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Ajax - Den Bosch

⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.5%
Win
Ajax
21.21%
Draw
29.3%
Win
Den Bosch
2.07
Expected xG
1.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.73%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 21%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 51%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 78%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajax a 49% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Den Bosch. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ajax and 1.6 for Den Bosch (total 3.7), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.73% probability.

Season Stats

Ajax
1W 0D 1L
Den Bosch
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
3.5
Goals
2.8
4.0
Conceded
2.8
—
Shots OT
9.0
—
Corners
6.0
—
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Ajax Den Bosch →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.7% 6.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L AZ Alkmaar 6–0
W Excelsior Maassluis 2–7
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
W Rijnsburgse Boys 3–5
L PSV Eindhoven 1–4
W Katwijk 2–1
D ADO Den Haag 3–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Ajax Ajax
Attack
57
Defence
64
Form
67
Den Bosch Den Bosch
Attack
48
Defence
74
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajax vs Den Bosch?
The model gives Ajax a 49% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 29% for an Den Bosch win.
How many goals are expected in Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Expected goals: Ajax 2.1, Den Bosch 1.6 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in Ajax vs Den Bosch?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.73%.