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AFC Leopards - Mombasa Elite

Premier League November 14, 2026 14:15
AFC Leopards
#3 · 9 pts
vs
Mombasa Elite
#18 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.89%
Win
AFC Leopards
31.87%
Draw
33.24%
Win
Mombasa Elite
0.86
Expected xG
1.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (14.08%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Leopards a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Mombasa Elite. Expected goals are 0.9 for AFC Leopards and 1.8 for Mombasa Elite (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.08% probability.

Season Stats

AFC Leopards
8W 3D 4L
Mombasa Elite
0W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.7
0.7
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
53%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
AFC Leopards
5W 2D 3L · at home
Mombasa Elite
0W 0D 3L · away
0.8
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
2.3
50%
Win %
0%
70%
Win or Draw
0%
40%
O 1.5
100%
30%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
20%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
33%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AFC Leopards Mombasa Elite →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1% 12.6% 11.3% 6.8% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
W Homeboyz 2–0
D Mara Sugar 0–0
D Shabana 0–0
W Kenya Police 1–2
D Bandari 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
L Shabana 2–3
L Migori Youth 2–0
L KCB 3–1
D Kenya Police 0–0
L Mara Sugar 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
Attack
20
Defence
69
Form
46
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
Attack
10
Defence
60
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KCB KCB 6 13
2 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 5 12
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 5 9
4 Shabana Shabana 6 9
5 Kenya Police Kenya Police 5 8
6 3K 3K 5 8
7 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 5 7
8 Tusker Tusker 3 6
9 Police Police 1 1
9 Migori Youth Migori Youth 4 6
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
11 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 5 6
12 Mathare United Mathare United 5 5
13 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 5 5
14 Nairobi United Nairobi United 5 4
15 Bandari Bandari 5 4
16 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4 4
17 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 5 4
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
The model gives AFC Leopards a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Mombasa Elite win.
How many goals are expected in AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
Expected goals: AFC Leopards 0.9, Mombasa Elite 1.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in AFC Leopards vs Mombasa Elite?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.08%.