Tolu Arokodare
(ast. Jorthy Mokio)
7'
(pen.)
19'
Tjaronn Chery
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 45% win probability (draw 27%, NEC Nijmegen 26%). The final result was Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
1.86
Actual xG
1.11
1
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Tolu Arokodare
· ast. Jorthy Mokio
7'
Jorthy Mokio
17'
19'
(pen.)
Tjaronn Chery⚽
33'
Bryan Linssen
54'
Gabriel·Bras
Oscar Gloukh
/ Abdellah Ouazane
60'
Viktor Tsygankov
/ Simon Adingra
60'
Abdellah Ouazane
67'
72'
Ahmetcan Kaplan
/
Perr Schuurs
73'
Mitchel Bakker
/
Bryan Linssen
Tolu Arokodare
/ Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida
73'
Lucas Oliveira·Rosa
/ Aaron Bouwman
73'
Owen Wijndal
/ Davy Klaassen
80'
82'
Jamiro Monteiro
/
Kevin Kers
82'
Willum Thor Willumsson
/
Tjaronn Chery
Pre-match prediction
45.96%
Ajax
27.83%
X ←
26.21%
NEC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
1.86
-0.04
1.14
1.11
-0.02
Ajax dominated by xG (1.86 vs 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
M. ter Stegen
G
M. ter Stegen
G
5
O. Wijndal
80'
D
O. Wijndal
80'
D
15
Y. Baas
D
Y. Baas
D
6
T. Kehrer
D
T. Kehrer
D
2
Lucas Rosa
73'
D
Lucas Rosa
73'
D
8
J. Brandt
M
J. Brandt
M
4
S. Amrabat
M
S. Amrabat
M
24
J. Mokio
1 👟
M
J. Mokio
1 👟
M
10
O. Gloukh
60'
F
O. Gloukh
60'
F
99
T. Arokodare
1 ⚽
73'
F
T. Arokodare
1 ⚽
73'
F
11
V. Tsygankov
60'
F
V. Tsygankov
60'
F
Bench
30
A. Bouwman
17'
D
A. Bouwman
17'
D
68
A. Ouazane
30'
M
A. Ouazane
30'
M
51
C. Setford
G
C. Setford
G
36
D. Janse
D
D. Janse
D
18
D. Klaassen
10'
M
D. Klaassen
10'
M
21
Jofre Torrents
D
Jofre Torrents
D
38
Marcos Leonardo
17'
F
Marcos Leonardo
17'
F
26
M. Paes
G
M. Paes
G
20
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
43
Rayane Bounida
F
Rayane Bounida
F
7
S. Adingra
30'
F
S. Adingra
30'
F
28
Y. Bissouma
M
Y. Bissouma
M
1
G. Crettaz
G
G. Crettaz
G
24
Deveron Fonville
D
Deveron Fonville
D
4
P. Schuurs
72'
D
P. Schuurs
72'
D
73
Gabriel Brás
D
Gabriel Brás
D
34
Kevin Kers
82'
M
Kevin Kers
82'
M
20
N. Lebreton
M
N. Lebreton
M
6
D. Nejašmić
M
D. Nejašmić
M
21
T. Storm
M
T. Storm
M
10
D. Tadić
M
D. Tadić
M
9
T. Chery
1 ⚽
82'
M
T. Chery
1 ⚽
82'
M
30
B. Linssen
73'
F
B. Linssen
73'
F
Bench
19
Adam Tahaui
F
Adam Tahaui
F
22
A. Kaplan
18'
D
A. Kaplan
18'
D
66
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
D
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
D
99
Clement Bischoff
F
Clement Bischoff
F
36
Freek Entius
G
Freek Entius
G
8
I. Hansen-Aarøen
M
I. Hansen-Aarøen
M
35
Jamiro Monteiro
8'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
8'
M
5
M. Bakker
17'
D
M. Bakker
17'
D
12
N. Polster
G
N. Polster
G
11
W. Willumsson
8'
M
W. Willumsson
8'
M
42
Y. Moslih
D
Y. Moslih
D
Best on the pitch
T. Arokodare
F · Ajax
7.86
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
G. Crettaz
G · NEC
7.45
· 34 pass
J. Brandt
M · Ajax
7.20
3 shots
· 58 pass
S. Adingra
F · Ajax
7.13
1 shots
· 10 pass
S. Amrabat
M · Ajax
7.10
1 shots
· 66 pass
J. Mokio
M · Ajax
6.97
1 👟
1 shots
· 26 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ter Stegen | G | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Wijndal | D | 80 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Kehrer | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 73 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Amrabat | M | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mokio | M | 90 | 6.97 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| O. Gloukh | F | 60 | 6.92 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 73 | 7.86 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Tsygankov | F | 60 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouwman | D | 17 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ouazane | M | 30 | 6.23 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Klaassen | M | 10 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 17 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Adingra | F | 30 | 7.13 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz | G | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Schuurs | D | 72 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Kers | M | 82 | 6.37 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Storm | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Tadić | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Chery | M | 82 | 6.82 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 73 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 8 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bakker | D | 17 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Willumsson | M | 8 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
The final score was Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Ajax win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an NEC Nijmegen win.