Conference League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 06, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Ajax
M. Godts
6'
(pen.)
O. Wijndal
(ast. S. Berghuis)
22'
K. Dolberg
(ast. S. Berghuis)
50'
84'
D. Kelly
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Shelbourne 14%). The final result was Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne. In 1 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
3
11
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
8
71%
Possession
29%
14
Corners
0
9
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Godts
(pen.)
6'
⚽O. Wijndal
· ast. S. Berghuis
22'
47'
E. Caffrey
⚽K. Dolberg
· ast. S. Berghuis
50'
⚽M. Godts
(missed pen.)
57'
D. Klaassen
/ Marcos Leonardo
58'
O. Gloukh
/ J. Mokio
58'
S. Berghuis
/ O. Edvardsen
64'
K. Dolberg
/ J. Brandt
65'
74'
R. Freitas
/
S. Moore
M. Godts
/ M. Carrizo
77'
80'
A. Coote
/
J. Henry-Francis
81'
O. Casey
/
K. McInroy
84'
D. Kelly⚽
J. Mokio
86'
90'+3
S. Gannon
/
J. Norris
90'+3
J. Roche
/
S. Bone
Pre-match prediction
70.39%
Ajax ←
15.27%
X
14.33%
Shelbourne
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax)
70.39%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.33
—
—
1.32
—
—
Lineups
26
Maarten Paes
89'
G
Maarten Paes
89'
G
5
Owen Wijndal
1 ⚽
89'
D
Owen Wijndal
1 ⚽
89'
D
17
Daley Blind
89'
D
Daley Blind
89'
D
30
Aaron Bouwman
89'
D
Aaron Bouwman
89'
D
3
A. Gaaei
89'
D
A. Gaaei
89'
D
6
Y. Regeer
89'
M
Y. Regeer
89'
M
11
M. Godts
1 ⚽
77'
M
M. Godts
1 ⚽
77'
M
10
Oscar Gloukh
58'
M
Oscar Gloukh
58'
M
18
Davy Klaassen
58'
M
Davy Klaassen
58'
M
23
Steven Berghuis
2 👟
64'
M
Steven Berghuis
2 👟
64'
M
9
K. Dolberg
1 ⚽
65'
F
K. Dolberg
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
68
Abdellah Ouazane
M
Abdellah Ouazane
M
12
Caio Henrique
D
Caio Henrique
D
8
J. Brandt
24'
M
J. Brandt
24'
M
22
J. Heerkens
G
J. Heerkens
G
24
Jorthy Mokio
31'
M
Jorthy Mokio
31'
M
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
7
Maher Carrizo
12'
F
Maher Carrizo
12'
F
1
Marc-André ter Stegen
G
Marc-André ter Stegen
G
38
Marcos Leonardo
31'
F
Marcos Leonardo
31'
F
20
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
25'
F
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
25'
F
99
Tolu Arokodare
F
Tolu Arokodare
F
15
Youri Baas
D
Youri Baas
D
19
E. Beach
89'
G
E. Beach
89'
G
18
James Barry Norris
89'
D
James Barry Norris
89'
D
4
K. Ledwidge
89'
D
K. Ledwidge
89'
D
29
Paddy Barrett
89'
D
Paddy Barrett
89'
D
15
S. Bone
89'
D
S. Bone
89'
D
25
M. Mbeng
89'
D
M. Mbeng
89'
D
27
E. Caffrey
89'
M
E. Caffrey
89'
M
23
Kerr McInroy
80'
M
Kerr McInroy
80'
M
21
Jack Henry-Francis
80'
M
Jack Henry-Francis
80'
M
22
S. Moore
73'
M
S. Moore
73'
M
17
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
89'
F
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
14
A. Coote
9'
M
A. Coote
9'
M
44
Daniel Ring
F
Daniel Ring
F
73
Finn Moylan
G
Finn Moylan
G
55
James Roche
D
James Roche
D
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
56
J. Wuna
F
J. Wuna
F
13
M. Johnson
G
M. Johnson
G
11
M. Odubeko
F
M. Odubeko
F
16
O. Casey
9'
D
O. Casey
9'
D
20
R. Freitas
16'
F
R. Freitas
16'
F
2
S. Gannon
D
S. Gannon
D
36
W. Jarvis
M
W. Jarvis
M
Best on the pitch
Steven Berghuis
M · Ajax
9.30
2 👟
6 shots
· 55 pass
Daley Blind
D · Ajax
8.90
1 shots
· 122 pass
M. Godts
M · Ajax
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 45 pass
S. Bone
D · Shelbourne
8.20
· 40 pass
E. Beach
G · Shelbourne
7.90
· 34 pass
Aaron Bouwman
D · Ajax
7.70
· 92 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | G | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Owen Wijndal | D | 89 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Daley Blind | D | 89 | 8.90 | — | — | 1 | 122 | 118% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | D | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 92 | 90% | — | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 110 | 105% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Godts | M | 77 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Davy Klaassen | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Berghuis | M | 64 | 9.30 | — | 2 | 6 | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Maher Carrizo | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 12% | — | — | — |
| James Barry Norris | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Bone | D | 89 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 89 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kerr McInroy | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Moore | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | F | 89 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Coote | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Casey | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Ajax win, 15% to a draw, and 14% to an Shelbourne win.