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#8 · 12 pts
1 – 3
Final score
#4 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
A. Smith (ast. J. Tilley) 51'
6' (ast. M. Boateng) A. Mitchell
68' (ast. W. Harding) L. Tolaj
76' (ast. O. Dale) A. Pepple
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 69% win probability (draw 12%, AFC Wimbledon 17%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth. In 1 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Plymouth.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
7
16
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
ast. M. Boateng · A. Mitchell⚽
24'
L. Tolaj
R. Johnson
24'
45'+3
M. Ross
⚽A. Smith · ast. J. Tilley
51'
55'
B. Wiredu
62'
M. Sorinola / B. Wiredu ↕
62'
A. Pepple / C. Watts ↕
↕ L. Stewart / A. Hackford
65'
68'
ast. W. Harding · L. Tolaj⚽
69'
X. Amaechi / R. Curtis ↕
↕ N. Asiimwe / A. Sasu
71'
↕ J. Reeves / Z. Nelson
71'
S. Seddon
75'
76'
ast. O. Dale · A. Pepple⚽
↕ C. Maycock / O. Foyo
81'
85'
J. Pleguezuelo / L. Tolaj ↕
Pre-match prediction
17.62%
AFC
12.71%
X
69.66%
Plymouth ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth) 69.66% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AFC
0.64
—
—
Plymouth
2.73
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bradford Bradford 7 15
2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 7 14
3 Stockport County Stockport County 8 13
4 Plymouth Plymouth 8 13
5 Cambridge United Cambridge United 8 13
6 Huddersfield Huddersfield 7 12
7 Burton Albion Burton Albion 8 12
8 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 8 12
9 Reading Reading 7 11
10 Oxford United Oxford United 6 11
11 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 7 10
12 Wycombe Wycombe 8 10
13 Stevenage Stevenage 7 9
14 Leicester Leicester 7 9
15 Blackpool Blackpool 7 8
16 Luton Luton 7 8
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 7 8
18 Barnsley Barnsley 7 8
19 Bromley Bromley 7 8
20 Notts County Notts County 7 7
21 Doncaster Doncaster 7 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 7 6
23 Peterborough Peterborough 8 5
24 Wigan Wigan 7 4
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-1-4-2
1 N. Bishop N. Bishop G 7.20
3 S. Seddon S. Seddon D 7.00
6 R. Johnson R. Johnson D 6.30
33 I. Ogundere I. Ogundere D 6.00
4 Jake Reeves Jake Reeves 71' M 7.00
2 N. Asiimwe N. Asiimwe 71' M 6.30
8 C. Maycock C. Maycock 81' M 6.20
12 A. Smith A. Smith 1 ⚽ M 7.50
7 J. Tilley J. Tilley 1 👟 M 7.70
30
F 6.50
36 Layton Stewart Layton Stewart 65' F 6.20
Bench
16 Antwoine Hackford Antwoine Hackford 25' F 6.50
29 A. Sasu A. Sasu 19' F 6.20
32 Kai Jennings Kai Jennings M
37 Z. Nelson Z. Nelson 19' M 6.60
Plymouth Plymouth 4-1-4-1
1 C. Hazard C. Hazard G 7.00
45
1 👟 D 7.30
15 A. Mitchell A. Mitchell 1 ⚽ D 7.30
2 M. Ross M. Ross D 6.30
8 J. Edwards J. Edwards D 6.30
4 Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 62' M 6.20
35
O. Dale 1 👟 M 7.70
19 Malachi Boateng Malachi Boateng 1 👟 M 8.30
17 C. Watts C. Watts 62' M 5.30
28 R. Curtis R. Curtis 69' M 7.20
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.90
Bench
27 A. Pepple A. Pepple 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.20
7
J. Paterson F
29 M. Sorinola M. Sorinola 28' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
Malachi Boateng
Malachi Boateng
M · Plymouth
8.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
F · Plymouth
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
O. Dale
M · Plymouth
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 20 pass
J. Tilley
J. Tilley
M · AFC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
A. Smith
A. Smith
M · AFC
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
A. Mitchell
A. Mitchell
D · Plymouth
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Bishop G 90 7.20 — — — 35 6% — — —
S. Seddon D 90 7.00 — — 1 41 24% — 1 —
R. Johnson D 90 6.30 — — 1 38 23% 1 1 —
I. Ogundere D 90 6.00 — — — 33 24% 1 — —
Jake Reeves M 71 7.00 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
N. Asiimwe M 71 6.30 — — — 21 11% 3 — —
C. Maycock M 81 6.20 — — — 21 12% 1 — —
A. Smith M 90 7.50 1 — 2 21 18% 3 — —
J. Tilley M 90 7.70 — 1 2 33 21% 5 — —
F 90 6.50 — — 1 16 11% — — —
Layton Stewart F 65 6.20 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Antwoine Hackford F 25 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
A. Sasu F 19 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
Z. Nelson M 19 6.60 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Hazard G 90 7.00 — — — 21 5% — — —
D 90 7.30 — 1 — 29 21% 1 — —
A. Mitchell D 90 7.30 1 — 3 19 13% — — —
M. Ross D 90 6.30 — — — 24 12% 2 1 —
J. Edwards D 90 6.30 — — 1 36 25% — — —
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu M 62 6.20 — — — 16 13% 2 1 —
O. Dale M 90 7.70 — 1 1 20 15% 1 — —
Malachi Boateng M 90 8.30 — 1 — 27 20% 4 — —
C. Watts M 62 5.30 — — 4 20 13% — — —
R. Curtis M 69 7.20 — — 2 29 14% 1 — —
L. Tolaj F 85 7.90 1 — 5 20 12% — 1 —
A. Pepple F 28 7.20 1 — 1 3 — — — —
M. Sorinola D 28 6.60 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
The final score was AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth.
What did the model predict before AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
The model assigned 17% probability to a AFC Wimbledon win, 12% to a draw, and 69% to an Plymouth win.