Super League
· Championship Group - 4
May 10, 2026 18:30
✓Model correct — prediction AEK Athens FC
Zini
72'
Joao Mario
90'+3
62'
A. Tetteh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Panathinaikos 16%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Panathinaikos.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
2.16
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
1
14
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
H. Moukoudi
18'
F. Relvas
34'
42'
D. Calabria
45'+1
61'
A. Tetteh
62'
A. Tetteh⚽
T. Strakosha
64'
R. Pereyra
/ Zini
66'
⚽Zini
72'
73'
A. Zaroury
/
P. Pantelidis
74'
M. Siopis
/
S. Kontouris
79'
A. Jagusic
/
S. Andino
84'
M. Pantovic
/
A. Tetteh
84'
F. Djuricic
/
V. Taborda
O. Pineda
85'
R. Marin
/ Joao Mario
86'
A. Koita
/ P. Mantalos
86'
⚽Joao Mario
90'+3
L. Jovic
/ R. Ljubicic
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
59.38%
AEK ←
24.57%
X
16.05%
Panathinaikos
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC)
59.38%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
2.16
+0.06
1.04
0.45
-0.59
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Thomas Strakosha
G
Thomas Strakosha
G
3
Stavros Pilios
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
H. Moukoudi
D
H. Moukoudi
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
37
Roberto Pereyra
66'
M
Roberto Pereyra
66'
M
18
R. Marin
86'
M
R. Marin
86'
M
13
Orbelín Pineda
M
Orbelín Pineda
M
11
A. Koita
86'
M
A. Koita
86'
M
9
L. Jović
F
L. Jović
F
25
B. Varga
F
B. Varga
F
Bench
91
Alberto Brignoli
G
Alberto Brignoli
G
81
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
7
D. Kutesa
M
D. Kutesa
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
29
James Penrice
D
James Penrice
D
10
João Mário
1 ⚽
12'
M
João Mário
1 ⚽
12'
M
4
Marko Grujić
M
Marko Grujić
M
15
Martin Georgiev
D
19
N. Eliasson
M
N. Eliasson
M
20
P. Mantalos
12'
M
P. Mantalos
12'
M
23
R. Ljubičić
2'
M
R. Ljubičić
2'
M
90
Zini
1 ⚽
32'
F
Zini
1 ⚽
32'
F
40
A. Lafont
G
A. Lafont
G
77
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
D
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
D
5
A. Touba
D
A. Touba
D
14
Erik Palmer Brown
D
Erik Palmer Brown
D
2
D. Calabria
D
D. Calabria
D
10
Santino Andino
79'
M
Santino Andino
79'
M
16
Adam Gnezda Čerin
M
Adam Gnezda Čerin
M
18
Sotiris Kontouris
74'
M
Sotiris Kontouris
74'
M
23
P. Pantelidis
73'
M
P. Pantelidis
73'
M
20
Vicente Taborda
84'
F
Vicente Taborda
84'
F
7
A. Tetteh
1 ⚽
84'
F
A. Tetteh
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
88
Adriano Jagušić
19'
M
Adriano Jagušić
19'
M
9
A. Zaroury
25'
F
A. Zaroury
25'
F
31
Filip Đuričić
14'
M
Filip Đuričić
14'
M
27
Giannis Kotsiras
D
Giannis Kotsiras
D
19
Karol Świderski
F
70
Konstantinos Kotsaris
G
Konstantinos Kotsaris
G
12
Lucas Cháves
G
Lucas Cháves
G
72
Miloš Pantović
14'
M
Miloš Pantović
14'
M
6
M. Siopis
24'
M
M. Siopis
24'
M
4
Pedro Chirivella
M
Pedro Chirivella
M
52
T. Vilhena
M
T. Vilhena
M
Best on the pitch
Zini
F · AEK
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
A. Lafont
G · Panathinaikos
7.60
· 28 pass
Orbelín Pineda
M · AEK
7.50
1 shots
· 61 pass
João Mário
M · AEK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
B. Varga
F · AEK
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
L. Jović
F · AEK
7.30
2 shots
· 15 pass
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Strakosha | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Stavros Pilios | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Moukoudi | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Rota | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Koita | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 12 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Mantalos | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Ljubičić | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Zini | F | 32 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Panathinaikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lafont | G | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Touba | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Erik Palmer Brown | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Calabria | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Santino Andino | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Gnezda Čerin | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Sotiris Kontouris | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Pantelidis | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Vicente Taborda | F | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Tetteh | F | 84 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Adriano Jagušić | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Zaroury | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Filip Đuričić | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miloš Pantović | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Siopis | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
The model assigned 59% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 24% to a draw, and 16% to an Panathinaikos win.