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Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round August 06, 2026 20:00
Ajax
#2 · 0 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Shelbourne
✓Model correct — prediction Ajax
M. Godts 6' (pen.)
O. Wijndal (ast. S. Berghuis) 22'
K. Dolberg (ast. S. Berghuis) 50'
84' D. Kelly
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Shelbourne 14%). The final result was Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne. In 1 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Shelbourne.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
3
11
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
8
71%
Possession
29%
14
Corners
0
9
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Godts (pen.)
6'
⚽O. Wijndal · ast. S. Berghuis
22'
47'
E. Caffrey
⚽K. Dolberg · ast. S. Berghuis
50'
⚽M. Godts (missed pen.)
57'
↕ D. Klaassen / Marcos Leonardo
58'
↕ O. Gloukh / J. Mokio
58'
↕ S. Berghuis / O. Edvardsen
64'
↕ K. Dolberg / J. Brandt
65'
74'
R. Freitas / S. Moore ↕
↕ M. Godts / M. Carrizo
77'
80'
A. Coote / J. Henry-Francis ↕
81'
O. Casey / K. McInroy ↕
84'
D. Kelly⚽
J. Mokio
86'
90'+3
S. Gannon / J. Norris ↕
90'+3
J. Roche / S. Bone ↕
Pre-match prediction
70.39%
Ajax ←
15.27%
X
14.33%
Shelbourne
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 70.39% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ajax
3.33
—
—
Shelbourne
1.32
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Aarhus Aarhus 0 0
2 Ajax Ajax 0 0
3 Atalanta Atalanta 0 0
4 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0 0
5 SC Braga SC Braga 0 0
6 Brann Brann 0 0
7 Brighton Brighton 0 0
8 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 0 0
9 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 0 0
10 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0 0
11 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0
12 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
13 Gent Gent 0 0
14 Getafe Getafe 0 0
15 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 0 0
16 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 0 0
17 FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 0 0
18 Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0
19 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 0 0
20 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 0 0
21 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 0 0
22 KuPS KuPS 0 0
23 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0
24 FC Lugano FC Lugano 0 0
25 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 0 0
26 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 0 0
27 Monaco Monaco 0 0
28 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0 0
29 Pafos Pafos 0 0
30 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0 0
31 Riga Riga 0 0
32 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0 0
33 FC Thun FC Thun 0 0
34 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0 0
35 Twente Twente 0 0
36 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0 0
Lineups
Ajax Ajax 4-1-4-1
26 M. Paes M. Paes 89' G 6.70
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal 1 ⚽ 89' D 6.70
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind 89' D 8.90
30 A. Bouwman A. Bouwman 89' D 7.70
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei 89' D 7.60
6 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer 89' M 7.30
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 58' M 6.50
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen 58' M 6.70
23 S. Berghuis S. Berghuis 2 👟 64' M 9.30
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg 1 ⚽ 65' F 6.90
Bench
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane M
12 Caio Henrique Caio Henrique D
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt 24' M 6.60
22 J. Heerkens J. Heerkens G
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio 31' M 6.60
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa D
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo 31' F 6.20
7 M. Carrizo M. Carrizo 12' F 6.20
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G
20 O. Edvardsen O. Edvardsen 25' F 6.30
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare F
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas D
Shelbourne Shelbourne 5-4-1
19 E. Beach E. Beach 89' G 7.90
18 James Barry Norris James Barry Norris 89' D 6.20
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge 89' D 6.20
29 Paddy Barrett Paddy Barrett 89' D 6.60
15 Sam Bone Sam Bone 89' D 8.20
25 M. Mbeng M. Mbeng 89' D 5.00
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey 89' M 6.30
23 Kerr McInroy Kerr McInroy 80' M 6.90
21 Jack Henry-Francis Jack Henry-Francis 80' M 6.60
22 S. Moore S. Moore 73' M 6.90
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.50
Bench
14 A. Coote A. Coote 9' M 6.70
44 Daniel Ring Daniel Ring F
73 Finn Moylan Finn Moylan G
55 James Roche James Roche D
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney M
56 Joey Ikala Wuna Joey Ikala Wuna F
13 M. Johnson M. Johnson G
11 M. Odubeko M. Odubeko F
16 O. Casey O. Casey 9' D 6.30
20 R. Freitas R. Freitas 16' F 6.70
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon D
36 W. Jarvis W. Jarvis M
Best on the pitch
S. Berghuis
S. Berghuis
M · Ajax
9.30
2 👟
6 shots · 55 pass
Daley Blind
Daley Blind
D · Ajax
8.90
1 shots · 122 pass
M. Godts
M. Godts
M · Ajax
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 45 pass
Sam Bone
Sam Bone
D · Shelbourne
8.20
· 40 pass
E. Beach
E. Beach
G · Shelbourne
7.90
· 34 pass
A. Bouwman
A. Bouwman
D · Ajax
7.70
· 92 pass
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Paes G 89 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
O. Wijndal D 89 6.70 1 — 2 48 43% 2 — —
Daley Blind D 89 8.90 — — 1 122 118% 2 — —
A. Bouwman D 89 7.70 — — — 92 90% — — —
A. Gaaei D 89 7.60 — — 2 57 54% 1 — —
Y. Regeer M 89 7.30 — — — 110 105% 1 — —
M. Godts M 77 8.20 1 — 4 45 42% — — —
O. Gloukh M 58 6.50 — — 1 28 27% — — —
D. Klaassen M 58 6.70 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
S. Berghuis M 64 9.30 — 2 6 55 46% 1 — —
K. Dolberg F 65 6.90 1 — 3 18 14% — — —
J. Brandt M 24 6.60 — — 2 22 20% — — —
J. Mokio M 31 6.60 — — 1 9 7% — 1 —
Marcos Leonardo F 31 6.20 — — 2 10 8% — — —
M. Carrizo F 12 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
O. Edvardsen F 25 6.30 — — — 16 15% 1 — —
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Beach G 89 7.90 — — — 34 12% — — —
James Barry Norris D 89 6.20 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
K. Ledwidge D 89 6.20 — — — 23 18% — — —
Paddy Barrett D 89 6.60 — — — 37 31% 3 — —
Sam Bone D 89 8.20 — — — 40 35% 5 — —
M. Mbeng D 89 5.00 — — — 19 16% — — —
E. Caffrey M 89 6.30 — — 1 15 9% 1 1 —
Kerr McInroy M 80 6.90 — — — 21 18% 3 — —
Jack Henry-Francis M 80 6.60 — — — 36 28% 3 — —
S. Moore M 73 6.90 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
D. Kelly F 89 7.50 1 — 1 14 10% 2 — —
A. Coote M 9 6.70 — — 1 4 3% — — —
O. Casey D 9 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
R. Freitas F 16 6.70 — — — 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Ajax win, 15% to a draw, and 14% to an Shelbourne win.