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AFC Hornchurch - Blackpool

Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 10.8°C 💨 9 km/h · London
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.32%
Win
AFC Hornchurch
24.6%
Draw
17.08%
Win
Blackpool
1.57
Expected xG
0.63
Most likely outcome
AFC Hornchurch
58.32%
Probability
87.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.25%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 25%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 42%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Hornchurch a 58% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Blackpool. Expected goals are 1.6 for AFC Hornchurch and 0.6 for Blackpool (total 2.2), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.25% probability.

Season Stats

AFC Hornchurch
1W 0D 1L
Blackpool
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
—
Shots OT
5.0
—
Corners
5.0
—
Poss.
44%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ AFC Hornchurch Blackpool →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 17.4% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 13.7% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% — —
4 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

W Uxbridge 0–4
L Peterborough Sports 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
L Ipswich 2–1
W Carlisle 4–1
W Scunthorpe 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
Attack
35
Defence
65
Form
57
Blackpool Blackpool
Attack
31
Defence
41
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
The model gives AFC Hornchurch a 58% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 17% for an Blackpool win.
How many goals are expected in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
Expected goals: AFC Hornchurch 1.6, Blackpool 0.6 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.25%.