✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
A. Smith
(ast. J. Tilley)
51'
6'
(ast. M. Boateng)
A. Mitchell
68'
(ast. W. Harding)
L. Tolaj
76'
(ast. O. Dale)
A. Pepple
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 69% win probability (draw 12%, AFC Wimbledon 17%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth. In 1 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Plymouth.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
7
16
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
ast. M. Boateng ·
A. Mitchell⚽
24'
L. Tolaj
R. Johnson
24'
45'+3
M. Ross
⚽A. Smith
· ast. J. Tilley
51'
55'
B. Wiredu
62'
M. Sorinola
/
B. Wiredu
62'
A. Pepple
/
C. Watts
L. Stewart
/ A. Hackford
65'
68'
ast. W. Harding ·
L. Tolaj⚽
69'
X. Amaechi
/
R. Curtis
N. Asiimwe
/ A. Sasu
71'
J. Reeves
/ Z. Nelson
71'
S. Seddon
75'
76'
ast. O. Dale ·
A. Pepple⚽
C. Maycock
/ O. Foyo
81'
85'
J. Pleguezuelo
/
L. Tolaj
Pre-match prediction
17.62%
AFC
12.71%
X
69.66%
Plymouth ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth)
69.66%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
—
—
2.73
—
—
Lineups
1
Nathan Bishop
G
Nathan Bishop
G
3
Steve Seddon
D
Steve Seddon
D
6
Ryan Johnson
D
Ryan Johnson
D
33
Isaac Ogundere
D
Isaac Ogundere
D
4
Jake Reeves
71'
M
Jake Reeves
71'
M
2
N. Asiimwe
71'
M
8
Callum Maycock
81'
M
Callum Maycock
81'
M
12
Alistair Smith
1 ⚽
M
Alistair Smith
1 ⚽
M
7
James Tilley
1 👟
M
James Tilley
1 👟
M
30
F
36
Layton Stewart
65'
F
Layton Stewart
65'
F
Bench
16
Antwoine Hackford
25'
F
Antwoine Hackford
25'
F
29
Aron Sasu
19'
F
Aron Sasu
19'
F
32
Kai Jennings
M
Kai Jennings
M
37
Zack Nelson
19'
M
Zack Nelson
19'
M
1
Conor Hazard
G
Conor Hazard
G
45
1 👟
D
15
Alex Mitchell
1 ⚽
D
Alex Mitchell
1 ⚽
D
2
Mathias Ross
D
Mathias Ross
D
8
Joe Edwards
D
Joe Edwards
D
4
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
62'
M
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
62'
M
35
O. Dale
1 👟
M
19
Malachi Boateng
1 👟
M
Malachi Boateng
1 👟
M
17
C. Watts
62'
M
28
Ronan Curtis
69'
M
Ronan Curtis
69'
M
9
Lorent Tolaj
1 ⚽
85'
F
Lorent Tolaj
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
27
Aribim Pepple
1 ⚽
28'
F
Aribim Pepple
1 ⚽
28'
F
7
J. Paterson
F
29
Matthew Sorinola
28'
D
Matthew Sorinola
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Malachi Boateng
M · Plymouth
8.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
Lorent Tolaj
F · Plymouth
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 20 pass
O. Dale
M · Plymouth
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
James Tilley
M · AFC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
Alistair Smith
M · AFC
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Alex Mitchell
D · Plymouth
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Bishop | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Steve Seddon | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Johnson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Isaac Ogundere | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jake Reeves | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Asiimwe | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Callum Maycock | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alistair Smith | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| James Tilley | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Layton Stewart | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Antwoine Hackford | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Aron Sasu | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Zack Nelson | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Hazard | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Alex Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Ross | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joe Edwards | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Dale | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Malachi Boateng | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Watts | M | 62 | 5.30 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ronan Curtis | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorent Tolaj | F | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 20 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Aribim Pepple | F | 28 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Sorinola | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
The final score was AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth.
What did the model predict before AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
The model assigned 17% probability to a AFC Wimbledon win, 12% to a draw, and 69% to an Plymouth win.