A. Gaaei
(ast. M. Godts)
11'
M. Godts
90'+2
1'
(ast. Y. Gasiorowski)
R. Pepi
77'
M. Boadu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Ajax 35%). The final result was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 1 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.95
Actual xG
1.80
0
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
ast. Y. Gasiorowski ·
R. Pepi⚽
⚽A. Gaaei
· ast. M. Godts
11'
59'
N. Fernandez
/
J. Veerman
60'
S. Dest
/
P. Wanner
S. Berghuis
/ O. Gloukh
71'
Y. Regeer
/ S. Steur
71'
72'
M. Boadu
/
R. Pepi
72'
D. Man
/
E. Bajraktarevic
S. Steur
75'
77'
M. Boadu⚽
83'
C. Driouech
86'
J. van den Berg
/
C. Driouech
88'
D. Man
⚽M. Godts
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
35.77%
Ajax
23.98%
X ←
40.25%
PSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
0.95
-0.92
2.11
1.80
-0.31
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.95).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
2
D
15
D
37
D
3
Anton Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
Anton Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
24
M
4
Ko Itakura
82'
M
Ko Itakura
82'
M
6
Youri Regeer
71'
M
Youri Regeer
71'
M
11
Mika Godts
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Mika Godts
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
Kasper Dolberg
82'
F
Kasper Dolberg
82'
F
23
Steven Berghuis
71'
F
Steven Berghuis
71'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Konadu
12'
F
Don-Angelo Konadu
12'
F
17
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
10
Oscar Gloukh
23'
M
Oscar Gloukh
23'
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
48
Sean Steur
23'
M
Sean Steur
23'
M
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu
D
Takehiro Tomiyasu
D
32
G
17
Mauro Júnior
D
Mauro Júnior
D
3
1 👟
D
6
Ryan Flamingo
D
Ryan Flamingo
D
25
K. Sildillia
D
K. Sildillia
D
23
J. Veerman
59'
M
J. Veerman
59'
M
10
P. Wanner
60'
M
P. Wanner
60'
M
11
Couhaib Driouech
86'
M
Couhaib Driouech
86'
M
20
G. Til
M
G. Til
M
19
E. Bajraktarevic
72'
M
E. Bajraktarevic
72'
M
9
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
72'
F
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
27
D. Man
22'
F
D. Man
22'
F
56
Jim Koller
M
Jim Koller
M
35
Joel Van Den Berg
8'
M
Joel Van Den Berg
8'
M
52
Jordy Bawuah
M
Jordy Bawuah
M
21
Myron Boadu
1 ⚽
22'
F
Myron Boadu
1 ⚽
22'
F
31
Noah Fernandez
35'
M
Noah Fernandez
35'
M
Best on the pitch
Mika Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 42 pass
R. Pepi
F · PSV
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Ryan Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 56 pass
Anton Gaaei
D · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
D · PSV
7.30
1 👟
· 61 pass
Steven Berghuis
F · Ajax
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — | |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — | |
| Ko Itakura | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Youri Regeer | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Mika Godts | F | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Berghuis | F | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| Mauro Júnior | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 54% | 4 | — | — | |
| Ryan Flamingo | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sildillia | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Couhaib Driouech | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Til | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Man | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Van Den Berg | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Myron Boadu | F | 22 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Noah Fernandez | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an PSV Eindhoven win.