D. Klaassen
(ast. T. Tomiyasu)
96'
D. Klaassen
120'+1
(pen.)
W. Weghorst
120'+2
(pen.)
M. Godts
120'+3
(pen.)
A. Gaaei
120'+4
(pen.)
106'
G. Zechiel
(pen.)
120'+2
R. El Arguioui
(pen.)
120'+3
G. Zechiel
(pen.)
120'+4
A. Blake
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 45% win probability (draw 23%, Utrecht 30%). The final result was Ajax 0–0 Utrecht. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Utrecht.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
4
1.47
Actual xG
0.96
3
Saves
7
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
4
23
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Mokio
/ S. Steur
54'
60'
S. Haller
/
A. Stepanov
61'
N. Viergever
/
M. Eerdhuijzen
70'
A. Blake
/
J. Karlsson
73'
R. El Arguioui
/
S. Horemans
K. Dolberg
/ W. Weghorst
78'
S. Berghuis
/ M. Carrizo
79'
Y. Regeer
/ K. Itakura
85'
90'+5
R. El Arguioui
Y. Baas
/ T. Tomiyasu
95'
⚽D. Klaassen
· ast. T. Tomiyasu
96'
98'
A. Alarcon
/
Y. Cathline
106'
G. Zechiel⚽
W. Weghorst
107'
⚽D. Klaassen
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(missed pen.)
S. Haller⚽
⚽W. Weghorst
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
R. El Arguioui⚽
120'+3
(pen.)
G. Zechiel⚽
⚽M. Godts
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
A. Blake⚽
⚽A. Gaaei
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(missed pen.)
S. El Karouani⚽
D. Klaassen
120'
Pre-match prediction
45.54%
Ajax
23.75%
X ←
30.71%
Utrecht
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.47
-0.29
1.51
0.96
-0.55
Ajax dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
M. Paes
G
M. Paes
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
15
Y. Baas
D
Y. Baas
D
30
A. Bouwman
D
A. Bouwman
D
3
A. Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
A. Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
18
D. Klaassen
2 ⚽
M
D. Klaassen
2 ⚽
M
24
J. Mokio
54'
M
J. Mokio
54'
M
6
Y. Regeer
85'
M
Y. Regeer
85'
M
11
M. Godts
1 ⚽
F
M. Godts
1 ⚽
F
9
K. Dolberg
78'
F
K. Dolberg
78'
F
23
S. Berghuis
78'
F
S. Berghuis
78'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
F
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
F
4
K. Itakura
35'
D
K. Itakura
35'
D
7
M. Carrizo
42'
F
M. Carrizo
42'
F
50
M. Muzungu
D
M. Muzungu
D
10
O. Gloukh
M
O. Gloukh
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
43
Rayane Bounida
F
Rayane Bounida
F
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
48
Sean Steur
66'
M
Sean Steur
66'
M
32
T. Tomiyasu
1 👟
25'
D
T. Tomiyasu
1 👟
25'
D
58
Valentijn van der Velde
G
Valentijn van der Velde
G
25
W. Weghorst
1 ⚽
42'
F
W. Weghorst
1 ⚽
42'
F
1
V. Barkas
G
V. Barkas
G
16
S. El Karouani
D
S. El Karouani
D
44
M. Eerdhuijzen
61'
D
M. Eerdhuijzen
61'
D
3
Mike Van der Hoorn
D
23
N. Vesterlund
D
N. Vesterlund
D
21
G. Zechiël
2 ⚽
M
G. Zechiël
2 ⚽
M
2
S. Horemans
73'
M
S. Horemans
73'
M
11
Jesper Karlsson
70'
M
Jesper Karlsson
70'
M
20
D. de Wit
M
D. de Wit
M
10
Y. Cathline
M
Y. Cathline
M
18
Artem Stepanov
60'
F
Artem Stepanov
60'
F
Bench
15
A. Blake
1 ⚽
50'
F
A. Blake
1 ⚽
50'
F
77
Ángel Alarcón
22'
F
Ángel Alarcón
22'
F
9
D. Min
F
D. Min
F
5
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
33
K. Gadellaa
G
K. Gadellaa
G
25
M. Brouwer
G
M. Brouwer
G
53
Neal Viereck
D
Neal Viereck
D
24
N. Viergever
59'
D
N. Viergever
59'
D
57
P. Kloosterboer
D
P. Kloosterboer
D
43
R. El Arguioui
1 ⚽
47'
M
R. El Arguioui
1 ⚽
47'
M
91
S. Haller
60'
F
S. Haller
60'
F
Best on the pitch
V. Barkas
G · Utrecht
8.50
· 47 pass
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
8.20
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Y. Baas
D · Ajax
8.00
· 117 pass
Lucas Rosa
D · Ajax
7.70
1 shots
· 81 pass
D. Klaassen
M · Ajax
7.50
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 43 pass
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paes | G | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 69% | 9 | — | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 117 | 113% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouwman | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 98 | 93% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 120 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 59 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Klaassen | M | 120 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Mokio | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Itakura | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Carrizo | F | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Tomiyasu | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 42 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
Utrecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | G | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 32% | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Eerdhuijzen | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Vesterlund | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 120 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Horemans | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlsson | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| D. de Wit | M | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Cathline | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Artem Stepanov | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Blake | F | 50 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Alarcón | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Viergever | D | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 47 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Haller | F | 60 | 5.70 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Utrecht?
The final score was Ajax 0–0 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 30% to an Utrecht win.