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Ajka - Karcag SE

NB II August 08, 2026 17:30
Ajka
#5 · 3 pts
vs
Karcag SE
#8 · 2 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.16%
Win
Ajka
33.22%
Draw
32.62%
Win
Karcag SE
1.12
Expected xG
0.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.54%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajka a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Karcag SE. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ajka and 0.7 for Karcag SE (total 1.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.54% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ajka have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Karcag SE.

Season Stats

Ajka
5W 2D 8L
Karcag SE
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
0.7
1.4
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
53%
47%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in NB II. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ajka
5W 0D 5L · at home
Karcag SE
1W 5D 4L · away
1.1
gls/g
0.6
1.5
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
10%
50%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ajka Karcag SE →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3% 11.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 18.3% 12.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 10.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% — —
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Ajka Ajka
W Kecskeméti TE 3–1
L Vasas 2–1
L Szeged 2011 0–3
L Soroksar 3–1
D Mezokovesd-zsory 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Karcag SE Karcag SE
D Soroksar 2–2
D Szentlőrinc SE 0–0
L Kozarmisleny FC 2–1
L Tiszakecske FC 0–1
L Szentlőrinc SE 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Ajka Ajka
Attack
13
Defence
33
Form
23
Karcag SE Karcag SE
Attack
11
Defence
45
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Ajka
0
Draw
1
Karcag SE
5 Apr 2026 NB II 1–0
5 Oct 2025 NB II 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Gyirmot SE Gyirmot SE 2 6
2 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 2 4
3 Soroksar Soroksar 2 4
4 Fehérvár FC Fehérvár FC 2 3
5 Ajka Ajka 1 3
6 Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK 1 3
7 Nagykanizsai ULE Nagykanizsai ULE 2 3
8 Karcag SE Karcag SE 2 2
9 Tiszakecske FC Tiszakecske FC 2 2
10 Szeged 2011 Szeged 2011 1 1
11 BVSC BVSC 1 1
12 Szentlőrinc SE Szentlőrinc SE 1 1
13 Kecskeméti TE Kecskeméti TE 2 1
14 Mezokovesd-zsory Mezokovesd-zsory 1 0
15 Csakvar Csakvar 2 0
16 Kozarmisleny FC Kozarmisleny FC 2 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajka vs Karcag SE?
The model gives Ajka a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Karcag SE win.
How many goals are expected in Ajka vs Karcag SE?
Expected goals: Ajka 1.1, Karcag SE 0.7 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Ajka vs Karcag SE?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.54%.