D. Klaassen
(ast. T. Tomiyasu)
96'
D. Klaassen
120'+1
(pen.)
W. Weghorst
120'+2
(pen.)
M. Godts
120'+3
(pen.)
A. Gaaei
120'+4
(pen.)
106'
G. Zechiel
(pen.)
120'+2
R. El Arguioui
(pen.)
120'+3
G. Zechiel
(pen.)
120'+4
A. Blake
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 45% win probability (draw 23%, Utrecht 30%). The final result was Ajax 0–0 Utrecht. In 2 previous meetings, Ajax have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Utrecht.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
4
1.47
Actual xG
0.96
3
Saves
7
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
4
23
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Mokio
/ S. Steur
54'
60'
S. Haller
/
A. Stepanov
61'
N. Viergever
/
M. Eerdhuijzen
70'
A. Blake
/
J. Karlsson
73'
R. El Arguioui
/
S. Horemans
K. Dolberg
/ W. Weghorst
78'
S. Berghuis
/ M. Carrizo
79'
Y. Regeer
/ K. Itakura
85'
90'+5
R. El Arguioui
Y. Baas
/ T. Tomiyasu
95'
⚽D. Klaassen
· ast. T. Tomiyasu
96'
98'
A. Alarcon
/
Y. Cathline
106'
G. Zechiel⚽
W. Weghorst
107'
⚽D. Klaassen
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(missed pen.)
S. Haller⚽
⚽W. Weghorst
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
R. El Arguioui⚽
120'+3
(pen.)
G. Zechiel⚽
⚽M. Godts
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
A. Blake⚽
⚽A. Gaaei
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(missed pen.)
S. El Karouani⚽
D. Klaassen
120'
Pre-match prediction
45.54%
Ajax
23.75%
X ←
30.71%
Utrecht
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.47
-0.29
1.51
0.96
-0.55
Ajax dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Maarten Paes
G
Maarten Paes
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
15
Youri Baas
D
Youri Baas
D
30
Aaron Bouwman
D
Aaron Bouwman
D
3
Anton Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
Anton Gaaei
1 ⚽
D
18
Davy Klaassen
2 ⚽
M
Davy Klaassen
2 ⚽
M
24
Jorthy Mokio
54'
M
Jorthy Mokio
54'
M
6
Youri Regeer
85'
M
Youri Regeer
85'
M
11
Mika Godts
1 ⚽
F
Mika Godts
1 ⚽
F
9
Kasper Dolberg
78'
F
Kasper Dolberg
78'
F
23
Steven Berghuis
78'
F
Steven Berghuis
78'
F
Bench
19
Don-Angelo Konadu
F
Don-Angelo Konadu
F
4
Ko Itakura
35'
D
Ko Itakura
35'
D
7
Maher Carrizo
42'
F
Maher Carrizo
42'
F
50
Marvyn Muzungu
D
Marvyn Muzungu
D
10
Oscar Gloukh
M
Oscar Gloukh
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
43
Rayane Bounida
F
Rayane Bounida
F
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
48
Sean Steur
66'
M
Sean Steur
66'
M
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu
1 👟
25'
D
Takehiro Tomiyasu
1 👟
25'
D
58
Valentijn van der Velde
G
Valentijn van der Velde
G
25
W. Weghorst
1 ⚽
42'
F
W. Weghorst
1 ⚽
42'
F
1
V. Barkas
G
V. Barkas
G
16
S. El Karouani
D
S. El Karouani
D
44
Mike Eerdhuijzen
61'
D
Mike Eerdhuijzen
61'
D
3
Mike Van der Hoorn
D
23
Niklas Vesterlund
D
Niklas Vesterlund
D
21
G. Zechiël
2 ⚽
M
G. Zechiël
2 ⚽
M
2
Siebe Horemans
73'
M
Siebe Horemans
73'
M
11
Jesper Karlsson
70'
M
Jesper Karlsson
70'
M
20
D. de Wit
M
D. de Wit
M
10
Yoann Cathline
M
Yoann Cathline
M
18
Artem Stepanov
60'
F
Artem Stepanov
60'
F
Bench
15
Adrian Blake
1 ⚽
50'
F
Adrian Blake
1 ⚽
50'
F
77
Ángel Alarcón
22'
F
Ángel Alarcón
22'
F
9
David Min
F
David Min
F
5
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
33
Kevin Gadellaa
G
Kevin Gadellaa
G
25
Michael Brouwer
G
Michael Brouwer
G
53
Neal Viereck
D
Neal Viereck
D
24
Nick Viergever
59'
D
Nick Viergever
59'
D
57
Per Kloosterboer
D
Per Kloosterboer
D
43
R. El Arguioui
1 ⚽
47'
M
R. El Arguioui
1 ⚽
47'
M
91
Sébastien Haller
60'
F
Sébastien Haller
60'
F
Best on the pitch
V. Barkas
G · Utrecht
8.50
· 47 pass
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
8.20
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Youri Baas
D · Ajax
8.00
· 117 pass
Lucas Rosa
D · Ajax
7.70
1 shots
· 81 pass
Davy Klaassen
M · Ajax
7.50
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 43 pass
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | G | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 69% | 9 | — | — |
| Youri Baas | D | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 117 | 113% | 1 | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 98 | 93% | 2 | — | — |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 120 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 59 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Davy Klaassen | M | 120 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Youri Regeer | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Mika Godts | F | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Steven Berghuis | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | F | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 42 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
Utrecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | G | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 32% | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 120 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Siebe Horemans | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlsson | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| D. de Wit | M | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Yoann Cathline | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Artem Stepanov | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Adrian Blake | F | 50 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Alarcón | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nick Viergever | D | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 47 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Sébastien Haller | F | 60 | 5.70 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ajax vs Utrecht?
The final score was Ajax 0–0 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before Ajax vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Ajax win, 23% to a draw, and 30% to an Utrecht win.