AFC Wimbledon - Newport County
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
24.7°C
💨 7 km/h
· London
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.74%
Win
AFC Wimbledon
33.45%
Draw
34.81%
Win
Newport County
0.7
0.99
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.25%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
33%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
68%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Newport County a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for AFC Wimbledon. Expected goals are 0.7 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.0 for Newport County (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.25% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
0W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.5
3.5
Shots OT
3.0
4.5
Corners
1.5
50%
Poss.
31%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ AFC Wimbledon
Newport County →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.5% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
AFC Wimbledon
Attack
23
Defence
71
Form
51
Newport County
Attack
44
Defence
65
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
The model gives AFC Wimbledon a 31% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 34% for an Newport County win.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
Expected goals: AFC Wimbledon 0.7, Newport County 1.0 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.25%.