Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 16
April 11, 2026 23:00
2'
(ast. Jhon Navia)
Bryan Castrillón
45'
(ast. Bryan Castrillón)
Carlos Bacca
88'
(ast. Edwin Herrera)
Luis Muriel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Águilas Doradas a 39% win probability (draw 33%, Junior 26%). The final result was Águilas Doradas 0–3 Junior.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.73
Actual xG
1.31
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
2
12
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
-5'
Mauro Silveira
2'
ast. Jhon Navia ·
Bryan Castrillón⚽
9'
Jhon Navia
Alberto Higgins
/ Jorge Obregón
33'
45'+4
Jefersson Martínez
45'
ast. Bryan Castrillón ·
Carlos Bacca⚽
Andrés Ricaurte
/ Juan Ávalo
46'
Diego Hernández
/ Andrés Álvarez
46'
58'
Guillermo Paiva
/
Carlos Bacca
58'
Kevin Pérez
/
Joel Canchimbo
64'
Jhonier Guerrero
/
Jhon Navia
Fabián Suárez
/ Bryan Urueña
68'
72'
Harold Rivera
/
Bryan Castrillón
Jaen Pineda
73'
73'
Luis Muriel
/
Jannenson Sarmiento
82'
Jhonier Guerrero
Jaen Pineda
84'
Jaen Pineda
84'
88'
ast. Edwin Herrera ·
Luis Muriel⚽
Jorge Rivaldo
/ Juan Camilo Roa
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.94%
Águilas
33.25%
X
26.8%
Junior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
26.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
0.73
-0.54
0.94
1.31
+0.37
Junior dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
3
J. Varela
D
J. Varela
D
2
J. Garcia
D
5
D. Hernandez
45'
D
32
J. Mena
M
J. Mena
M
8
A. Ricaurte
45'
M
A. Ricaurte
45'
M
19
M
16
Jaen Pineda
84'
M
20
A. Higgins
33'
M
A. Higgins
33'
M
9
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
15
F. Suárez
68'
F
F. Suárez
68'
F
Bench
18
A. Alvarez
51'
M
10
B. Urueña
28'
M
24
J. Ávalo
51'
M
J. Ávalo
51'
M
99
J. Obregón
63'
F
J. Obregón
63'
F
25
Juan Camilo Roa
6'
M
Juan Camilo Roa
6'
M
30
N. Lara
D
N. Lara
D
90
R. A. Benitez Hernandez
M
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
27
Jhon Navia
1 👟
64'
D
Jhon Navia
1 👟
64'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
3
1 👟
D
5
D. Rivera
D
D. Rivera
D
80
M
28
M
88
B. Castrillón
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
B. Castrillón
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
73'
M
J. Sarmiento
73'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
58'
M
Joel Canchimbo
58'
M
70
C. Bacca
1 ⚽
58'
F
C. Bacca
1 ⚽
58'
F
Bench
9
G. Paiva
38'
F
G. Paiva
38'
F
7
H. Rivera
24'
M
H. Rivera
24'
M
34
Jhonier Guerrero
32'
D
Jhonier Guerrero
32'
D
18
K. Pérez
38'
F
K. Pérez
38'
F
10
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
23'
F
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
23'
F
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
Best on the pitch
B. Castrillón
M · Junior
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
M · Junior
7.90
· 38 pass
D · Junior
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
L. Muriel
F · Junior
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
M · Junior
7.30
· 24 pass
C. Bacca
F · Junior
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| J. Varela | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Garcia | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hernandez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mena | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Ricaurte | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jaen Pineda | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| A. Higgins | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Suárez | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Alvarez | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Urueña | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Ávalo | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Obregón | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Roa | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Martínez | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhon Navia | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Rivera | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 7 | — | — | |
| B. Castrillón | M | 72 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Bacca | F | 58 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| H. Rivera | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Pérez | F | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 23 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
The final score was Águilas Doradas 0–3 Junior.
What did the model predict before Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Águilas Doradas win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Junior win.