League One · Regular Season - 44 April 18, 2026 16:00

AFC Wimbledon

#19 · 53 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Plymouth

#8 · 73 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth

A. Smith (ast. J. Tilley) 51'

6' (ast. M. Boateng) A. Mitchell

68' (ast. W. Harding) L. Tolaj

76' (ast. O. Dale) A. Pepple

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 69% win probability (draw 12%, AFC Wimbledon 17%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth. In 1 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Plymouth.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

17

3

Shots on target

9

6

Saves

2

54%

Possession

46%

4

Corners

7

16

Tackles

11

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

6'

ast. M. Boateng · A. Mitchell⚽

24'

L. Tolaj

R. Johnson

24'

45'+3

M. Ross

⚽A. Smith · ast. J. Tilley

51'

55'

B. Wiredu

62'

M. Sorinola / B. Wiredu ↕

62'

A. Pepple / C. Watts ↕

↕ L. Stewart / A. Hackford

65'

68'

ast. W. Harding · L. Tolaj⚽

69'

X. Amaechi / R. Curtis ↕

↕ N. Asiimwe / A. Sasu

71'

↕ J. Reeves / Z. Nelson

71'

S. Seddon

75'

76'

ast. O. Dale · A. Pepple⚽

↕ C. Maycock / O. Foyo

81'

85'

J. Pleguezuelo / L. Tolaj ↕

Pre-match prediction

17.62%

AFC

12.71%

X

69.66%

Plymouth ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth) 69.66% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

AFC

0.64

—

—

Plymouth

2.73

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lincoln	46	103
2	Cardiff	46	91
3	Stockport County	46	77
4	Bradford	46	77
5	Bolton	46	75
6	Stevenage	46	75
7	Luton	46	74
8	Plymouth	46	73
9	Huddersfield	46	67
10	Mansfield Town	46	65
11	Wycombe	46	63
12	Reading	46	63
13	Blackpool	46	60
14	Doncaster	46	60
15	Barnsley	46	59
16	Wigan	46	56
17	Burton Albion	46	54
18	Peterborough	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	52
21	Exeter City	46	49
22	Port Vale	46	42
23	Rotherham	46	41
24	Northampton	46	35

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon 3-1-4-2

1

Nathan Bishop G 7.20

3 S. Seddon D 7.00

6 R. Johnson D 6.30

33

I. Ogundere D 6.00

4

J. Reeves 71' M 7.00

2

N. Asiimwe 71' M 6.30

8

C. Maycock 81' M 6.20

12

A. Smith 1 ⚽ M 7.50

7

J. Tilley 1 👟 M 7.70

30

F 6.50

36

L. Stewart 65' F 6.20

Bench

16

A. Hackford 25' F 6.50

29

A. Sasu 19' F 6.20

32

K. Jennings M

37

Z. Nelson 19' M 6.60

Plymouth 4-1-4-1

1

C. Hazard G 7.00

45

1 👟 D 7.30

15

A. Mitchell 1 ⚽ D 7.30

2

M. Ross D 6.30

8

J. Edwards D 6.30

4

B. Wiredu 62' M 6.20

35

O. Dale 1 👟 M 7.70

19 M. Boateng 1 👟 M 8.30

17

C. Watts 62' M 5.30

28

R. Curtis 69' M 7.20

9 L. Tolaj 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.90

Bench

27 A. Pepple 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.20

7

J. Paterson F

29 M. Sorinola 28' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

M. Boateng

M · Plymouth

8.30

1 👟

· 27 pass

L. Tolaj

F · Plymouth

7.90

1 ⚽

5 shots · 20 pass

O. Dale

M · Plymouth

7.70

1 👟

1 shots · 20 pass

J. Tilley

M · AFC

7.70

1 👟

2 shots · 33 pass

A. Smith

M · AFC

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

A. Mitchell

D · Plymouth

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Nathan Bishop	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	35	6%	—	—	—
S. Seddon	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	41	24%	—	1	—
R. Johnson	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	38	23%	1	1	—
I. Ogundere	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	33	24%	1	—	—
J. Reeves	M	71	7.00	—	—	—	35	29%	2	—	—
N. Asiimwe	M	71	6.30	—	—	—	21	11%	3	—	—
C. Maycock	M	81	6.20	—	—	—	21	12%	1	—	—
A. Smith	M	90	7.50	1	—	2	21	18%	3	—	—
J. Tilley	M	90	7.70	—	1	2	33	21%	5	—	—
	F	90	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
L. Stewart	F	65	6.20	—	—	1	8	8%	—	—	—
A. Hackford	F	25	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
A. Sasu	F	19	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Z. Nelson	M	19	6.60	—	—	1	8	8%	—	—	—

Plymouth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Hazard	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	21	5%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	1	—	29	21%	1	—	—
A. Mitchell	D	90	7.30	1	—	3	19	13%	—	—	—
M. Ross	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	12%	2	1	—
J. Edwards	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	36	25%	—	—	—
B. Wiredu	M	62	6.20	—	—	—	16	13%	2	1	—
O. Dale	M	90	7.70	—	1	1	20	15%	1	—	—
M. Boateng	M	90	8.30	—	1	—	27	20%	4	—	—
C. Watts	M	62	5.30	—	—	4	20	13%	—	—	—
R. Curtis	M	69	7.20	—	—	2	29	14%	1	—	—
L. Tolaj	F	85	7.90	1	—	5	20	12%	—	1	—
A. Pepple	F	28	7.20	1	—	1	3	—	—	—	—
M. Sorinola	D	28	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—