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Ajaccio - Caen

vs
#1 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 17.9°C 💨 5 km/h · Boulogne-sur-Mer
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Ajaccio
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Caen
0.86
Expected xG
1.6

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.8%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Caen. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ajaccio and 1.6 for Caen (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.8% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Ajaccio Caen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 13.8% 11.0% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
W Valenciennes 4–0
L Aubagne 3–1
D Concarneau 0–0
W Villefranche 3–0
W Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Ajaccio Ajaccio
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Caen Caen
Attack
18
Defence
44
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Caen Caen 1 3
2 Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 1 3
3 Orleans Orleans 1 3
4 Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 1 3
5 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 3
6 La Roche VF La Roche VF 1 3
7 Gobelins Gobelins 1 3
8 Amiens Amiens 1 1
9 Cannes Cannes 1 1
10 Rouen Rouen 1 1
11 Fleury 91 Fleury 91 1 1
12 Villefranche Villefranche 1 0
13 Versailles Versailles 1 0
14 Quevilly Quevilly 1 0
15 Bastia Bastia 1 0
16 Concarneau Concarneau 1 0
17 Aubagne Aubagne 1 0
18 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajaccio vs Caen?
The model gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Caen win.
How many goals are expected in Ajaccio vs Caen?
Expected goals: Ajaccio 0.9, Caen 1.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ajaccio vs Caen?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.8%.