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League One · Regular Season - 12 October 20, 2026 20:45 Plough Lane, Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
#17 · 13 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Mansfield Town
#10 · 18 pts
22' (ast. Stephen McLaughlin) Michael Smith
27' (ast. Stephen McLaughlin) Michael Smith
73' (ast. Michael Smith) Jonathan Russell
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mansfield Town a 41% win probability (draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 27%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Mansfield Town. In 2 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Mansfield Town.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
6
0.48
Actual xG
1.99
3
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
6
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. Stephen McLaughlin · Michael Smith⚽
27'
ast. Stephen McLaughlin · Michael Smith⚽
42'
Adedeji Oshilaja
Andy Yiadom
45'+1
↕ Andy Yiadom / Harry Cornick
45'
45'
Rhys Oates / George Abbott ↕
↕ Callum Maycock / James Tilley
45'
61'
Kyle Knoyle / Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh ↕
Ryan Johnson
69'
73'
ast. Michael Smith · Jonathan Russell⚽
74'
Frazer Blake-Tracy / Stephen McLaughlin ↕
↕ Freddie Simmonds / Ollie Harrison
74'
↕ Zack Nelson / Steven Sessegnon
81'
81'
Regan·Hendry / Liam Thompson ↕
82'
George Maris / Louis Reed ↕
Pre-match prediction
27.59%
AFC
30.45%
X
41.95%
Mansfield ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mansfield Town) 41.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AFC
0.67
0.48
-0.19
Mansfield
1.20
1.99
+0.79
Mansfield Town dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 5-4-1
39 J. Bursik J. Bursik G 5.98
29 A. Sasu A. Sasu D 5.87
3 S. Seddon S. Seddon D 5.72
6 R. Johnson R. Johnson D 5.64
15 F. Simmonds F. Simmonds 74' D 5.82
17 A. Yiadom A. Yiadom 45' D 5.49
21 M. Hippolyte M. Hippolyte M 5.56
12 A. Smith A. Smith M 6.47
10 Z. Nelson Z. Nelson 81' M 6.42
8 C. Maycock C. Maycock 45' M 5.91
9 J. Stockley J. Stockley F 6.21
Bench
23 H. Cornick H. Cornick 45' F 6.86
20 J. McDonnell J. McDonnell G 0.00
7 J. Tilley J. Tilley 45' F 7.15
5 O. Harrison O. Harrison 16' M 6.26
22 R. Horan R. Horan D 0.00
2 S. Sessegnon S. Sessegnon 9' D 6.10
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2
1 L. Roberts L. Roberts G 6.76
5 R. Sweeney R. Sweeney D 7.26
23 A. Oshilaja A. Oshilaja D 6.82
9 J. Bowery J. Bowery D 7.04
25 L. Reed L. Reed 82' M 6.91
3 S. McLaughlin S. McLaughlin 2 👟 74' M 7.94
16 L. Thompson L. Thompson 81' M 6.50
33 G. Abbott G. Abbott 45' M 6.60
22 N. Moriah-Welsh N. Moriah-Welsh 61' M 6.60
13 J. Russell J. Russell 1 ⚽ F 8.20
14 M. Smith M. Smith 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.74
Bench
20 F. Blake-Tracy F. Blake-Tracy 16' D 7.28
10 G. Maris G. Maris 8' M 6.68
2 K. Knoyle K. Knoyle 29' D 7.24
8 L. Bolton L. Bolton D 0.00
24 R. Hendry R. Hendry 9' M 6.86
18 R. Oates R. Oates 45' F 6.34
19 T. Roberts T. Roberts F 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Smith
M. Smith
F · Mansfield
9.74
2 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 29 pass
J. Russell
J. Russell
F · Mansfield
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
S. McLaughlin
S. McLaughlin
M · Mansfield
7.94
2 👟
· 38 pass
F. Blake-Tracy
F. Blake-Tracy
D · Mansfield
7.28
· 8 pass
R. Sweeney
R. Sweeney
D · Mansfield
7.26
· 37 pass
K. Knoyle
K. Knoyle
D · Mansfield
7.24
· 6 pass
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bursik G 90 5.98 — — 0 37 22% 0 — —
A. Sasu D 90 5.87 — — 0 19 14% 1 — —
S. Seddon D 90 5.72 — — 0 67 50% 2 — —
R. Johnson D 90 5.64 — — 1 43 32% 1 1 —
F. Simmonds D 74 5.82 — — 0 20 14% 1 — —
A. Yiadom D 45 5.49 — — 0 13 12% 0 1 —
M. Hippolyte M 90 5.56 — — 2 39 28% 0 — —
A. Smith M 90 6.47 — — 2 44 38% 5 — —
Z. Nelson M 81 6.42 — — 3 40 35% 1 — —
C. Maycock M 45 5.91 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
J. Stockley F 90 6.21 — — 2 13 9% 0 — —
H. Cornick F 45 6.86 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
J. Tilley F 45 7.15 — — 3 21 16% 4 — —
O. Harrison M 16 6.26 — — 0 18 18% 1 — —
S. Sessegnon D 9 6.10 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Roberts G 90 6.76 — — 0 23 12% 0 — —
R. Sweeney D 90 7.26 — — 0 37 30% 1 — —
A. Oshilaja D 90 6.82 — — 0 30 24% 0 1 —
J. Bowery D 90 7.04 — — 0 30 24% 0 — —
L. Reed M 82 6.91 — — 1 43 37% 0 — —
S. McLaughlin M 74 7.94 — 2 0 38 25% 2 — —
L. Thompson M 81 6.50 — — 1 36 28% 0 — —
G. Abbott M 45 6.60 — — 3 12 11% 0 — —
N. Moriah-Welsh M 61 6.60 — — 0 9 6% 5 — —
J. Russell F 90 8.20 1 — 1 33 28% 1 — —
M. Smith F 90 9.74 2 1 6 29 20% 1 — —
F. Blake-Tracy D 16 7.28 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
G. Maris M 8 6.68 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
K. Knoyle D 29 7.24 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
R. Hendry M 9 6.86 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
R. Oates F 45 6.34 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
The final score was AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Mansfield Town.
What did the model predict before AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
The model assigned 27% probability to a AFC Wimbledon win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Mansfield Town win.