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Ajax - Shelbourne

Conference League August 06, 2026 20:00
Ajax
vs
Shelbourne
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.9%
Win
Ajax
20.88%
Draw
21.22%
Win
Shelbourne
2.6
Expected xG
1.2
Most likely outcome
Ajax
57.9%
Probability
76.9%
1X2 accuracy · 13 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.5%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 58%
X 21%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 42%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajax a 57% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Shelbourne. Expected goals are 2.6 for Ajax and 1.2 for Shelbourne (total 3.8), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.5% probability.

Season Stats

Ajax
2W 0D 0L
Shelbourne
3W 2D 5L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
1.1
1.0
Conceded
1.2
9.5
Shots OT
2.0
9.0
Corners
3.8
69%
Poss.
35%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
40%
100%
BTTS
30%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Ajax
1W 0D 0L · at home
Shelbourne
1W 1D 3L · away
4.0
gls/g
0.6
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
20%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
20%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ajax Shelbourne →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
1 5.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.5% 9.1% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.5% 7.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Ajax Ajax
W Vojvodina 4–1
W Vojvodina 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Shelbourne Shelbourne
L Kalju Nomme 2–1
W Kalju Nomme 5–2
D Celje 0–0
L Crystal Palace 0–3
L AZ Alkmaar 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Ajax Ajax
Attack
50
Defence
75
Form
71
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Attack
42
Defence
58
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The model gives Ajax a 57% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 21% for an Shelbourne win.
How many goals are expected in Ajax vs Shelbourne?
Expected goals: Ajax 2.6, Shelbourne 1.2 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Ajax vs Shelbourne?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.5%.