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Eredivisie · Semi-finals May 21, 2026 18:45 Kras Stadion, Volendam
Ajax
#5 · 56 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Groningen
#9 · 48 pts
D. Klaassen (ast. M. Godts) 24'
J. Mokio 57'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Groningen 25%). The final result was Ajax 2–0 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.83
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
0
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽D. Klaassen · ast. M. Godts
24'
32'
B. Willumsson / T. van Bergen ↕
40'
M. Peersman
⚽J. Mokio
57'
61'
D. Janse
↕ S. Steur / Y. Regeer
62'
M. Godts
64'
67'
R. Metu / T. Hernes ↕
67'
W. Prins / M. Peersman ↕
67'
M. Seuntjens / D. van der Werff ↕
68'
↕ W. Weghorst / K. Dolberg
71'
↕ S. Berghuis / M. Carrizo
71'
77'
R. Mendes / T. Land ↕
↕ D. Klaassen / T. Tomiyasu
84'
90'+1
B. Willumsson
90'+2
M. Seuntjens
Pre-match prediction
49.3%
Ajax ←
24.96%
X
25.75%
Groningen
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 49.3% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ajax
1.75
1.83
+0.08
Groningen
1.24
0.16
-1.08
Ajax dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 34 84
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 34 65
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 34 59
4 Twente Twente 34 58
5 Ajax Ajax 34 56
6 Utrecht Utrecht 34 53
7 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 34 52
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 34 51
9 Groningen Groningen 34 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 34 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 34 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 34 38
13 Excelsior Excelsior 34 38
14 Telstar Telstar 34 37
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 34 37
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 34 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 34 29
18 Heracles Heracles 34 19
Lineups
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
Maarten Paes G 6.90
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa D 6.90
15 Youri Baas Youri Baas D 6.90
30 Aaron Bouwman Aaron Bouwman D 6.50
3 Anton Gaaei Anton Gaaei D 6.90
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 62' M 7.30
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio 1 ⚽ M 7.30
18 Davy Klaassen Davy Klaassen 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.30
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 👟 F 8.70
25 Wout Weghorst Wout Weghorst 71' F 6.50
23 Steven Berghuis Steven Berghuis 71' F 7.00
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Konadu Don-Angelo Konadu F
9 Kasper Dolberg Kasper Dolberg 21' F 7.00
64 Kennynho Kasanwirjo Kennynho Kasanwirjo D
7 Maher Carrizo Maher Carrizo 21' F 6.20
50 Marvyn Muzungu Marvyn Muzungu D
10 Oscar Gloukh Oscar Gloukh M
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
43 Rayane Bounida Rayane Bounida F
45 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert D
32 Takehiro Tomiyasu Takehiro Tomiyasu 8' D 6.70
58 Valentijn van der Velde Valentijn van der Velde G
6 Youri Regeer Youri Regeer 30' M 6.20
Groningen Groningen 4-2-3-1
1 Etienne Vaessen Etienne Vaessen G 6.90
43 M. Peersman M. Peersman 67' D 6.00
4 D. Janse D. Janse D 6.30
3 Thijmen Blokzijl Thijmen Blokzijl D 6.30
5 Marco Rente Marco Rente D 5.90
8 Tika de Jonge Tika de Jonge M 7.20
18 Tygo Land Tygo Land 77' M 6.70
14 Jorg Schreuders Jorg Schreuders M 6.30
17 David van der Werff David van der Werff 67' M 6.30
7 Travis Hernes Travis Hernes 67' M 6.20
26 T. van Bergen T. van Bergen 32' F 6.20
Bench
9 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson 60' F 6.20
15 Elvis Van der Laan Elvis Van der Laan D
21 Hidde Jurjus Hidde Jurjus G
44 Jismerai Dillema Jismerai Dillema M
13 Lovro Štubljar Lovro Štubljar G
20 Mats Seuntjens Mats Seuntjens 25' M 6.70
48 Robin Kelder Robin Kelder D
27 Rui Mendes Rui Mendes 15' F 6.50
34 Ryan Metu Ryan Metu 25' F 6.70
22 Sven Bouland Sven Bouland D
16 Tyrique Mercera Tyrique Mercera D
2 Wouter Prins Wouter Prins 25' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
8.70
1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen
M · Ajax
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
Sean Steur
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.30
· 27 pass
J. Mokio
J. Mokio
M · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Tika de Jonge
Tika de Jonge
M · Groningen
7.20
1 shots · 28 pass
Kasper Dolberg
Kasper Dolberg
F · Ajax
7.00
· 7 pass
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maarten Paes G 92 6.90 — — — 48 33% — — —
Lucas Rosa D 92 6.90 — — — 59 51% 3 — —
Youri Baas D 92 6.90 — — — 65 59% 1 — —
Aaron Bouwman D 92 6.50 — — 1 60 55% 1 — —
Anton Gaaei D 92 6.90 — — — 59 52% 1 — —
Sean Steur M 62 7.30 — — — 27 24% 2 — —
J. Mokio M 92 7.30 1 — 1 36 27% 3 — —
Davy Klaassen M 84 8.30 1 — 1 43 32% 3 — —
M. Godts F 92 8.70 — 1 2 46 38% 1 1 —
Wout Weghorst F 71 6.50 — — 2 23 12% — — —
Steven Berghuis F 71 7.00 — — 1 42 38% 1 — —
Kasper Dolberg F 21 7.00 — — — 7 6% — — —
Maher Carrizo F 21 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Takehiro Tomiyasu D 8 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Youri Regeer M 30 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Groningen Groningen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Etienne Vaessen G 92 6.90 — — — 28 18% — — —
M. Peersman D 67 6.00 — — — 26 14% 2 1 —
D. Janse D 92 6.30 — — — 48 36% 1 1 —
Thijmen Blokzijl D 92 6.30 — — — 39 32% 4 — —
Marco Rente D 92 5.90 — — — 23 14% 1 — —
Tika de Jonge M 92 7.20 — — 1 28 21% — — —
Tygo Land M 77 6.70 — — — 42 37% 2 — —
Jorg Schreuders M 92 6.30 — — — 29 24% 5 — —
David van der Werff M 67 6.30 — — — 19 14% — — —
Travis Hernes M 67 6.20 — — — 18 15% — — —
T. van Bergen F 32 6.20 — — — 6 4% — — —
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson F 60 6.20 — — 1 7 6% 4 1 —
Mats Seuntjens M 25 6.70 — — 1 10 6% — 1 —
Rui Mendes F 15 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
Ryan Metu F 25 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Wouter Prins D 25 6.90 — — — 10 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Groningen?
The final score was Ajax 2–0 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Groningen?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Ajax win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Groningen win.