Conference League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 18:45

AEK Larnaca

#8 · 12 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Crystal Palace

#10 · 10 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Larnaca a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Crystal Palace 33%). The final result was AEK Larnaca 1–2 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, AEK Larnaca have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

7

0.28

Actual xG

3.18

30%

Possession

70%

1

Corners

10

Pre-match prediction

33.81%

AEK

33.18%

X

33.01%

Crystal ←

we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace) 33.01% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

AEK

1.10

0.28

-0.82

Crystal

0.86

3.18

+2.32

Crystal Palace dominated by xG (3.18 vs 0.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	16
2	Raków Częstochowa	6	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	10
12	Samsunspor	6	10
13	Celje	6	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	10
15	Fiorentina	6	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	8
19	FC Noah	6	8
20	Drita	6	8
21	KuPS	6	7
22	Shkendija	6	7
23	Zrinjski	6	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	7
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC	6	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	6
30	Breidablik	6	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	4
32	BK Hacken	6	3
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	3
34	Shelbourne	6	2
35	Aberdeen	6	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	1