M. Hippolyte
(ast. D. McNeilly)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wigan a 36% win probability (draw 32%, AFC Wimbledon 31%). The final result was AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan. In 2 previous meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wigan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
2.75
5
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
8
13
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
A. Harris
/
A. Higgins
21'
A. Harris
22'
G. Caldwell
25'
J. Mellish
45'+3
J. Weir
65'
J. Carragher
J. Tilley
/ R. Nkeng
67'
Z. Nelson
/ O. Harrison
67'
R. Johnson
/ S. Sessegnon
68'
A. Sasu
/ D. McNeilly
68'
S. Sessegnon
73'
74'
L. Harris
/
S. Perkins
O. Harrison
75'
A. Smith
77'
84'
K. Miller
/
C. Barrett
84'
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
/
F. Burns
I. Ogundere
/ A. Yiadom
86'
⚽M. Hippolyte
· ast. D. McNeilly
88'
S. Seddon
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
31.43%
AFC ←
32.38%
X
36.19%
Wigan
we assigned to the actual result (AFC Wimbledon)
31.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.59
0.70
+0.11
1.28
2.75
+1.47
Wigan dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
J. McDonnell
G
J. McDonnell
G
6
R. Johnson
68'
D
R. Johnson
68'
D
26
D. Sweeney
D
D. Sweeney
D
33
I. Ogundere
86'
D
I. Ogundere
86'
D
3
S. Seddon
M
S. Seddon
M
21
M. Hippolyte
1 ⚽
M
M. Hippolyte
1 ⚽
M
12
A. Smith
M
A. Smith
M
10
Z. Nelson
67'
M
Z. Nelson
67'
M
7
J. Tilley
67'
M
J. Tilley
67'
M
9
J. Stockley
F
J. Stockley
F
29
A. Sasu
68'
F
A. Sasu
68'
F
Bench
17
A. Yiadom
7'
D
A. Yiadom
7'
D
8
C. Maycock
M
C. Maycock
M
19
Donnell McNeilly
1 👟
25'
F
Donnell McNeilly
1 👟
25'
F
30
Junior Nkeng
26'
F
Junior Nkeng
26'
F
1
N. Bishop
G
N. Bishop
G
5
O. Harrison
26'
M
O. Harrison
26'
M
2
S. Sessegnon
25'
D
S. Sessegnon
25'
D
1
J. Walsh
G
J. Walsh
G
22
J. Mellish
D
J. Mellish
D
5
F. Burns
84'
D
F. Burns
84'
D
23
J. Carragher
D
J. Carragher
D
6
J. Weir
M
J. Weir
M
10
R. Walsh
M
R. Walsh
M
8
M. Power
M
M. Power
M
2
C. Barrett
84'
M
C. Barrett
84'
M
9
S. Perkins
74'
F
S. Perkins
74'
F
11
D. Costelloe
F
D. Costelloe
F
17
A. Higgins
12'
F
A. Higgins
12'
F
Bench
16
Archie Harris
81'
D
18
Charlie Gray
M
Charlie Gray
M
19
C. Sze
F
C. Sze
F
4
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
9'
D
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
9'
D
21
K'Marni Miller
9'
D
K'Marni Miller
9'
D
13
L. Harris
19'
M
L. Harris
19'
M
15
Llyton Chapman
D
Llyton Chapman
D
Best on the pitch
S. Seddon
M · AFC
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
J. McDonnell
G · AFC
7.30
· 32 pass
D. Sweeney
D · AFC
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
R. Walsh
M · Wigan
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
J. Carragher
D · Wigan
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
M. Hippolyte
M · AFC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McDonnell | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Johnson | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sweeney | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Ogundere | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Seddon | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hippolyte | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Smith | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Z. Nelson | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tilley | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stockley | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sasu | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Yiadom | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Donnell McNeilly | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Junior Nkeng | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Harrison | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Sessegnon | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
Wigan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh | G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mellish | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Burns | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Carragher | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Weir | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Walsh | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Power | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Barrett | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Perkins | F | 74 | 5.20 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Costelloe | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Higgins | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Archie Harris | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Chilokoa-Mullen | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K'Marni Miller | D | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Harris | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan?
The final score was AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan.
What did the model predict before AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan?
The model assigned 31% probability to a AFC Wimbledon win, 32% to a draw, and 36% to an Wigan win.