Matías Ramírez
(ast. Andres Ricaurte)
14'
Jorge Soto
90'+4
(pen.)
24'
(ast. Brayan Rovira)
Adrián Parra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Águilas Doradas a 37% win probability (draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 36%). The final result was Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Águilas Doradas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.41
Actual xG
0.50
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
Brayan Rovira
⚽Matías Ramírez
· ast. Andres Ricaurte
14'
18'
19'
Anderson Angulo
24'
ast. Brayan Rovira ·
Adrián Parra⚽
Junior Noguera
/ Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
39'
Andres Mosquera
45'+1
54'
Jherson Mosquera
/
Anderson Angulo
68'
Kelvin Flórez
/
Ever Valencia
68'
Jorge Hurtado
/
Edwar López
John Ontaneda
70'
77'
Adrián Parra
Matías Ramírez
/ Eduar Arízalas
81'
Iván Rojas
/ Nicolás Lara Vásquez
81'
Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
/ Juan Camilo Roa
81'
86'
Junior Hernandez
Anthony Vásquez
/ Andrés Lorenzo Carreño Zambrano
87'
87'
Victor Manuel Reyes Clavijo
/
Homer Martinez
87'
Jader Valencia
/
Luis Sandoval
90'+2
⚽Jorge Soto
(pen.)
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
37.82%
Águilas ←
26.15%
X
36.03%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas)
37.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.41
+0.08
1.32
0.50
-0.83
Águilas Doradas dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jorge Soto
1 ⚽
G
Jorge Soto
1 ⚽
G
32
Javier Mena
D
Javier Mena
D
3
John Ontaneda
D
John Ontaneda
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
26
Dylan Lozano
D
Dylan Lozano
D
6
Iván Rojas
81'
M
Iván Rojas
81'
M
19
Frank Lozano
M
Frank Lozano
M
16
Matías Ramírez
1 ⚽
81'
M
Matías Ramírez
1 ⚽
81'
M
8
Andrés Ricaurte
1 👟
M
Andrés Ricaurte
1 👟
M
9
Anthony Vásquez
87'
M
Anthony Vásquez
87'
M
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
39'
F
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
39'
F
Bench
18
Andrés Carreño
3'
F
Andrés Carreño
3'
F
27
Carlos Londoño
M
Carlos Londoño
M
24
Juan Ávalo
42'
M
Juan Ávalo
42'
M
25
Juan Camilo Roa
9'
M
Juan Camilo Roa
9'
M
12
Juan Hurtado
G
Juan Hurtado
G
30
Nicolás Lara
9'
D
Nicolás Lara
9'
D
28
Sebastián Rodríguez
D
Sebastián Rodríguez
D
29
Tomás Blandón
F
Tomás Blandón
F
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
20
Junior Hernández
D
Junior Hernández
D
2
A. Angulo
54'
D
A. Angulo
54'
D
71
Yordan Osorio
D
Yordan Osorio
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
28
Edwar López
68'
M
Edwar López
68'
M
80
Brayan Rovira
1 👟
M
Brayan Rovira
1 👟
M
14
Homer Martinez
87'
M
Homer Martinez
87'
M
8
Ever Valencia
68'
M
Ever Valencia
68'
M
9
Luis Sandoval
87'
F
Luis Sandoval
87'
F
24
Adrián Parra
1 ⚽
F
Adrián Parra
1 ⚽
F
Bench
4
D. Pedrozo
D
D. Pedrozo
D
23
G. Balanta
G
G. Balanta
G
11
Jader Valencia
3'
F
Jader Valencia
3'
F
33
Jherson Mosquera
36'
D
Jherson Mosquera
36'
D
7
Jorge Hurtado
22'
F
Jorge Hurtado
22'
F
19
Joven Santiago
F
Joven Santiago
F
18
K. Flórez
22'
F
K. Flórez
22'
F
16
V. Reyes
3'
M
V. Reyes
3'
M
Best on the pitch
Matías Ramírez
M · Águilas
7.55
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Adrián Parra
F · Deportes
7.16
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Jorge Soto
G · Águilas
6.93
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Andrés Ricaurte
M · Águilas
6.89
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
Brayan Rovira
M · Deportes
6.76
1 👟
· 28 pass
Frank Lozano
M · Águilas
6.76
1 shots
· 23 pass
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soto | G | 90 | 6.93 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Javier Mena | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| John Ontaneda | D | 90 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Andrés Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Dylan Lozano | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Rojas | M | 81 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Frank Lozano | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Matías Ramírez | M | 81 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Ricaurte | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Vásquez | M | 87 | 6.35 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | F | 39 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Carreño | F | 3 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Ávalo | M | 42 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Roa | M | 9 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Nicolás Lara | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 90 | 5.56 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Junior Hernández | D | 90 | 5.25 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 54 | 5.76 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Yordan Osorio | D | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Edwar López | M | 68 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | 1 | 0 | 28 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 87 | 6.65 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | M | 68 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Sandoval | F | 87 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 90 | 7.16 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 3 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 36 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Hurtado | F | 22 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Flórez | F | 22 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Reyes | M | 3 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Águilas Doradas win, 26% to a draw, and 36% to an Deportes Tolima win.