First Division
· Championship Group - 33
May 06, 2026 18:00
R. Bajic
11'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Larnaca a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Apollon Limassol 24%). The final result was AEK Larnaca 1–0 Apollon Limassol. In 5 previous meetings, AEK Larnaca have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Apollon Limassol.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
6
1.09
Actual xG
1.38
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽R. Bajic
11'
G. Ekpolo
26'
V. Roberge
32'
A. Garcia
/ P. Ioannou
38'
44'
D. Escriche
/
L. Markovic
44'
R. Rotis
46'
J. Kvida
/
T. Lam
60'
A. Shikkis
P. Pons
61'
65'
B. Thomas
/
M. Brown
65'
I. Ljubic
/
R. Rotis
G. Naoum
/ Miramon
68'
R. Bajic
/ R. Mudrazija
68'
71'
D. Escriche
P. Ioannou
74'
C. Kyriakou
/ Jimmy Suarez
80'
D. Ivanovic
/ A. Cardero
80'
80'
G. Rodrigues
/
A. Youssef
G. Ekpolo
84'
G. Ekpolo
84'
Miramon
87'
88'
I. Ljubic
Pre-match prediction
48.76%
AEK ←
26.26%
X
24.97%
Apollon
we assigned to the actual result (AEK Larnaca)
48.76%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.09
-0.44
1.00
1.38
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.09 – 1.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
14
Ángel García
D
27
Valentin Roberge
D
15
H. Miličević
D
22
G. Ekpolo
D
25
C. Kyriakou
M
17
Pere Pons
M
9
Đ. Ivanović
M
7
Gus Ledes
M
29
G. Naoum
M
11
R. Bajić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
86
Álex Cardero
M
51
A. Paraskevas
G
21
Miramón
M
2
P. Ioannou
D
32
R. Mudražija
M
R. Mudražija
M
22
P. Kühn
G
14
G. Malekkides
D
4
Z. Adoni
D
3
Thomas Lam
D
26
A. Shikkis
D
86
M
5
M. Brown
M
45
M
80
A. Youssef
M
A. Youssef
M
89
Robertos Rotis
F
50
L. Marković
M
L. Marković
M
Bench
23
Brandon Thomas
M
76
Bruno Gaspar
D
30
Dani Escriche
F
10
Garry Rodrigues
M
77
I. Ljubic
M
44
J. Kvída
D
AEK Larnaca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ángel García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Roberge | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Miličević | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Ekpolo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Kyriakou | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pere Pons | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Đ. Ivanović | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gus Ledes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Naoum | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bajić | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Apollon Limassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kühn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Malekkides | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Adoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Lam | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Shikkis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Brown | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Youssef | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robertos Rotis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Marković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
The final score was AEK Larnaca 1–0 Apollon Limassol.
What did the model predict before AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
The model assigned 48% probability to a AEK Larnaca win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Apollon Limassol win.