Harold Moukoudi
(ast. Petros Mantalos)
4'
Aboubakary Koita
(ast. Milan Vitális)
23'
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
(ast. Aboubakary Koita)
38'
Barnabás Varga
56'
(pen.)
Oleksandr Zubkov
(ast. Llazaros Rota)
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Panetolikos 19%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 5–0 Panetolikos. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Panetolikos.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
8
12
Shots on target
3
3.98
Actual xG
0.31
3
Saves
7
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
3
15
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Harold Moukoudi
· ast. Petros Mantalos
4'
⚽Aboubakary Koita
· ast. Milan Vitális
23'
25'
Kwadwo Opoku
⚽Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
· ast. Aboubakary Koita
38'
45'
Nikola Stajic
45'
Kosta Aleksic
/
Amine Bassi
45'
Vangelis Nikolaou
/
Marvelous Nakamba
51'
Christian Manrique
53'
⚽Barnabás Varga
(pen.)
56'
Kaan Kairinen
/ Răzvan Marin
62'
Barnabás Varga
/ Luka Jovic
63'
Petros Mantalos
/ Dereck Kutesa
63'
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
/ Oleksandr Zubkov
68'
74'
Moussa Djenepo
/
Mateo Mejia
74'
Youssouph Badji
/
Kwadwo Opoku
Stavros Pilios
/ Charalampos Lykogiannis
80'
86'
Elias Olsson
/
Novica Eraković
⚽Oleksandr Zubkov
· ast. Llazaros Rota
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
53.49%
AEK ←
26.52%
X
19.99%
Panetolikos
we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC)
53.49%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
3.98
+2.51
0.36
0.31
-0.05
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (3.98 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
91
A. Brignoli
G
A. Brignoli
G
3
S. Pilios
80'
D
S. Pilios
80'
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
H. Moukoudi
1 ⚽
D
H. Moukoudi
1 ⚽
D
12
L. Rota
1 👟
D
L. Rota
1 👟
D
20
P. Mantalos
1 👟
63'
M
P. Mantalos
1 👟
63'
M
27
M. Vitális
1 👟
M
M. Vitális
1 👟
M
6
K. Kairinen
62'
M
K. Kairinen
62'
M
11
A. Koita
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
A. Koita
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
90
Zini
1 ⚽
68'
F
Zini
1 ⚽
68'
F
19
B. Varga
1 ⚽
63'
F
B. Varga
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
22
C. Lykogiannis
10'
D
C. Lykogiannis
10'
D
17
Dimitrios Kaloskamis
M
Dimitrios Kaloskamis
M
7
D. Kutesa
27'
M
D. Kutesa
27'
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
23
João Mário
M
João Mário
M
16
K. Arriaga
M
K. Arriaga
M
9
L. Jović
27'
F
L. Jović
27'
F
41
Marios Balamotis
G
Marios Balamotis
G
8
M. Gaćinović
M
M. Gaćinović
M
15
M. Todorski
D
M. Todorski
D
10
O. Zubkov
1 ⚽
22'
M
O. Zubkov
1 ⚽
22'
M
18
R. Marin
28'
M
R. Marin
28'
M
23
V. Xenopoulos
G
V. Xenopoulos
G
15
Christian Manrique
D
Christian Manrique
D
49
N. Stajić
D
N. Stajić
D
28
L. Kojić
D
L. Kojić
D
5
A. Prodromitis
D
A. Prodromitis
D
22
Diego Esteban
M
Diego Esteban
M
6
M. Nakamba
45'
M
M. Nakamba
45'
M
44
N. Eraković
86'
M
N. Eraković
86'
M
90
K. Opoku
74'
M
K. Opoku
74'
M
10
A. Bassi
45'
F
A. Bassi
45'
F
9
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
74'
F
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
74'
F
Bench
65
A. Apostolopoulos
D
A. Apostolopoulos
D
19
A. Bregou
M
A. Bregou
M
77
E. Nikolaou
45'
M
E. Nikolaou
45'
M
4
E. Olsson
4'
D
E. Olsson
4'
D
21
E. Papazois
G
E. Papazois
G
14
K. Aleksić
45'
F
K. Aleksić
45'
F
12
M. Djenepo
16'
F
M. Djenepo
16'
F
1
Michalis Pardalos
G
Michalis Pardalos
G
11
S. Soumah
F
S. Soumah
F
Best on the pitch
A. Koita
M · AEK
8.65
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 39 pass
H. Moukoudi
D · AEK
8.35
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
L. Rota
D · AEK
8.16
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
S. Pilios
D · AEK
8.00
· 38 pass
M. Vitális
M · AEK
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 35 pass
Zini
F · AEK
7.80
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 19 pass
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brignoli | G | 90 | 7.36 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Pilios | D | 80 | 8.00 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 7.77 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Moukoudi | D | 90 | 8.35 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 8.16 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Mantalos | M | 63 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Vitális | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kairinen | M | 62 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 90 | 8.65 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Zini | F | 68 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 63 | 7.46 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Lykogiannis | D | 10 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kutesa | M | 27 | 7.19 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 27 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Zubkov | M | 22 | 7.67 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Panetolikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Xenopoulos | G | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Christian Manrique | D | 90 | 5.28 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Stajić | D | 90 | 5.17 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 40% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Kojić | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Prodromitis | D | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Esteban | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Nakamba | M | 45 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Eraković | M | 86 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Opoku | M | 74 | 5.69 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Bassi | F | 45 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita | F | 74 | 5.91 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Nikolaou | M | 45 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Olsson | D | 4 | 5.57 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Aleksić | F | 45 | 6.72 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Djenepo | F | 16 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 5–0 Panetolikos.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Panetolikos win.