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Ajaccio - Caen

National 1 May 01, 2026 19:30
Ajaccio
vs
Caen
#8 · 40 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 17.9°C 💨 5 km/h · Boulogne-sur-Mer
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Ajaccio
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Caen
0.86
Expected xG
1.6

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Caen. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ajaccio and 1.6 for Caen (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.8% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Ajaccio Caen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 13.8% 11.0% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Ajaccio Ajaccio
No data available
Caen Caen
D Concarneau 0–0
W Villefranche 3–0
W Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–2
W Gobelins 0–3
D Stade Briochin 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Ajaccio Ajaccio
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Caen Caen
Attack
35
Defence
89
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Dijon Dijon 31 62
2 Sochaux Sochaux 31 57
3 Fleury 91 Fleury 91 31 54
4 Rouen Rouen 31 52
5 Versailles Versailles 31 52
6 Orleans Orleans 31 51
7 Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 31 46
8 Caen Caen 31 40
9 Concarneau Concarneau 31 37
10 Valenciennes Valenciennes 31 36
11 Villefranche Villefranche 31 36
12 Aubagne Aubagne 31 34
13 Gobelins Gobelins 31 32
14 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 32 31
15 Quevilly Quevilly 31 30
16 Chateauroux Chateauroux 31 29
17 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 31 26
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajaccio vs Caen?
The model gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Caen win.
How many goals are expected in Ajaccio vs Caen?
Expected goals: Ajaccio 0.9, Caen 1.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ajaccio vs Caen?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.8%.