AFC Malmo - Trelleborg
Ettan - Södra
August 08, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.83%
Win
AFC Malmo
24.53%
Draw
30.64%
Win
Trelleborg
1.49
1.16
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.62%)
1X2 Result
1
45%
X
25%
2
31%
Double Chance
✓ 94.7% hit rate (19 picks)
1X
69%
X2
55%
12
76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
✓ 86.1% hit rate (72 picks)
Over 2.5
62%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (49 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Malmo a 44% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Trelleborg. Expected goals are 1.5 for AFC Malmo and 1.2 for Trelleborg (total 2.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, AFC Malmo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Trelleborg.
Season Stats
8W
4D
3L
9W
6D
0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.3
1.2
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
67%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Ettan - Södra. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
41%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
4W
2D
2L
· at home
5W
2D
0L
· away
1.8
gls/g
2.3
1.4
Conceded
0.6
50%
Win %
71%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
71%
63%
O 2.5
57%
38%
O 3.5
43%
75%
BTTS
43%
13%
Clean Sht
57%
13%
Failed to Score
29%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ AFC Malmo
Trelleborg →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
AFC Malmo
Attack
55
Defence
71
Form
63
Trelleborg
Attack
50
Defence
74
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
11 Apr 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Trelleborg
|
15 | 33 |
| 2 |
AFC Malmo
|
15 | 28 |
| 3 |
Lund
|
15 | 27 |
| 4 |
Atvidabergs FF
|
15 | 26 |
| 5 |
Rosengård
|
15 | 25 |
| 6 |
Hässleholms IF
|
15 | 24 |
| 7 |
Olympic
|
15 | 22 |
| 8 |
Tvååker
|
15 | 22 |
| 9 |
Eskilsminne
|
15 | 20 |
| 10 |
Jonkopings Sodra
|
15 | 18 |
| 11 |
Angelholms FF
|
15 | 17 |
| 12 |
Trollhättan
|
15 | 16 |
| 13 |
Skövde AIK
|
15 | 16 |
| 14 |
Kristianstad
|
15 | 14 |
| 15 |
Laholm
|
15 | 13 |
| 16 |
Utsikten
|
15 | 5 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
The model gives AFC Malmo a 44% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 30% for an Trelleborg win.
How many goals are expected in AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
Expected goals: AFC Malmo 1.5, Trelleborg 1.2 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.62%.