A. Gaaei
(ast. M. Godts)
11'
M. Godts
90'+2
1'
(ast. Y. Gasiorowski)
R. Pepi
77'
M. Boadu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Ajax 35%). The final result was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for PSV Eindhoven.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.95
Actual xG
1.80
0
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
ast. Y. Gasiorowski ·
R. Pepi⚽
⚽A. Gaaei
· ast. M. Godts
11'
59'
N. Fernandez
/
J. Veerman
60'
S. Dest
/
P. Wanner
S. Berghuis
/ O. Gloukh
71'
Y. Regeer
/ S. Steur
71'
72'
M. Boadu
/
R. Pepi
72'
D. Man
/
E. Bajraktarevic
S. Steur
75'
77'
M. Boadu⚽
83'
C. Driouech
86'
J. van den Berg
/
C. Driouech
88'
D. Man
⚽M. Godts
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
35.77%
Ajax
23.98%
X ←
40.25%
PSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
0.95
-0.92
2.11
1.80
-0.31
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.95).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
2
D
15
D
37
D
3
A. Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
A. Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
24
M
4
K. Itakura
82'
M
K. Itakura
82'
M
6
Y. Regeer
71'
M
Y. Regeer
71'
M
11
M. Godts
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
M. Godts
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
K. Dolberg
82'
F
K. Dolberg
82'
F
23
S. Berghuis
71'
F
S. Berghuis
71'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
12'
F
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
12'
F
17
O. Edvardsen
F
O. Edvardsen
F
10
O. Gloukh
23'
M
O. Gloukh
23'
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
48
Sean Steur
23'
M
Sean Steur
23'
M
32
T. Tomiyasu
D
T. Tomiyasu
D
32
G
17
Mauro Júnior
D
Mauro Júnior
D
3
1 👟
D
6
R. Flamingo
D
R. Flamingo
D
25
Kiliann Sildillia
D
Kiliann Sildillia
D
23
J. Veerman
59'
M
J. Veerman
59'
M
10
P. Wanner
60'
M
P. Wanner
60'
M
11
C. Driouech
86'
M
C. Driouech
86'
M
20
G. Til
M
G. Til
M
19
E. Bajraktarevic
72'
M
E. Bajraktarevic
72'
M
9
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
72'
F
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
27
D. Man
22'
F
D. Man
22'
F
56
J. Koller
M
J. Koller
M
52
Jordy Bawuah
M
Jordy Bawuah
M
35
J. van den Berg
8'
M
J. van den Berg
8'
M
21
Myron Boadu
1 ⚽
22'
F
Myron Boadu
1 ⚽
22'
F
31
N. Fernandez
35'
M
N. Fernandez
35'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 42 pass
R. Pepi
F · PSV
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
R. Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 56 pass
A. Gaaei
D · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
D · PSV
7.30
1 👟
· 61 pass
S. Berghuis
F · Ajax
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Gaaei | D | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — | |
| K. Itakura | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 33% | — | — | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | F | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Gloukh | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| Mauro Júnior | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 54% | 4 | — | — | |
| R. Flamingo | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Kiliann Sildillia | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Driouech | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Til | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Man | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| J. van den Berg | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Myron Boadu | F | 22 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an PSV Eindhoven win.