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Conference League · League Stage - 2 October 22, 2026 21:00
Ajax
#13 · 3 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Atalanta
#15 · 3 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Ajax
T. Arokodare (ast. Y. Baas) 87'
A. Ouazane (ast. T. Arokodare) 90'+3
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Atalanta 19%). The final result was Ajax 2–0 Atalanta.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
0
1.74
Actual xG
0.74
0
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
9
15
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Amrabat
45'
62'
L. Samardzic / C. De Ketelaere ↕
↕ D. Klaassen / V. Tsygankov
62'
↕ O. Gloukh / A. Ouazane
62'
↕ Marcos Leonardo / T. Arokodare
66'
68'
L. Samardzic
72'
N. Krstovic / G. Scamacca ↕
80'
M. Pasalic / G. Gaetano ↕
80'
J. Rowe / E. Elmas ↕
86'
N. Zalewski
⚽T. Arokodare · ast. Y. Baas
87'
↕ J. Brandt / D. Janse
90'+1
M. ter Stegen
90'+2
⚽A. Ouazane · ast. T. Arokodare
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
57.24%
Ajax ←
23.3%
X
19.46%
Atalanta
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 57.24% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ajax
1.95
1.74
-0.21
Atalanta
0.91
0.74
-0.17
Ajax dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2 6
2 FC Lugano FC Lugano 2 6
3 Brann Brann 2 6
4 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2 6
5 Twente Twente 2 6
6 Monaco Monaco 2 6
7 St. Truiden St. Truiden 2 6
8 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 2 6
9 Brighton Brighton 2 4
10 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 2 4
11 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2 4
12 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 2 4
13 Ajax Ajax 2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2 3
15 Atalanta Atalanta 2 3
16 SC Braga SC Braga 2 3
17 Gent Gent 2 3
18 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2 3
19 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2 2
20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 2
21 Riga Riga 2 2
22 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 2 1
23 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2 1
24 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 2 1
25 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 2 1
26 Aarhus Aarhus 2 1
27 Pafos Pafos 2 1
28 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 2 1
29 FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 2 1
30 Getafe Getafe 2 1
31 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 2 1
32 FC Thun FC Thun 2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 0
34 KuPS KuPS 2 0
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 2 0
Lineups
Ajax Ajax 4-2-3-1
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G 7.20
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal D 6.60
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas 1 👟 D 7.90
30 A. Bouwman A. Bouwman D 7.00
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa D 7.90
4 S. Amrabat S. Amrabat M 7.30
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio M 7.30
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 62' M 7.50
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt M 7.50
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen 62' M 7.00
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo 66' F 6.60
Bench
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 1 ⚽ 28' M 6.60
36 D. Janse D. Janse D
49 D. Pugno D. Pugno F
22 J. Heerkens J. Heerkens G
21 Jofre Torrents Jofre Torrents D
67 Mohamed Abdalla Mohamed Abdalla M
26 M. Paes M. Paes G
43 Rayane Bounida Rayane Bounida F
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare 1 ⚽ 1 👟 24' F 7.20
6 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D
11 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov 28' F 6.70
Atalanta Atalanta 4-2-3-1
29 M. Carnesecchi M. Carnesecchi G 7.00
77 D. Zappacosta D. Zappacosta D 7.70
40 R. Obrić R. Obrić D 7.30
31 T. Kristensen T. Kristensen D 7.30
16 R. Bellanova R. Bellanova D 6.90
13 Éderson Éderson M 6.60
70 G. Gaetano G. Gaetano 80' M 7.50
59 N. Zalewski N. Zalewski M 6.90
17 C. De Ketelaere C. De Ketelaere 62' M 6.90
99 E. Elmas E. Elmas 80' M 6.50
9 G. Scamacca G. Scamacca 72' F 6.90
Bench
48 Andrea Bonanomi Andrea Bonanomi M
55 Isaac Isoa Isaac Isoa D
41 J. Idele J. Idele M
11 J. Rowe J. Rowe 10' F 6.70
47 L. Bernasconi L. Bernasconi D
10 L. Samardžić L. Samardžić 28' M 6.70
8 Mario Pasalic Mario Pasalic 10' M 6.30
51 M. Sonzogni M. Sonzogni G
57 M. Sportiello M. Sportiello G
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 18' F 6.90
46 Sergej Levak Sergej Levak M
Best on the pitch
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
D · Ajax
7.90
1 👟
· 85 pass
Lucas Rosa
Lucas Rosa
D · Ajax
7.90
2 shots · 56 pass
D. Zappacosta
D. Zappacosta
D · Atalanta
7.70
· 42 pass
G. Gaetano
G. Gaetano
M · Atalanta
7.50
2 shots · 42 pass
O. Gloukh
O. Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.50
3 shots · 52 pass
J. Brandt
J. Brandt
M · Ajax
7.50
2 shots · 76 pass
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. ter Stegen G 90 7.20 — — — 40 37% — — —
O. Wijndal D 90 6.60 — — 1 55 50% — — —
Y. Baas D 90 7.90 — 1 — 85 79% 3 — —
A. Bouwman D 90 7.00 — — — 86 81% 1 — —
Lucas Rosa D 90 7.90 — — 2 56 50% 4 — —
S. Amrabat M 90 7.30 — — — 90 85% 2 1 —
J. Mokio M 90 7.30 — — 2 54 54% — — —
O. Gloukh M 62 7.50 — — 3 52 45% 1 — —
J. Brandt M 90 7.50 — — 2 76 65% 2 — —
D. Klaassen M 62 7.00 — — 2 19 19% 1 — —
Marcos Leonardo F 66 6.60 — — 1 10 10% — — —
A. Ouazane M 28 6.60 1 — — 11 10% — — —
T. Arokodare F 24 7.20 1 1 2 3 2% — — —
V. Tsygankov F 28 6.70 — — — 16 15% 1 — —
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Carnesecchi G 90 7.00 — — — 31 24% — — —
D. Zappacosta D 90 7.70 — — — 42 40% 3 — —
R. Obrić D 90 7.30 — — — 35 34% — — —
T. Kristensen D 90 7.30 — — 1 50 47% — — —
R. Bellanova D 90 6.90 — — — 36 34% — — —
Éderson M 90 6.60 — — — 38 34% 3 — —
G. Gaetano M 80 7.50 — — 2 42 38% 1 — —
N. Zalewski M 90 6.90 — — 2 34 25% 1 1 —
C. De Ketelaere M 62 6.90 — — — 21 19% 1 — —
E. Elmas M 80 6.50 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
G. Scamacca F 72 6.90 — — 2 18 13% — — —
J. Rowe F 10 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — —
L. Samardžić M 28 6.70 — — 1 11 11% — 1 —
Mario Pasalic M 10 6.30 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
N. Krstović F 18 6.90 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Atalanta?
The final score was Ajax 2–0 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Atalanta win.