Ajax 5–3 FC Sion — pre-match prediction — Conference League — August 27, 2026

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Conference League · Playoff round August 27, 2026 20:00

Ajax

#13 · 3 pts

5 – 3

Final score

FC Sion

✓Model correct — prediction Ajax

Y. Baas 1'

D. Klaassen (ast. L. Rosa) 39'

T. Arokodare (ast. A. Ouazane) 45'+1

T. Arokodare (ast. A. Ouazane) 51'

O. Edvardsen (ast. Caio Henrique) 54'

18' W. Boteli

36' W. Boteli

90' (ast. F. Sylla) W. Boteli

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 61% win probability (draw 17%, FC Sion 21%). The final result was Ajax 5–3 FC Sion. In 1 previous meetings, Ajax have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Sion.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

53%

Possession

47%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Y. Baas

18'

W. Boteli⚽

↕ Y. Regeer / J. Mokio

23'

36'

W. Boteli⚽

⚽D. Klaassen · ast. L. Rosa

39'

⚽T. Arokodare · ast. A. Ouazane

45'+1

↕ S. Berghuis / O. Edvardsen

46'

50'

N. Sow

⚽T. Arokodare · ast. A. Ouazane

51'

⚽O. Edvardsen · ast. Caio Henrique

54'

56'

D. Rrudhani / R. Nivokazi ↕

56'

J. Lukembila / F. Surdez ↕

56'

Marquinhos Cipriano / N. Hefti ↕

59'

N. Lavanchy

↕ D. Klaassen / D. Janse

60'

↕ T. Arokodare / Marcos Leonardo

60'

↕ J. Brandt / O. Gloukh

60'

64'

67'

F. Sylla / A. Kabacalman ↕

67'

T. Berdayes / I. Chouaref ↕

90'

ast. F. Sylla · W. Boteli⚽

Pre-match prediction

61.43%

Ajax ←

17.46%

21.11%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 61.43% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Ajax

3.97

—

2.24

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	6
2	FC Lugano	2	6
3	Brann	2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	6
5	Twente	2	6
6	Monaco	2	6
7	St. Truiden	2	6
8	HNK Hajduk Split	2	6
9	Brighton	2	4
10	FC Copenhagen	2	4
11	Universitatea Craiova	2	4
12	Mjallby AIF	2	4
13	Ajax	2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	3
15	Atalanta	2	3
16	SC Braga	2	3
17	Gent	2	3
18	SC Freiburg	2	3
19	FC Nordsjaelland	2	2
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2	2
21	Riga	2	2
22	FK Crvena Zvezda	2	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	1
24	FK Jablonec	2	1
25	FC Midtjylland	2	1
26	Aarhus	2	1
27	Pafos	2	1
28	Heart Of Midlothian	2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	2	1
30	Getafe	2	1
31	Kairat Almaty	2	1
32	FC Thun	2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2	0
34	KuPS	2	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	2	0

Lineups

Ajax 4-3-3

M. ter Stegen 83' G 6.00

Caio Henrique 1 👟 83' D 6.90

Y. Baas 1 ⚽ 83' D 7.30

A. Bouwman 83' D 6.60

Lucas Rosa 1 👟 83' D 7.30

J. Brandt 60' M 6.60

Y. Regeer 23' M 6.30

D. Klaassen 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.90

A. Ouazane 2 👟 83' F 8.50

T. Arokodare 2 ⚽ 60' F 8.90

S. Berghuis 45' F 6.90

Bench

A. Gaaei D

D. Janse 23' D 6.90

J. Heerkens G

J. Mokio 60' M 7.00

Jofre Torrents D

K. Dolberg F

Marcos Leonardo 23' F 6.20

Mohamed Abdalla M

M. Paes G

O. Gloukh 23' M 6.60

Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 1 ⚽ 38' F 7.90

O. Wijndal D

FC Sion 4-2-3-1

A. Racioppi 83' G 6.20

N. Hefti 56' D 5.20

J. Kronig 83' D 6.20

N. Sow 83' D 7.20

N. Lavanchy 83' D 5.20

Baltazar Costa 83' M 6.50

A. Kabacalman 67' M 6.20

F. Surdez 56' M 6.00

Winsley Boteli Mokango 3 ⚽ 83' M 8.20

I. Chouaref 67' M 6.60

R. Nivokazi 56' F 6.20

Bench

A. Llukes M

B. Kololli M

D. Rrudhani 27' M 6.70

F. Ruberto G

F. Sylla 1 👟 16' M 6.90

J. Lukembila 27' F 6.30

L. Chipperfield M

L. Villa D

Marquinhos Cipriano 27' D 6.70

R. Kessler D

Simon Caillet G

T. Berdayes 16' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

T. Arokodare

F · Ajax

8.90

2 ⚽

7 shots · 13 pass

A. Ouazane

F · Ajax

8.50

2 👟

2 shots · 33 pass

Winsley Boteli Mokango

M · FC

8.20

3 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

F · Ajax

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 12 pass

D. Klaassen

M · Ajax

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 30 pass

Y. Baas

D · Ajax

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 64 pass

Ajax — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. ter Stegen	G	83	6.00	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—
Caio Henrique	D	83	6.90	—	1	—	55	50%	—	—	—
Y. Baas	D	83	7.30	1	—	2	64	57%	1	—	—
A. Bouwman	D	83	6.60	—	—	—	61	60%	1	—	—
Lucas Rosa	D	83	7.30	—	1	—	48	44%	2	—	—
J. Brandt	M	60	6.60	—	—	2	27	25%	2	—	—
Y. Regeer	M	23	6.30	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—
D. Klaassen	M	60	7.90	1	—	1	30	27%	—	—	—
A. Ouazane	F	83	8.50	—	2	2	33	29%	—	—	—
T. Arokodare	F	60	8.90	2	—	7	13	12%	—	—	—
S. Berghuis	F	45	6.90	—	—	2	16	12%	1	—	—
D. Janse	D	23	6.90	—	—	—	20	19%	1	—	—
J. Mokio	M	60	7.00	—	—	—	34	32%	—	—	—
Marcos Leonardo	F	23	6.20	—	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—
O. Gloukh	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen	F	38	7.90	1	—	2	12	11%	—	—	—

FC Sion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Racioppi	G	83	6.20	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
N. Hefti	D	56	5.20	—	—	—	24	18%	—	—	—
J. Kronig	D	83	6.20	—	—	—	49	45%	1	—	—
N. Sow	D	83	7.20	—	—	—	70	65%	5	1	—
N. Lavanchy	D	83	5.20	—	—	—	44	38%	1	1	—
Baltazar Costa	M	83	6.50	—	—	—	38	36%	—	—	—
A. Kabacalman	M	67	6.20	—	—	1	46	42%	—	—	—
F. Surdez	M	56	6.00	—	—	1	16	10%	2	—	—
Winsley Boteli Mokango	M	83	8.20	3	—	2	19	16%	—	—	—
I. Chouaref	M	67	6.60	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
R. Nivokazi	F	56	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
D. Rrudhani	M	27	6.70	—	—	—	16	16%	—	—	—
F. Sylla	M	16	6.90	—	1	1	19	17%	—	—	—
J. Lukembila	F	27	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
Marquinhos Cipriano	D	27	6.70	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
T. Berdayes	F	16	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Ajax vs FC Sion?

The final score was Ajax 5–3 FC Sion.

What did the model predict before Ajax vs FC Sion?

The model assigned 61% probability to a Ajax win, 17% to a draw, and 21% to an FC Sion win.