W. Weghorst
(ast. M. Godts)
32'
18'
(ast. S. Orjasaeter)
R. Zerrouki
79'
(ast. S. Lammers)
B. van Rooij
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Twente 35%). The final result was Ajax 1–2 Twente. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Twente.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
0.94
Actual xG
1.37
3
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
ast. S. Orjasaeter ·
R. Zerrouki⚽
⚽W. Weghorst
· ast. M. Godts
32'
Oliver Edvardsen
41'
Anton Gaaei
55'
O. Edvardsen
/ O. Gloukh
57'
61'
Daan Rots
Oscar Gloukh
63'
63'
M. Pjaca
/
D. Rots
64'
Stav Lemkin
Steven Berghuis
69'
S. Berghuis
/ M. Carrizo
71'
W. Weghorst
/ D. Konadu
71'
79'
ast. S. Lammers ·
B. van Rooij⚽
84'
M. Kjolo
/
T. van den Belt
85'
R. van Wolfswinkel
/
S. Orjasaeter
A. Gaaei
/ K. Dolberg
89'
90'
R. Propper
/
S. Lammers
90'
A. Verschueren
/
K. Hlynsson
Pre-match prediction
38.31%
Ajax
26.64%
X
35.05%
Twente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Twente)
35.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
0.94
-0.36
1.34
1.37
+0.03
Twente dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
26
G
2
D
15
D
37
D
3
A. Gaaei
89'
D
A. Gaaei
89'
D
48
Sean Steur
M
Sean Steur
M
24
M
23
S. Berghuis
71'
M
S. Berghuis
71'
M
11
M. Godts
1 👟
F
M. Godts
1 👟
F
25
W. Weghorst
1 ⚽
71'
F
W. Weghorst
1 ⚽
71'
F
17
O. Edvardsen
57'
F
O. Edvardsen
57'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
19'
F
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
19'
F
12
J. Heerkens
G
J. Heerkens
G
9
K. Dolberg
1'
F
K. Dolberg
1'
F
4
Ko Itakura
D
Ko Itakura
D
44
Mark Verkuijl
M
67
Mohamed Abdalla
M
Mohamed Abdalla
M
53
M. van der Lans
D
10
O. Gloukh
33'
M
O. Gloukh
33'
M
5
O. Wijndal
D
O. Wijndal
D
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
1
G
39
M. Rots
D
M. Rots
D
43
R. Nijstad
D
R. Nijstad
D
23
Stav Lemkin
D
28
B. van Rooij
1 ⚽
D
B. van Rooij
1 ⚽
D
20
T. van den Belt
84'
M
T. van den Belt
84'
M
6
R. Zerrouki
1 ⚽
M
R. Zerrouki
1 ⚽
M
14
Kristian Hlynsson
89'
M
Kristian Hlynsson
89'
M
27
S. Ørjasæter
1 👟
85'
F
S. Ørjasæter
1 👟
85'
F
10
Sam Lammers
1 👟
89'
F
Sam Lammers
1 👟
89'
F
11
D. Rots
63'
F
D. Rots
63'
F
Bench
9
R. van Wolfswinkel
11'
F
R. van Wolfswinkel
11'
F
8
T. Booth
F
T. Booth
F
Best on the pitch
R. Zerrouki
M · Twente
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 64 pass
B. van Rooij
D · Twente
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
D · Ajax
7.50
· 41 pass
M. Godts
F · Ajax
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 42 pass
D · Ajax
7.30
· 73 pass
T. van den Belt
M · Twente
7.30
· 51 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 66% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gaaei | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Berghuis | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Godts | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Edvardsen | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Gloukh | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
Twente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| M. Rots | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Nijstad | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Stav Lemkin | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| B. van Rooij | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| T. van den Belt | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Kristian Hlynsson | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ørjasæter | F | 85 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sam Lammers | F | 89 | 5.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Rots | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. van Wolfswinkel | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Twente?
The final score was Ajax 1–2 Twente.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Twente?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Ajax win, 26% to a draw, and 35% to an Twente win.