Ajax 0–0 Utrecht — pre-match prediction — Eredivisie — May 24, 2026

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Eredivisie · Final May 24, 2026 12:15 Kras Stadion, Volendam

Ajax

#5 · 56 pts

0 – 0

Final score

pens 4–3

Utrecht

#6 · 53 pts

D. Klaassen (ast. T. Tomiyasu) 96'

D. Klaassen 120'+1 (pen.)

W. Weghorst 120'+2 (pen.)

M. Godts 120'+3 (pen.)

A. Gaaei 120'+4 (pen.)

106' G. Zechiel

(pen.) 120'+2 R. El Arguioui

(pen.) 120'+3 G. Zechiel

(pen.) 120'+4 A. Blake

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 45% win probability (draw 23%, Utrecht 30%). The final result was Ajax 0–0 Utrecht. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.47

Actual xG

0.96

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

↕ J. Mokio / S. Steur

54'

60'

S. Haller / A. Stepanov ↕

61'

N. Viergever / M. Eerdhuijzen ↕

70'

A. Blake / J. Karlsson ↕

73'

R. El Arguioui / S. Horemans ↕

↕ K. Dolberg / W. Weghorst

78'

↕ S. Berghuis / M. Carrizo

79'

↕ Y. Regeer / K. Itakura

85'

90'+5

R. El Arguioui

↕ Y. Baas / T. Tomiyasu

95'

⚽D. Klaassen · ast. T. Tomiyasu

96'

98'

A. Alarcon / Y. Cathline ↕

106'

G. Zechiel⚽

W. Weghorst

107'

⚽D. Klaassen (pen.)

120'+1

(missed pen.) S. Haller⚽

⚽W. Weghorst (pen.)

120'+2

(pen.) R. El Arguioui⚽

120'+3

(pen.) G. Zechiel⚽

⚽M. Godts (pen.)

120'+3

120'+4

(pen.) A. Blake⚽

⚽A. Gaaei (pen.)

120'+4

120'+5

(missed pen.) S. El Karouani⚽

D. Klaassen

120'

Pre-match prediction

45.54%

Ajax

23.75%

X ←

30.71%

Utrecht

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.75% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Ajax

1.76

1.47

-0.29

Utrecht

1.51

0.96

-0.55

Ajax dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.96). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	84
2	Feyenoord	34	65
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	59
4	Twente	34	58
5	Ajax	34	56
6	Utrecht	34	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	52
8	Heerenveen	34	51
9	Groningen	34	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	38
13	Excelsior	34	38
14	Telstar	34	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	37
16	FC Volendam	34	32
17	NAC Breda	34	29
18	Heracles	34	19

Lineups

Ajax 4-3-3

Maarten Paes G 7.20

Lucas Rosa D 7.70

Youri Baas D 8.00

Aaron Bouwman D 7.30

Anton Gaaei 1 ⚽ D 6.70

Davy Klaassen 2 ⚽ M 7.50

J. Mokio 54' M 6.30

Youri Regeer 85' M 7.20

M. Godts 1 ⚽ F 6.90

Kasper Dolberg 78' F 6.30

Steven Berghuis 78' F 6.70

Bench

Don-Angelo Konadu F

Ko Itakura 35' D 6.50

Maher Carrizo 42' F 6.90

Marvyn Muzungu D

Oscar Gloukh M

Paul Reverson G

Rayane Bounida F

Ryan van de Pavert D

Sean Steur 66' M 7.30

Takehiro Tomiyasu 1 👟 25' D 6.60

Valentijn van der Velde G

Wout Weghorst 1 ⚽ 42' F 6.90

Utrecht 4-2-3-1

Vasilis Barkas G 8.50

S. El Karouani D 7.20

Mike Eerdhuijzen 61' D 6.90

Mike Van der Hoorn D 7.20

Niklas Vesterlund D 6.90

G. Zechiël 2 ⚽ M 8.20

Siebe Horemans 73' M 6.70

Jesper Karlsson 70' M 6.50

D. de Wit M 7.20

Yoann Cathline M 6.30

Artem Stepanov 60' F 6.20

Bench

Adrian Blake 1 ⚽ 50' F 6.70

Ángel Alarcón 22' F 6.50

David Min F

Emeka Adeile D

Kevin Gadellaa G

Michael Brouwer G

Neal Viereck D

Nick Viergever 59' D 6.60

Per Kloosterboer D

R. El Arguioui 1 ⚽ 47' M 6.60

Sébastien Haller 60' F 5.70

Best on the pitch

Vasilis Barkas

G · Utrecht

8.50

· 47 pass

G. Zechiël

M · Utrecht

8.20

2 ⚽

1 shots · 44 pass

Youri Baas

D · Ajax

8.00

· 117 pass

Lucas Rosa

D · Ajax

7.70

1 shots · 81 pass

Davy Klaassen

M · Ajax

7.50

2 ⚽

1 shots · 43 pass

Sean Steur

M · Ajax

7.30

2 shots · 35 pass

Ajax — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Maarten Paes	G	120	7.20	—	—	—	38	31%	—	—	—
Lucas Rosa	D	120	7.70	—	—	1	81	69%	9	—	—
Youri Baas	D	95	8.00	—	—	—	117	113%	1	—	—
Aaron Bouwman	D	120	7.30	—	—	3	98	93%	2	—	—
Anton Gaaei	D	120	6.70	1	—	1	59	46%	4	—	—
Davy Klaassen	M	120	7.50	2	—	1	43	36%	1	1	—
J. Mokio	M	54	6.30	—	—	1	28	23%	1	—	—
Youri Regeer	M	85	7.20	—	—	1	47	45%	1	—	—
M. Godts	F	120	6.90	1	—	3	56	46%	1	—	—
Kasper Dolberg	F	78	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
Steven Berghuis	F	78	6.70	—	—	2	36	27%	—	—	—
Ko Itakura	D	35	6.50	—	—	—	15	14%	—	—	—
Maher Carrizo	F	42	6.90	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
Sean Steur	M	66	7.30	—	—	2	35	28%	2	—	—
Takehiro Tomiyasu	D	25	6.60	—	1	—	15	11%	—	—	—
Wout Weghorst	F	42	6.90	1	—	1	22	17%	—	1	—

Utrecht — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Vasilis Barkas	G	120	8.50	—	—	—	47	32%	—	—	—
S. El Karouani	D	120	7.20	—	—	1	42	30%	2	—	—
Mike Eerdhuijzen	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	39	32%	1	—	—
Mike Van der Hoorn	D	120	7.20	—	—	1	56	50%	1	—	—
Niklas Vesterlund	D	120	6.90	—	—	—	35	23%	5	—	—
G. Zechiël	M	120	8.20	2	—	1	44	38%	4	—	—
Siebe Horemans	M	73	6.70	—	—	1	10	7%	1	—	—
Jesper Karlsson	M	70	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	1	—	—
D. de Wit	M	120	7.20	—	—	—	36	26%	4	—	—
Yoann Cathline	M	98	6.30	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
Artem Stepanov	F	60	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
Adrian Blake	F	50	6.70	1	—	2	13	11%	—	—	—
Ángel Alarcón	F	22	6.50	—	—	1	6	3%	—	—	—
Nick Viergever	D	59	6.60	—	—	—	24	21%	—	—	—
R. El Arguioui	M	47	6.60	1	—	—	29	22%	—	1	—
Sébastien Haller	F	60	5.70	—	—	4	14	10%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Ajax vs Utrecht?

The final score was Ajax 0–0 Utrecht.

What did the model predict before Ajax vs Utrecht?

The model assigned 45% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 30% to an Utrecht win.