D. Klaassen
(ast. M. Godts)
24'
J. Mokio
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Groningen 25%). The final result was Ajax 2–0 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Groningen.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.83
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
0
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽D. Klaassen
· ast. M. Godts
24'
32'
B. Willumsson
/
T. van Bergen
40'
M. Peersman
⚽J. Mokio
57'
61'
D. Janse
S. Steur
/ Y. Regeer
62'
M. Godts
64'
67'
R. Metu
/
T. Hernes
67'
W. Prins
/
M. Peersman
67'
M. Seuntjens
/
D. van der Werff
68'
W. Weghorst
/ K. Dolberg
71'
S. Berghuis
/ M. Carrizo
71'
77'
R. Mendes
/
T. Land
D. Klaassen
/ T. Tomiyasu
84'
90'+1
B. Willumsson
90'+2
M. Seuntjens
Pre-match prediction
49.3%
Ajax ←
24.96%
X
25.75%
Groningen
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax)
49.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.83
+0.08
1.24
0.16
-1.08
Ajax dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Maarten Paes
G
Maarten Paes
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
15
Youri Baas
D
Youri Baas
D
30
Aaron Bouwman
D
Aaron Bouwman
D
3
Anton Gaaei
D
Anton Gaaei
D
48
Sean Steur
62'
M
Sean Steur
62'
M
24
Jorthy Mokio
1 ⚽
M
Jorthy Mokio
1 ⚽
M
18
Davy Klaassen
1 ⚽
84'
M
Davy Klaassen
1 ⚽
84'
M
11
Mika Godts
1 👟
F
Mika Godts
1 👟
F
25
W. Weghorst
71'
F
W. Weghorst
71'
F
23
Steven Berghuis
71'
F
Steven Berghuis
71'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Konadu
F
Don-Angelo Konadu
F
9
Kasper Dolberg
21'
F
Kasper Dolberg
21'
F
64
Kennynho Kasanwirjo
D
Kennynho Kasanwirjo
D
7
Maher Carrizo
21'
F
Maher Carrizo
21'
F
50
Marvyn Muzungu
D
Marvyn Muzungu
D
10
Oscar Gloukh
M
Oscar Gloukh
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
43
Rayane Bounida
F
Rayane Bounida
F
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu
8'
D
Takehiro Tomiyasu
8'
D
58
Valentijn van der Velde
G
Valentijn van der Velde
G
6
Youri Regeer
30'
M
Youri Regeer
30'
M
1
E. Vaessen
G
E. Vaessen
G
43
M. Peersman
67'
D
M. Peersman
67'
D
4
D. Janse
D
D. Janse
D
3
Thijmen Blokzijl
D
Thijmen Blokzijl
D
5
Marco Rente
D
Marco Rente
D
8
Tika de Jonge
M
Tika de Jonge
M
18
Tygo Land
77'
M
Tygo Land
77'
M
14
Jorg Schreuders
M
Jorg Schreuders
M
17
David van der Werff
67'
M
David van der Werff
67'
M
7
Travis Hernes
67'
M
Travis Hernes
67'
M
26
T. van Bergen
32'
F
T. van Bergen
32'
F
Bench
9
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
60'
F
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
60'
F
15
Elvis Van der Laan
D
Elvis Van der Laan
D
21
Hidde Jurjus
G
Hidde Jurjus
G
44
Jismerai Dillema
M
Jismerai Dillema
M
13
Lovro Štubljar
G
Lovro Štubljar
G
20
Mats Seuntjens
25'
M
Mats Seuntjens
25'
M
48
Robin Kelder
D
Robin Kelder
D
27
Rui Mendes
15'
F
Rui Mendes
15'
F
34
Ryan Metu
25'
F
Ryan Metu
25'
F
22
Sven Bouland
D
Sven Bouland
D
16
Tyrique Mercera
D
Tyrique Mercera
D
2
Wouter Prins
25'
D
Wouter Prins
25'
D
Best on the pitch
Mika Godts
F · Ajax
8.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
Davy Klaassen
M · Ajax
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 43 pass
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.30
· 27 pass
Jorthy Mokio
M · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Tika de Jonge
M · Groningen
7.20
1 shots
· 28 pass
Kasper Dolberg
F · Ajax
7.00
· 7 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Youri Baas | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Davy Klaassen | M | 84 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Mika Godts | F | 92 | 8.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Steven Berghuis | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Youri Regeer | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Groningen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Vaessen | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Peersman | D | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Janse | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thijmen Blokzijl | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Marco Rente | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Tika de Jonge | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Tygo Land | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorg Schreuders | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| David van der Werff | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Travis Hernes | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. van Bergen | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mats Seuntjens | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Rui Mendes | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Metu | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wouter Prins | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Groningen?
The final score was Ajax 2–0 Groningen.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Groningen?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Ajax win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Groningen win.