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League One · Regular Season - 3 August 30, 2026 15:00 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
AFC Wimbledon
#16 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Wigan
#24 · 3 pts
M. Hippolyte (ast. D. McNeilly) 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wigan a 36% win probability (draw 32%, AFC Wimbledon 31%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan. In 2 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wigan.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
2.75
5
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
8
13
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
A. Harris / A. Higgins ↕
21'
A. Harris
22'
G. Caldwell
25'
J. Mellish
45'+3
J. Weir
65'
J. Carragher
↕ J. Tilley / R. Nkeng
67'
↕ Z. Nelson / O. Harrison
67'
↕ R. Johnson / S. Sessegnon
68'
↕ A. Sasu / D. McNeilly
68'
S. Sessegnon
73'
74'
L. Harris / S. Perkins ↕
O. Harrison
75'
A. Smith
77'
84'
K. Miller / C. Barrett ↕
84'
J. Chilokoa-Mullen / F. Burns ↕
↕ I. Ogundere / A. Yiadom
86'
⚽M. Hippolyte · ast. D. McNeilly
88'
S. Seddon
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
31.43%
AFC ←
32.38%
X
36.19%
Wigan
we assigned to the actual result (AFC Wimbledon) 31.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AFC
0.59
0.70
+0.11
Wigan
1.28
2.75
+1.47
Wigan dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 5 12
2 Bradford Bradford 6 12
3 Huddersfield Huddersfield 5 11
4 Stockport County Stockport County 5 9
5 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
6 Burton Albion Burton Albion 5 8
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 5 8
8 Luton Luton 6 8
9 Reading Reading 4 7
10 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
11 Oxford United Oxford United 4 7
12 Blackpool Blackpool 5 7
13 Notts County Notts County 6 7
14 Plymouth Plymouth 5 7
15 Barnsley Barnsley 5 7
16 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 5 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 5 6
18 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
19 Leicester Leicester 5 5
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 5 4
21 Peterborough Peterborough 5 4
22 Bromley Bromley 5 4
23 Doncaster Doncaster 5 3
24 Wigan Wigan 5 3
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2
20 J. McDonnell J. McDonnell G 7.30
6 R. Johnson R. Johnson 68' D 6.90
26 D. Sweeney D. Sweeney D 7.30
33 I. Ogundere I. Ogundere 86' D 6.60
3 S. Seddon S. Seddon M 7.50
21 M. Hippolyte M. Hippolyte 1 ⚽ M 7.20
12 A. Smith A. Smith M 6.50
10 Z. Nelson Z. Nelson 67' M 6.60
7 J. Tilley J. Tilley 67' M 6.70
9 J. Stockley J. Stockley F 6.20
29 A. Sasu A. Sasu 68' F 6.60
Bench
17 A. Yiadom A. Yiadom 7' D
8 C. Maycock C. Maycock M
19 Donnell McNeilly Donnell McNeilly 1 👟 25' F 6.90
30 Junior Nkeng Junior Nkeng 26' F 6.70
1 N. Bishop N. Bishop G
5 O. Harrison O. Harrison 26' M 6.70
2 S. Sessegnon S. Sessegnon 25' D 6.50
Wigan Wigan 3-4-2-1
1 J. Walsh J. Walsh G 7.00
22 J. Mellish J. Mellish D 6.60
5 F. Burns F. Burns 84' D 7.20
23 J. Carragher J. Carragher D 7.30
6 J. Weir J. Weir M 6.60
10 R. Walsh R. Walsh M 7.30
8 M. Power M. Power M 7.00
2 C. Barrett C. Barrett 84' M 6.50
9 S. Perkins S. Perkins 74' F 5.20
11 D. Costelloe D. Costelloe F 7.20
17 Akeel Higgins Akeel Higgins 12' F 6.50
Bench
16 Archie Harris Archie Harris 81' D 6.50
18 Charlie Gray Charlie Gray M
19 C. Sze C. Sze F
4 J. Chilokoa-Mullen J. Chilokoa-Mullen 9' D 6.30
21 K'Marni Miller K'Marni Miller 9' D 6.50
13 L. Harris L. Harris 19' M 6.50
15 Llyton Chapman Llyton Chapman D
Best on the pitch
S. Seddon
S. Seddon
M · AFC
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
J. McDonnell
J. McDonnell
G · AFC
7.30
· 32 pass
D. Sweeney
D. Sweeney
D · AFC
7.30
1 shots · 40 pass
R. Walsh
R. Walsh
M · Wigan
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
J. Carragher
J. Carragher
D · Wigan
7.30
1 shots · 40 pass
M. Hippolyte
M. Hippolyte
M · AFC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. McDonnell G 93 7.30 — — — 32 12% — — —
R. Johnson D 68 6.90 — — 1 20 14% 1 — —
D. Sweeney D 93 7.30 — — 1 40 31% 3 — —
I. Ogundere D 86 6.60 — — — 26 17% 1 — —
S. Seddon M 93 7.50 — — 1 34 25% 2 — —
M. Hippolyte M 93 7.20 1 — 2 23 17% — — —
A. Smith M 93 6.50 — — 1 29 24% — 1 —
Z. Nelson M 67 6.60 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
J. Tilley M 67 6.70 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
J. Stockley F 93 6.20 — — 2 14 7% 1 — —
A. Sasu F 68 6.60 — — — 7 4% — — —
A. Yiadom D 7 — — — — 4 3% — — —
Donnell McNeilly F 25 6.90 — 1 — 3 3% — — —
Junior Nkeng F 26 6.70 — — 1 4 3% — — —
O. Harrison M 26 6.70 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
S. Sessegnon D 25 6.50 — — — 13 9% 2 1 —
Wigan Wigan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Walsh G 93 7.00 — — — 24 15% 1 — —
J. Mellish D 93 6.60 — — — 42 33% 1 1 —
F. Burns D 84 7.20 — — — 36 26% — — —
J. Carragher D 93 7.30 — — 1 40 34% 2 1 —
J. Weir M 93 6.60 — — — 21 17% 1 1 —
R. Walsh M 93 7.30 — — 1 46 39% 1 — —
M. Power M 93 7.00 — — — 52 43% 3 — —
C. Barrett M 84 6.50 — — 2 12 8% 1 — —
S. Perkins F 74 5.20 — — 4 17 12% — — —
D. Costelloe F 93 7.20 — — 2 20 16% — — —
Akeel Higgins F 12 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Archie Harris D 81 6.50 — — 2 38 31% 1 1 —
J. Chilokoa-Mullen D 9 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
K'Marni Miller D 9 6.50 — — 1 2 2% 2 — —
L. Harris M 19 6.50 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan?
The final score was AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan.
What did the model predict before AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan?
The model assigned 31% probability to a AFC Wimbledon win, 32% to a draw, and 36% to an Wigan win.