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Super League · Championship Group - 4 May 10, 2026 18:30
AEK Athens FC
#1 · 71 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Panathinaikos
#4 · 51 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AEK Athens FC
Zini 72'
Joao Mario 90'+3
62' A. Tetteh

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Panathinaikos 16%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Panathinaikos.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
2.16
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
1
14
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
H. Moukoudi
18'
F. Relvas
34'
42'
D. Calabria
45'+1
61'
A. Tetteh
62'
A. Tetteh⚽
T. Strakosha
64'
↕ R. Pereyra / Zini
66'
⚽Zini
72'
73'
A. Zaroury / P. Pantelidis ↕
74'
M. Siopis / S. Kontouris ↕
79'
A. Jagusic / S. Andino ↕
84'
M. Pantovic / A. Tetteh ↕
84'
F. Djuricic / V. Taborda ↕
O. Pineda
85'
↕ R. Marin / Joao Mario
86'
↕ A. Koita / P. Mantalos
86'
⚽Joao Mario
90'+3
↕ L. Jovic / R. Ljubicic
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
59.38%
AEK ←
24.57%
X
16.05%
Panathinaikos
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC) 59.38% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AEK
2.10
2.16
+0.06
Panathinaikos
1.04
0.45
-0.59
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
1 Thomas Strakosha Thomas Strakosha G 6.90
3 Stavros Pilios Stavros Pilios D 6.90
44 Filipe Relvas Filipe Relvas D 7.00
2 Harold Moukoudi Harold Moukoudi D 6.90
12 L. Rota L. Rota D 6.90
37 Roberto Pereyra Roberto Pereyra 66' M 6.90
18 R. Marin R. Marin 86' M 6.90
13 Orbelín Pineda Orbelín Pineda M 7.50
11 Aboubakary Koita Aboubakary Koita 86' M 6.20
9 Luka Jović Luka Jović F 7.30
25 Barnabás Varga Barnabás Varga F 7.30
Bench
91 Alberto Brignoli Alberto Brignoli G
81 Angelos Angelopoulos Angelos Angelopoulos G
7 Dereck Kutesa Dereck Kutesa M
21 Domagoj Vida Domagoj Vida D
29 James Penrice James Penrice D
10 João Mário João Mário 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.30
4 Marko Grujić Marko Grujić M
15 Martin Georgiev Martin Georgiev D
19 Niclas Eliasson Niclas Eliasson M
20 Petros Mantalos Petros Mantalos 12' M 6.90
23 Robert Ljubičić Robert Ljubičić 2' M
90 Zini Zini 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.60
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-4-2
40 Alban Lafont Alban Lafont G 7.60
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 6.50
5 Ahmed Touba Ahmed Touba D 7.00
14 Erik Palmer Brown Erik Palmer Brown D 6.50
2 Davide Calabria Davide Calabria D 6.50
10 Santino Andino Santino Andino 79' M 6.20
16 Adam Gnezda Čerin Adam Gnezda Čerin M 7.20
18 Sotiris Kontouris Sotiris Kontouris 74' M 6.90
23 Pavlos Pantelidis Pavlos Pantelidis 73' M 6.20
20 Vicente Taborda Vicente Taborda 84' F 7.00
7 Andreas Tetteh Andreas Tetteh 84' F 6.70
Bench
88 Adriano Jagušić Adriano Jagušić 19' M 6.30
9 Anass Zaroury Anass Zaroury 25' F 6.50
31 Filip Đuričić Filip Đuričić 14' M 6.50
27 Giannis Kotsiras Giannis Kotsiras D
19 Karol Świderski Karol Świderski F
70 Konstantinos Kotsaris Konstantinos Kotsaris G
12 Lucas Cháves Lucas Cháves G
6 Manolis Siopis Manolis Siopis 24' M 6.60
72 Miloš Pantović Miloš Pantović 14' M 6.20
4 Pedro Chirivella Pedro Chirivella M
52 Tonny Vilhena Tonny Vilhena M
Best on the pitch
Zini
Zini
F · AEK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
Alban Lafont
Alban Lafont
G · Panathinaikos
7.60
· 28 pass
Orbelín Pineda
Orbelín Pineda
M · AEK
7.50
1 shots · 61 pass
João Mário
João Mário
M · AEK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Luka Jović
Luka Jović
F · AEK
7.30
2 shots · 15 pass
Barnabás Varga
Barnabás Varga
F · AEK
7.30
1 shots · 19 pass
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomas Strakosha G 98 6.90 — — — 26 23% — 1 —
Stavros Pilios D 98 6.90 — — 2 40 30% 2 — —
Filipe Relvas D 98 7.00 — — 1 66 62% — 1 —
Harold Moukoudi D 98 6.90 — — — 55 52% 1 1 —
L. Rota D 98 6.90 — — 1 52 40% 1 — —
Roberto Pereyra M 66 6.90 — — 1 23 14% — — —
R. Marin M 86 6.90 — — 1 45 36% 2 — —
Orbelín Pineda M 98 7.50 — — 1 61 55% 3 1 —
Aboubakary Koita M 86 6.20 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
Luka Jović F 96 7.30 — — 2 15 10% — — —
Barnabás Varga F 98 7.30 — — 1 19 11% 2 — —
João Mário M 12 7.30 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
Petros Mantalos M 12 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
Robert Ljubičić M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Zini F 32 7.60 1 — 2 10 7% 2 — —
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alban Lafont G 98 7.60 — — — 28 10% 1 — —
Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 98 6.50 — — — 41 23% 2 — —
Ahmed Touba D 98 7.00 — — — 26 20% 2 — —
Erik Palmer Brown D 98 6.50 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
Davide Calabria D 98 6.50 — — — 24 17% 4 1 —
Santino Andino M 79 6.20 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Adam Gnezda Čerin M 98 7.20 — — 1 39 36% 2 — —
Sotiris Kontouris M 74 6.90 — — 1 23 18% 2 — —
Pavlos Pantelidis M 73 6.20 — — 3 11 8% 1 — —
Vicente Taborda F 84 7.00 — — — 26 25% — — —
Andreas Tetteh F 84 6.70 — — 3 12 7% — 1 —
Adriano Jagušić M 19 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Anass Zaroury F 25 6.50 — — 1 7 4% — — —
Filip Đuričić M 14 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Manolis Siopis M 24 6.60 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Miloš Pantović M 14 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
The model assigned 59% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 24% to a draw, and 16% to an Panathinaikos win.