D. Klaassen
(ast. M. Godts)
24'
J. Mokio
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Groningen 25%). The final result was Ajax 2–0 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.83
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
0
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽D. Klaassen
· ast. M. Godts
24'
32'
B. Willumsson
/
T. van Bergen
40'
M. Peersman
⚽J. Mokio
57'
61'
D. Janse
S. Steur
/ Y. Regeer
62'
M. Godts
64'
67'
R. Metu
/
T. Hernes
67'
W. Prins
/
M. Peersman
67'
M. Seuntjens
/
D. van der Werff
68'
W. Weghorst
/ K. Dolberg
71'
S. Berghuis
/ M. Carrizo
71'
77'
R. Mendes
/
T. Land
D. Klaassen
/ T. Tomiyasu
84'
90'+1
B. Willumsson
90'+2
M. Seuntjens
Pre-match prediction
49.3%
Ajax ←
24.96%
X
25.75%
Groningen
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax)
49.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.83
+0.08
1.24
0.16
-1.08
Ajax dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
M. Paes
G
M. Paes
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
15
Y. Baas
D
Y. Baas
D
30
A. Bouwman
D
A. Bouwman
D
3
A. Gaaei
D
A. Gaaei
D
48
Sean Steur
62'
M
Sean Steur
62'
M
24
J. Mokio
1 ⚽
M
J. Mokio
1 ⚽
M
18
D. Klaassen
1 ⚽
84'
M
D. Klaassen
1 ⚽
84'
M
11
M. Godts
1 👟
F
M. Godts
1 👟
F
25
W. Weghorst
71'
F
W. Weghorst
71'
F
23
S. Berghuis
71'
F
S. Berghuis
71'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
F
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
F
9
K. Dolberg
21'
F
K. Dolberg
21'
F
64
Kennynho Kasanwirjo
D
Kennynho Kasanwirjo
D
7
M. Carrizo
21'
F
M. Carrizo
21'
F
50
M. Muzungu
D
M. Muzungu
D
10
O. Gloukh
M
O. Gloukh
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
43
Rayane Bounida
F
Rayane Bounida
F
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
32
T. Tomiyasu
8'
D
T. Tomiyasu
8'
D
58
Valentijn van der Velde
G
Valentijn van der Velde
G
6
Y. Regeer
30'
M
Y. Regeer
30'
M
1
E. Vaessen
G
E. Vaessen
G
43
M. Peersman
67'
D
M. Peersman
67'
D
4
D. Janse
D
D. Janse
D
3
T. Blokzijl
D
T. Blokzijl
D
5
M. Rente
D
M. Rente
D
8
T. de Jonge
M
T. de Jonge
M
18
T. Land
77'
M
T. Land
77'
M
14
J. Schreuders
M
J. Schreuders
M
17
D. van der Werff
67'
M
D. van der Werff
67'
M
7
T. Hernes
67'
M
T. Hernes
67'
M
26
T. van Bergen
32'
F
T. van Bergen
32'
F
Bench
44
Besnik Mashuku
M
Besnik Mashuku
M
9
B. Willumsson
60'
F
B. Willumsson
60'
F
15
E. van der Laan
D
E. van der Laan
D
21
Hidde Jurjus
G
Hidde Jurjus
G
13
L. Štubljar
G
L. Štubljar
G
20
Mats Seuntjens
25'
M
Mats Seuntjens
25'
M
48
Robin Kelder
D
Robin Kelder
D
27
Rui Mendes
15'
F
Rui Mendes
15'
F
34
Ryan Metu
25'
F
Ryan Metu
25'
F
22
Sven Bouland
D
Sven Bouland
D
16
Tyrique Mercera
D
Tyrique Mercera
D
2
Wouter Prins
25'
D
Wouter Prins
25'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
F · Ajax
8.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
D. Klaassen
M · Ajax
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 43 pass
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.30
· 27 pass
J. Mokio
M · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
T. de Jonge
M · Groningen
7.20
1 shots
· 28 pass
K. Dolberg
F · Ajax
7.00
· 7 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paes | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouwman | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mokio | M | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Klaassen | M | 84 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 92 | 8.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Carrizo | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Tomiyasu | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Groningen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Vaessen | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Peersman | D | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Janse | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Blokzijl | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Rente | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. de Jonge | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| T. Land | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Schreuders | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| D. van der Werff | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Hernes | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. van Bergen | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| B. Willumsson | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mats Seuntjens | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Rui Mendes | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Metu | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wouter Prins | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Groningen?
The final score was Ajax 2–0 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Groningen?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Ajax win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Groningen win.