Akhmat 1–1 Baltika — pre-match prediction — Premier League — April 23, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 26 April 23, 2026 18:45

Akhmat

#10 · 10 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Baltika

#8 · 11 pts

K. Andrade 60' (og)

51' (ast. I. Belikov) Derik Lacerda

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Baltika a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Akhmat 30%). The final result was Akhmat 1–1 Baltika. In 2 previous meetings, Akhmat have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Baltika.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

32'

I. Petrov

40'

N. Gassama

46'

I. Belikov / I. Petrov ↕

51'

ast. I. Belikov · Derik Lacerda⚽

↕ D. Khlusevich / S. Pryakhin

57'

⚽K. Andrade (og)

60'

O. Ndong

63'

65'

I. Belikov

71'

M. Ryadno / A. Mendel ↕

81'

T. Yenne / Derik Lacerda ↕

82'

I. Manelov / M. Petrov ↕

↕ G. Melkadze / M. Konate

85'

↕ I. Silva / R. Zhemaletdinov

85'

87'

A. Mourid / N. Titkov ↕

M. Bogosavac

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

30.38%

Akhmat

27.68%

X ←

41.93%

Baltika

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.68% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Akhmat

1.04

—

Baltika

1.37

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	21
2	Dynamo	9	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	19
5	Zenit	9	18
6	Rubin	9	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	Baltika	9	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	11
10	Akhmat	9	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	9
12	FC Rostov	9	8
13	Akron	9	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	Fakel	9	3

Lineups

Akhmat 4-2-3-1

V. Ulyanov G 7.00

M. Bogosavac D 7.50

D 6.20

O. Ndong D 6.30

D. Khlusevich 57' D 6.30

T. Ibishev M 6.90

Ismael Silva Lima 85' M 6.90

L. Sadulaev M 6.30

Egas Cacintura M 7.20

M. Samorodov M 6.30

G. Melkadze 85' F 6.70

Bench

B. Mansilla F

G. Kenzhebek M

Mehdi Zare D

P. Gadio M

S. Pryakhin 33' M 6.70

Baltika 3-4-3

I. Kukushkin G 6.90

A. Filin D 6.90

Kevin Andrade 1 ⚽ D 7.00

D 7.00

N. Gassama M 6.60

I. Petrov 45' M 6.20

A. Mendel 71' M 6.90

M. Beveev M 7.20

M. Petrov 81' F 6.30

Derik Lacerda 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.20

N. Titkov 87' F 6.30

Bench

B. Gil F

E. Anderson D

I. Belikov 1 👟 45' D 6.90

Irakliy Manelov 9' F 6.20

Tenton Yenne 9' F 6.30

Yuri Kovalev M

Best on the pitch

M. Bogosavac

D · Akhmat

7.50

1 shots · 45 pass

Derik Lacerda

F · Baltika

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 10 pass

M. Beveev

M · Baltika

7.20

· 41 pass

Egas Cacintura

M · Akhmat

7.20

· 41 pass

D · Baltika

7.00

1 shots · 22 pass

Kevin Andrade

D · Baltika

7.00

1 ⚽

· 39 pass

Akhmat — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
V. Ulyanov	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	35	20%	—	—	—
M. Bogosavac	D	90	7.50	—	—	1	45	34%	5	1	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	51	41%	—	—	—
O. Ndong	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	27%	—	1	—
D. Khlusevich	D	57	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	1	—	—
T. Ibishev	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	47	35%	1	—	—
Ismael Silva Lima	M	85	6.90	—	—	—	54	44%	1	—	—
L. Sadulaev	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
Egas Cacintura	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	41	28%	2	—	—
M. Samorodov	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	18	11%	3	—	—
G. Melkadze	F	85	6.70	—	—	—	29	20%	—	—	—
S. Pryakhin	M	33	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—

Baltika — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Kukushkin	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	21	11%	—	—	—
A. Filin	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	32	21%	4	—	—
Kevin Andrade	D	90	7.00	1	—	—	39	31%	2	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	22	14%	1	—	—
N. Gassama	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	34	20%	—	1	—
I. Petrov	M	45	6.20	—	—	2	18	9%	1	1	—
A. Mendel	M	71	6.90	—	—	1	24	12%	2	—	—
M. Beveev	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	41	18%	4	—	—
M. Petrov	F	81	6.30	—	—	2	20	14%	—	—	—
Derik Lacerda	F	81	7.20	1	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—
N. Titkov	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	29	20%	2	—	—
I. Belikov	D	45	6.90	—	1	—	16	10%	3	1	—
Irakliy Manelov	F	9	6.20	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Tenton Yenne	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Akhmat vs Baltika?

The final score was Akhmat 1–1 Baltika.

What did the model predict before Akhmat vs Baltika?

The model assigned 30% probability to a Akhmat win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Baltika win.