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#8 · 7 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#2 · 13 pts
A. Gaaei (ast. M. Godts) 11'
M. Godts 90'+2
1' (ast. Y. Gasiorowski) R. Pepi
77' M. Boadu
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Ajax 35%). The final result was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.95
Actual xG
1.80
0
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
ast. Y. Gasiorowski · R. Pepi
A. Gaaei · ast. M. Godts
11'
59'
N. Fernandez / J. Veerman
60'
S. Dest / P. Wanner
S. Berghuis / O. Gloukh
71'
Y. Regeer / S. Steur
71'
72'
M. Boadu / R. Pepi
72'
D. Man / E. Bajraktarevic
S. Steur
75'
77'
M. Boadu
83'
C. Driouech
86'
J. van den Berg / C. Driouech
88'
D. Man
M. Godts
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
35.77%
Ajax
23.98%
X ←
40.25%
PSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ajax
1.87
0.95
-0.92
PSV
2.11
1.80
-0.31
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.95). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 6.50
2
D 6.90
15
D 6.50
37
D 7.00
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei 1 ⚽ D 7.30
24
M 6.60
4 K. Itakura K. Itakura 82' M 6.20
6 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer 71' M 6.70
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.70
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg 82' F 6.70
23 S. Berghuis S. Berghuis 71' F 7.30
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu 12' F 6.70
17 O. Edvardsen O. Edvardsen F
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 23' M 6.60
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
45 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert D
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 23' M 6.30
32 T. Tomiyasu T. Tomiyasu D
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
32
G 6.70
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior D 6.60
3
1 👟 D 7.30
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo D 7.30
25 Kiliann Sildillia Kiliann Sildillia D 6.30
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 59' M 6.70
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner 60' M 6.30
11 C. Driouech C. Driouech 86' M 6.20
20 G. Til G. Til M 6.30
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 72' M 6.90
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.50
Bench
27 D. Man D. Man 22' F 6.30
56 J. Koller J. Koller M
52 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah M
35 J. van den Berg J. van den Berg 8' M 6.30
21 Myron Boadu Myron Boadu 1 ⚽ 22' F 6.90
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 35' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
R. Pepi
R. Pepi
F · PSV
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
R. Flamingo
R. Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 56 pass
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
D · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 37 pass
D · PSV
7.30
1 👟
· 61 pass
S. Berghuis
S. Berghuis
F · Ajax
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.50 44 27%
D 94 6.90 49 44% 2
D 94 6.50 1 64 59%
D 94 7.00 63 58% 1
A. Gaaei D 94 7.30 1 3 37 31% 1
M 94 6.60 1 26 21% 3
K. Itakura M 82 6.20 31 28% 1
Y. Regeer M 71 6.70 1 28 26% 3
M. Godts F 94 7.70 1 1 1 42 33%
K. Dolberg F 82 6.70 24 19% 1
S. Berghuis F 71 7.30 1 39 27% 1
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu F 12 6.70 1 1%
O. Gloukh M 23 6.60 1 8 8%
Sean Steur M 23 6.30 13 13% 1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.70 46 37%
Mauro Júnior D 94 6.60 62 53% 2
D 94 7.30 1 61 54% 4
R. Flamingo D 94 7.30 56 47% 1
Kiliann Sildillia D 94 6.30 51 40%
J. Veerman M 59 6.70 60 52% 3
P. Wanner M 60 6.30 27 23% 2
C. Driouech M 86 6.20 2 30 28% 1 1
G. Til M 94 6.30 32 28% 1
E. Bajraktarevic M 72 6.90 25 24% 1
R. Pepi F 72 7.50 1 2 10 8%
D. Man F 22 6.30 7 4% 1
J. van den Berg M 8 6.30 1
Myron Boadu F 22 6.90 1 1 3 3%
N. Fernandez M 35 6.30 16 14% 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an PSV Eindhoven win.