Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 16
April 11, 2026 23:00
2'
(ast. Jhon Navia)
Bryan Castrillón
45'
(ast. Bryan Castrillón)
Carlos Bacca
88'
(ast. Edwin Herrera)
Luis Muriel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Águilas Doradas a 39% win probability (draw 33%, Junior 26%). The final result was Águilas Doradas 0–3 Junior.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.73
Actual xG
1.31
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
2
12
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
-5'
Mauro Silveira
2'
ast. Jhon Navia ·
Bryan Castrillón⚽
9'
Jhon Navia
Alberto Higgins
/ Jorge Obregón
33'
45'+4
Jefersson Martínez
45'
ast. Bryan Castrillón ·
Carlos Bacca⚽
Andrés Ricaurte
/ Juan Ávalo
46'
Diego Hernández
/ Andrés Álvarez
46'
58'
Guillermo Paiva
/
Carlos Bacca
58'
Kevin Pérez
/
Joel Canchimbo
64'
Jhonier Guerrero
/
Jhon Navia
Fabián Suárez
/ Bryan Urueña
68'
72'
Harold Rivera
/
Bryan Castrillón
Jaen Pineda
73'
73'
Luis Muriel
/
Jannenson Sarmiento
82'
Jhonier Guerrero
Jaen Pineda
84'
Jaen Pineda
84'
88'
ast. Edwin Herrera ·
Luis Muriel⚽
Jorge Rivaldo
/ Juan Camilo Roa
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.94%
Águilas
33.25%
X
26.8%
Junior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
26.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
0.73
-0.54
0.94
1.31
+0.37
Junior dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
3
Joaquin Varela
D
Joaquin Varela
D
2
J. Garcia
D
5
D. Hernandez
45'
D
32
Javier Mena
M
Javier Mena
M
8
Andrés Ricaurte
45'
M
Andrés Ricaurte
45'
M
19
M
16
Jaen Pineda
84'
M
20
Alberto Higgins
33'
M
9
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
15
Fabián Suárez
68'
F
Bench
18
A. Alvarez
51'
M
10
B. Urueña
28'
M
B. Urueña
28'
M
99
Jorge Obregón
63'
F
Jorge Obregón
63'
F
24
Juan Ávalo
51'
M
Juan Ávalo
51'
M
25
Juan Camilo Roa
6'
M
Juan Camilo Roa
6'
M
30
N. Lara Vasquez
D
90
R. A. Benitez Hernandez
M
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
27
Jhon Navia
1 👟
64'
D
Jhon Navia
1 👟
64'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
3
1 👟
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
Daniel Rivera
D
80
M
28
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
Bryan Castrillón
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
73'
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
73'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
58'
M
Joel Canchimbo
58'
M
70
Carlos Bacca
1 ⚽
58'
F
Carlos Bacca
1 ⚽
58'
F
Bench
9
G. Paiva
38'
F
G. Paiva
38'
F
7
Harold Rivera
24'
M
Harold Rivera
24'
M
34
Jhonier Guerrero
32'
D
Jhonier Guerrero
32'
D
18
Kevin Pérez
38'
F
Kevin Pérez
38'
F
10
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
23'
F
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
23'
F
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
Best on the pitch
Bryan Castrillón
M · Junior
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
M · Junior
7.90
· 38 pass
D · Junior
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
L. Muriel
F · Junior
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
M · Junior
7.30
· 24 pass
Carlos Bacca
F · Junior
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Joaquin Varela | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Garcia | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hernandez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Mena | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Ricaurte | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jaen Pineda | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Alberto Higgins | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Suárez | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Alvarez | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Urueña | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Obregón | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Juan Ávalo | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Roa | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefersson Martínez | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhon Navia | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 7 | — | — | |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 72 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jannenson Sarmiento | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Bacca | F | 58 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Harold Rivera | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Pérez | F | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 23 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
The final score was Águilas Doradas 0–3 Junior.
What did the model predict before Águilas Doradas vs Junior?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Águilas Doradas win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Junior win.