.20
6 M. Siopis M. Siopis 24' M 6.60
4 Pedro Chirivella Pedro Chirivella M
52 T. Vilhena T. Vilhena M
Best on the pitch
Zini
Zini
F · AEK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
A. Lafont
A. Lafont
G · Panathinaikos
7.60
· 28 pass
O. Pineda
O. Pineda
M · AEK
7.50
1 shots · 61 pass
João Mário
João Mário
M · AEK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
B. Varga
B. Varga
F · AEK
7.30
1 shots · 19 pass
L. Jović
L. Jović
F · AEK
7.30
2 shots · 15 pass
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Strakosha G 98 6.90 — — — 26 23% — 1 —
S. Pilios D 98 6.90 — — 2 40 30% 2 — —
Filipe Relvas D 98 7.00 — — 1 66 62% — 1 —
H. Moukoudi D 98 6.90 — — — 55 52% 1 1 —
L. Rota D 98 6.90 — — 1 52 40% 1 — —
Roberto Pereyra M 66 6.90 — — 1 23 14% — — —
R. Marin M 86 6.90 — — 1 45 36% 2 — —
O. Pineda M 98 7.50 — — 1 61 55% 3 1 —
A. Koita M 86 6.20 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
L. Jović F 96 7.30 — — 2 15 10% — — —
B. Varga F 98 7.30 — — 1 19 11% 2 — —
João Mário M 12 7.30 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
P. Mantalos M 12 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
R. Ljubičić M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Zini F 32 7.60 1 — 2 10 7% 2 — —
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lafont G 98 7.60 — — — 28 10% 1 — —
G. Kiriakopoulos D 98 6.50 — — — 41 23% 2 — —
A. Touba D 98 7.00 — — — 26 20% 2 — —
E. Palmer-Brown D 98 6.50 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
D. Calabria D 98 6.50 — — — 24 17% 4 1 —
Santino Andino M 79 6.20 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Adam Gnezda Čerin M 98 7.20 — — 1 39 36% 2 — —
S. Kontouris M 74 6.90 — — 1 23 18% 2 — —
Pavlos Pantelidis M 73 6.20 — — 3 11 8% 1 — —
V. Taborda F 84 7.00 — — — 26 25% — — —
A. Tetteh F 84 6.70 1 — 3 12 7% — 1 —
Adriano Jagušić M 19 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Anass Zaroury F 25 6.50 — — 1 7 4% — — —
Filip Đuričić M 14 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Miloš Pantović M 14 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Siopis M 24 6.60 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
The model assigned 59% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 24% to a draw, and 16% to an Panathinaikos win.