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AFC Emley - Spennymoor Town

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.99%
Win
AFC Emley
29.0%
Draw
28.01%
Win
Spennymoor Town
2.3
Expected xG
0.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.09%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 29%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 57%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Emley a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Spennymoor Town. Expected goals are 2.3 for AFC Emley and 0.9 for Spennymoor Town (total 3.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.09% probability.

Season Stats

AFC Emley
1W 1D 1L
Spennymoor Town
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.2
2.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
25%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
75%
Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ AFC Emley Spennymoor Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.6% 8.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 8.5% 7.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
4 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Bishop Auckland 0–2
D Bishop Auckland 1–1
L Longridge Town 5–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L Barrow 0–2
W Billericay Town 1–0
W Chadderton 3–0
W West Auckland Town 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

AFC Emley AFC Emley
Attack
27
Defence
80
Form
52
Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
Attack
25
Defence
44
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
The model gives AFC Emley a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Spennymoor Town win.
How many goals are expected in AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
Expected goals: AFC Emley 2.3, Spennymoor Town 0.9 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in AFC Emley vs Spennymoor Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.09%.