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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 7 September 19, 2026 20:00 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Ajax
#5 · 14 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Excelsior
#7 · 11 pts
Julian Brandt (ast. Kasper Dolberg) 32'
Tolu Arokodare (ast. Oscar Gloukh) 64'
45'+1 Lennard Hartjes
62' (ast. Irakli Yegoian) Aymen sliti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Excelsior 31%). The final result was Ajax 2–2 Excelsior. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics
33
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
6
81%
Possession
19%
9
Corners
0
12
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Caio Henrique / Owen Wijndal
23'
⚽Julian Brandt · ast. Kasper Dolberg
32'
35'
Jan Plug
45'+1
Lennard Hartjes⚽
↕ Viktor Tsygankov / Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
61'
↕ Kasper Dolberg / Tolu Arokodare
62'
62'
ast. Irakli Yegoian · Aymen sliti⚽
⚽Tolu Arokodare · ast. Oscar Gloukh
64'
65'
Kasey Bos / Eric da Silva Moreira ↕
71'
Ilano Silva Timas / Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson ↕
71'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh / Aymen sliti ↕
↕ Jorthy Mokio / Sofyan Amrabat
76'
↕ Davy Klaassen / Abdellah Ouazane
77'
Oscar Gloukh
85'
85'
Irakli Yegoian
85'
Mario Domínguez Franco / David Garden ↕
Pre-match prediction
42.12%
Ajax
26.42%
X ←
31.46%
Excelsior
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ajax
2.68
—
—
Excelsior
2.37
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 7 19
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 7 17
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 7 16
4 Twente Twente 7 16
5 Ajax Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 Excelsior Excelsior 7 11
8 Groningen Groningen 7 11
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 Heerenveen Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar Telstar 7 5
14 Cambuur Cambuur 7 5
15 Utrecht Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Willem II 7 2
Lineups
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G 6.05
12 Caio Henrique Caio Henrique 23' D 6.09
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas D 6.53
6 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 6.80
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei D 7.53
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt 1 ⚽ M 8.20
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio 76' M 6.53
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen 77' M 6.37
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 1 👟 F 7.70
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg 1 👟 62' F 6.92
11 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov 61' F 6.30
Bench
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 13' M 6.38
51 C. Setford C. Setford G 0.00
36 D. Janse D. Janse D 0.00
21 Jofre Torrents Jofre Torrents D 0.00
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa D 0.00
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo F 0.00
26 M. Paes M. Paes G 0.00
20 O. Edvardsen O. Edvardsen 29' F 7.07
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal 67' D 6.95
43 Rayane Bounida Rayane Bounida F 0.00
4 S. Amrabat S. Amrabat 14' M 6.20
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare 1 ⚽ 28' F 8.20
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel S. van Gassel G 6.99
15 S. Janssen S. Janssen D 6.33
14 J. Plug J. Plug D 6.22
4 C. Widell C. Widell D 6.91
2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira 65' D 6.25
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes 1 ⚽ M 7.44
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen M 5.88
8 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian 1 👟 M 6.83
30 Á. Þorsteinsson Á. Þorsteinsson 71' F 6.37
19 D. Garden D. Garden 85' F 6.39
7 A. Sliti A. Sliti 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.98
Bench
11 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh 19' F 6.49
16 Celton Biai Celton Biai G 0.00
6 D. van Vianen D. van Vianen M 0.00
24 Giulliano Cairo Giulliano Cairo M 0.00
21 I. Silva Timas I. Silva Timas 19' F 6.47
12 K. Bos K. Bos 25' F 6.76
9 Mario Domínguez Mario Domínguez 5' F 6.70
28 N. Groen N. Groen F 0.00
22 O. Turay O. Turay D 0.00
18 V. Sulzbacher V. Sulzbacher M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Brandt
J. Brandt
M · Ajax
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 76 pass
T. Arokodare
T. Arokodare
F · Ajax
8.20
1 ⚽
9 shots · 9 pass
A. Sliti
A. Sliti
F · Excelsior
7.98
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
O. Gloukh
O. Gloukh
F · Ajax
7.70
1 👟
7 shots · 67 pass
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
D · Ajax
7.53
5 shots · 96 pass
L. Hartjes
L. Hartjes
M · Excelsior
7.44
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. ter Stegen G 90 6.05 — — 0 26 25% 0 — —
Caio Henrique D 23 6.09 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
Y. Baas D 90 6.53 — — 0 142 134% 1 — —
T. Kehrer D 90 6.80 — — 1 140 137% 1 — —
A. Gaaei D 90 7.53 — — 5 96 86% 4 — —
J. Brandt M 90 8.20 1 — 3 76 68% 1 — —
J. Mokio M 76 6.53 — — 1 61 58% 2 — —
D. Klaassen M 77 6.37 — — 2 47 44% 2 — —
O. Gloukh F 90 7.70 — 1 7 67 58% 0 1 —
K. Dolberg F 62 6.92 — 1 2 13 10% 0 — —
V. Tsygankov F 61 6.30 — — 1 36 30% 0 — —
A. Ouazane M 13 6.38 — — 2 13 13% 0 — —
O. Edvardsen F 29 7.07 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
O. Wijndal D 67 6.95 — — 0 52 47% 0 — —
S. Amrabat M 14 6.20 — — 0 18 17% 1 — —
T. Arokodare F 28 8.20 1 — 9 9 8% 0 — —
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. van Gassel G 90 6.99 — — 0 44 22% 0 — —
S. Janssen D 90 6.33 — — 0 10 7% 3 — —
J. Plug D 90 6.22 — — 0 15 11% 1 1 —
C. Widell D 90 6.91 — — 0 21 16% 1 — —
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira D 65 6.25 — — 0 18 13% 0 — —
L. Hartjes M 90 7.44 1 — 1 18 15% 1 — —
R. Meissen M 90 5.88 — — 0 22 14% 1 — —
I. Yegoian M 90 6.83 — 1 0 20 15% 0 1 —
Á. Þorsteinsson F 71 6.37 — — 0 10 8% 1 — —
D. Garden F 85 6.39 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
A. Sliti F 71 7.98 1 — 3 7 3% 1 — —
A. Jahanbakhsh F 19 6.49 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
I. Silva Timas F 19 6.47 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
K. Bos F 25 6.76 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
Mario Domínguez F 5 6.70 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Excelsior?
The final score was Ajax 2–2 Excelsior.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Excelsior?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Ajax win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Excelsior win.