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#2 · 21 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#3 · 20 pts
A. Gaaei (ast. M. Godts) 11'
M. Godts 90'+2
1' (ast. Y. Gasiorowski) R. Pepi
77' M. Boadu
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Ajax 35%). The final result was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.95
Actual xG
1.80
0
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
ast. Y. Gasiorowski · R. Pepi⚽
⚽A. Gaaei · ast. M. Godts
11'
59'
N. Fernandez / J. Veerman ↕
60'
S. Dest / P. Wanner ↕
↕ S. Berghuis / O. Gloukh
71'
↕ Y. Regeer / S. Steur
71'
72'
M. Boadu / R. Pepi ↕
72'
D. Man / E. Bajraktarevic ↕
S. Steur
75'
77'
M. Boadu⚽
83'
C. Driouech
86'
J. van den Berg / C. Driouech ↕
88'
D. Man
⚽M. Godts
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
35.77%
Ajax
23.98%
X ←
40.25%
PSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ajax
1.87
0.95
-0.92
PSV
2.11
1.80
-0.31
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.95). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 6.50
2
D 6.90
15
D 6.50
37
D 7.00
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei 1 ⚽ D 7.30
24
M 6.60
4 K. Itakura K. Itakura 82' M 6.20
6 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer 71' M 6.70
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.70
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg 82' F 6.70
23 S. Berghuis S. Berghuis 71' F 7.30
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu 12' F 6.70
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 23' M 6.60
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
45 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert D
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 23' M 6.30
32 T. Tomiyasu T. Tomiyasu D
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
32
G 6.70
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior D 6.60
3
1 👟 D 7.30
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo D 7.30
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.30
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 59' M 6.70
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner 60' M 6.30
11 C. Driouech C. Driouech 86' M 6.20
20 G. Til G. Til M 6.30
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 72' M 6.90
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.50
Bench
27 D. Man D. Man 22' F 6.30
56 J. Koller J. Koller M
52 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah M
35 J. van den Berg J. van den Berg 8' M 6.30
21 M. Boadu M. Boadu 1 ⚽ 22' F 6.90
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 35' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
R. Pepi
R. Pepi
F · PSV
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
R. Flamingo
R. Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 56 pass
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
D · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 37 pass
D · PSV
7.30
1 👟
· 61 pass
S. Berghuis
S. Berghuis
F · Ajax
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.50 — — — 44 27% — — —
D 94 6.90 — — — 49 44% 2 — —
D 94 6.50 — — 1 64 59% — — —
D 94 7.00 — — — 63 58% 1 — —
A. Gaaei D 94 7.30 1 — 3 37 31% 1 — —
M 94 6.60 — — 1 26 21% 3 — —
K. Itakura M 82 6.20 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Y. Regeer M 71 6.70 — — 1 28 26% 3 — —
M. Godts F 94 7.70 1 1 1 42 33% — — —
K. Dolberg F 82 6.70 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
S. Berghuis F 71 7.30 — — 1 39 27% 1 — —
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu F 12 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
O. Gloukh M 23 6.60 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Sean Steur M 23 6.30 — — — 13 13% — 1 —
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.70 — — — 46 37% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 94 6.60 — — — 62 53% 2 — —
D 94 7.30 — 1 — 61 54% 4 — —
R. Flamingo D 94 7.30 — — — 56 47% 1 — —
K. Sildillia D 94 6.30 — — — 51 40% — — —
J. Veerman M 59 6.70 — — — 60 52% 3 — —
P. Wanner M 60 6.30 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
C. Driouech M 86 6.20 — — 2 30 28% 1 1 —
G. Til M 94 6.30 — — — 32 28% 1 — —
E. Bajraktarevic M 72 6.90 — — — 25 24% 1 — —
R. Pepi F 72 7.50 1 — 2 10 8% — — —
D. Man F 22 6.30 — — — 7 4% — 1 —
J. van den Berg M 8 6.30 — — — — — 1 — —
M. Boadu F 22 6.90 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
N. Fernandez M 35 6.30 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an PSV Eindhoven win.