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AEK Athens FC - Panserraikos

Cup September 16, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.85%
Win
AEK Athens FC
28.64%
Draw
27.51%
Win
Panserraikos
2.86
Expected xG
0.41

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.44%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 29%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEK Athens FC a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Panserraikos. Expected goals are 2.9 for AEK Athens FC and 0.4 for Panserraikos (total 3.3), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.44% probability. In 2 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Panserraikos.

Season Stats

AEK Athens FC
5W 0D 1L
Panserraikos
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.0
0.3
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
17%
O 2.5
33%
17%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 6 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
AEK Athens FC
2W 0D 1L · at home
Panserraikos
0W 1D 0L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AEK Athens FC Panserraikos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 1.6% 0.3%
1 10.8% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1%
2 15.5% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2%
3 14.8% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2%
4 10.6% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1%
5 6.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

W Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–2
L OFI 0–1
W OFI 2–0
W Ilioupoli 0–1
W Panetolikos 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 59%
L Atromitos 0–1
W Panthrakikos 2–1
D Kavala 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Attack
60
Defence
88
Form
83
Panserraikos Panserraikos
Attack
18
Defence
67
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos?
The model gives AEK Athens FC a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Panserraikos win.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos?
Expected goals: AEK Athens FC 2.9, Panserraikos 0.4 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.44%.