Ajax - Den Bosch
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.5%
Win
Ajax
21.21%
Draw
29.3%
Win
Den Bosch
2.07
1.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.73%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
21%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
51%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
78%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajax a 49% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Den Bosch. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ajax and 1.6 for Den Bosch (total 3.7), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.73% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
2W
1D
1L
Averages per game
3.5
Goals
2.8
4.0
Conceded
2.8
—
Shots OT
9.0
—
Corners
6.0
—
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Ajax
Den Bosch →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ajax
Attack
57
Defence
64
Form
67
Den Bosch
Attack
48
Defence
74
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajax vs Den Bosch?
The model gives Ajax a 49% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 29% for an Den Bosch win.
How many goals are expected in Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Expected goals: Ajax 2.1, Den Bosch 1.6 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in Ajax vs Den Bosch?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.73%.