The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Reading a 34% win probability (draw 32%, AFC Wimbledon 33%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Reading. In 3 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Reading.
Match statistics
1
Total shots
4
1
Shots on target
3
0.04
Actual xG
0.80
3
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
6
8
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Hippolyte
19'
29'
P. O'Connor
R. Johnson
29'
38'
A. Rinomhota
65'
C. Savage
/
A. Rinomhota
65'
G. Earthy
/
J. Stokes
68'
C. Savage
Z. Nelson
/ C. Maycock
75'
J. Stockley
/ A. Sasu
82'
87'
R. Williams
/
D. Kyerewaa
87'
P. Lane
/
H. Roberts
M. Hippolyte
/ S. Sessegnon
90'+1
90'+5
J. Brown
/
K. Lisbie
Pre-match prediction
33.03%
AFC
32.48%
X ←
34.49%
Reading
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.83
0.04
-0.79
1.43
0.80
-0.63
Reading dominated by xG (0.80 vs 0.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
J. McDonnell
66'
G
J. McDonnell
66'
G
6
R. Johnson
66'
D
R. Johnson
66'
D
26
D. Sweeney
66'
D
D. Sweeney
66'
D
33
I. Ogundere
66'
D
I. Ogundere
66'
D
3
S. Seddon
66'
M
S. Seddon
66'
M
21
M. Hippolyte
66'
M
M. Hippolyte
66'
M
12
A. Smith
66'
M
A. Smith
66'
M
10
Z. Nelson
66'
M
Z. Nelson
66'
M
7
J. Tilley
66'
M
J. Tilley
66'
M
9
J. Stockley
66'
F
J. Stockley
66'
F
11
M. Browne
66'
F
M. Browne
66'
F
Bench
16
Antwoine Hackford
F
Antwoine Hackford
F
29
A. Sasu
F
A. Sasu
F
17
A. Yiadom
D
A. Yiadom
D
8
C. Maycock
M
C. Maycock
M
1
N. Bishop
G
N. Bishop
G
5
O. Harrison
M
O. Harrison
M
2
S. Sessegnon
D
S. Sessegnon
D
1
Joel Pereira
66'
G
Joel Pereira
66'
G
5
H. Roberts
66'
D
H. Roberts
66'
D
16
Benn David Ward
66'
D
Benn David Ward
66'
D
15
P. O'Connor
66'
D
P. O'Connor
66'
D
2
U. Godwin-Malife
66'
D
U. Godwin-Malife
66'
D
4
A. Rinomhota
65'
M
A. Rinomhota
65'
M
10
L. Wing
66'
M
L. Wing
66'
M
11
D. Kyerewaa
66'
M
D. Kyerewaa
66'
M
28
J. Stokes
65'
M
J. Stokes
65'
M
19
Kyreece Lisbie
66'
M
Kyreece Lisbie
66'
M
7
J. Marriott
66'
F
J. Marriott
66'
F
Bench
39
A. Ahmed
D
A. Ahmed
D
8
C. Savage
1'
M
C. Savage
1'
M
17
George Earthy
1'
M
George Earthy
1'
M
18
J. Brown
F
J. Brown
F
25
J. Stevens
G
J. Stevens
G
32
P. Lane
F
P. Lane
F
14
R. Williams
M
R. Williams
M
Best on the pitch
J. McDonnell
G · AFC
7.30
· 25 pass
J. Stockley
F · AFC
7.30
· 9 pass
D. Sweeney
D · AFC
7.00
· 22 pass
L. Wing
M · Reading
7.00
1 shots
· 40 pass
Benn David Ward
D · Reading
7.00
· 49 pass
U. Godwin-Malife
D · Reading
7.00
· 38 pass
AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McDonnell | G | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Johnson | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Sweeney | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ogundere | D | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Seddon | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hippolyte | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Smith | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Z. Nelson | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Tilley | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Stockley | F | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Browne | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Reading — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Pereira | G | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| H. Roberts | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Benn David Ward | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| P. O'Connor | D | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| U. Godwin-Malife | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rinomhota | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Wing | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D. Kyerewaa | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Stokes | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kyreece Lisbie | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Marriott | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Savage | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Earthy | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
The final score was AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Reading.
What did the model predict before AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
The model assigned 33% probability to a AFC Wimbledon win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Reading win.