Premier League
· Regular Season - 10
October 11, 2026 13:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Baltika a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Akhmat 31%). The final result was Akhmat 0–0 Baltika. In 3 previous meetings, Akhmat have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Baltika.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
0.65
3
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
3
15
Tackles
26
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
32'
Chinonso Offor
45'
Andrey Mendel
/
Ilya Petrov
45'
Brayan Gil
/
Chinonso Offor
49'
Ivan Belikov
62'
Sergey Varatynov
65'
Eduardo Anderson
/
Sergey Varatynov
Mohamed Konate
/ Erald maksuti
68'
72'
Vladislav Pospelov
/
Maksim Petrov
Júlio Romão
/ Manuel Keliano
74'
Manuel Keliano
77'
85'
Mikhail Ryadno
/
Konstantin Shiltsov
85'
Andrey Mendel
Ismael Silva
88'
Klisman Cake
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
31.61%
Akhmat
32.98%
X ←
35.41%
Baltika
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
1.22
+0.5
0.92
0.65
-0.27
Akhmat dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
V. Ulyanov
G
V. Ulyanov
G
8
M. Bogosavac
D
M. Bogosavac
D
5
K. Cake
D
K. Cake
D
6
K. Sidibé
D
K. Sidibé
D
4
T. Ibishev
D
T. Ibishev
D
95
A. Adamov
D
A. Adamov
D
7
L. Sadulaev
M
L. Sadulaev
M
18
Júlio Romão
74'
M
Júlio Romão
74'
M
11
Ismael Silva Lima
M
Ismael Silva Lima
M
17
Egas Cacintura
M
Egas Cacintura
M
13
M. Konaté
68'
F
M. Konaté
68'
F
Bench
70
A. Gadzhiev
M
A. Gadzhiev
M
97
A. Kasadzhikov
F
A. Kasadzhikov
F
87
A. R. Elberdov
M
A. R. Elberdov
M
76
E. Maksuti
22'
F
E. Maksuti
22'
F
10
K. Shchetinin
M
K. Shchetinin
M
42
Manuel Keliano
16'
M
Manuel Keliano
16'
M
81
M. Sidorov
D
M. Sidorov
D
90
O. Ndong
D
O. Ndong
D
71
R. Mitsaev
G
R. Mitsaev
G
19
S. Pryakhin
M
S. Pryakhin
M
1
E. Latyshonok
G
E. Latyshonok
G
77
E. Ćivić
D
E. Ćivić
D
4
N. Gassama
D
N. Gassama
D
24
L. Mouyokolo
D
L. Mouyokolo
D
2
S. Varatynov
65'
D
S. Varatynov
65'
D
22
M. Beveev
D
M. Beveev
D
7
K. Shiltsov
85'
M
K. Shiltsov
85'
M
10
I. Petrov
45'
M
I. Petrov
45'
M
26
I. Belikov
M
I. Belikov
M
73
M. Petrov
72'
M
M. Petrov
72'
M
9
C. Offor
45'
F
C. Offor
45'
F
Bench
8
A. Mendel
45'
M
A. Mendel
45'
M
91
B. Gil
45'
F
B. Gil
45'
F
21
E. Anderson
25'
D
E. Anderson
25'
D
69
E. Golenkov
F
E. Golenkov
F
44
E. Lyubakov
G
E. Lyubakov
G
3
I. Kirsch
D
I. Kirsch
D
81
I. Kukushkin
G
I. Kukushkin
G
11
I. Porokhov
F
I. Porokhov
F
68
M. Ryadno
5'
D
M. Ryadno
5'
D
14
S. Kovač
M
S. Kovač
M
42
V. Pospelov
18'
M
V. Pospelov
18'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Sadulaev
M · Akhmat
7.20
· 21 pass
T. Ibishev
D · Akhmat
7.14
· 65 pass
E. Latyshonok
G · Baltika
6.97
· 25 pass
K. Cake
D · Akhmat
6.95
1 shots
· 49 pass
E. Ćivić
D · Baltika
6.87
3 shots
· 34 pass
N. Gassama
D · Baltika
6.85
· 47 pass
Akhmat — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Ulyanov | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bogosavac | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Cake | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Sidibé | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ibishev | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Adamov | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sadulaev | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Júlio Romão | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Ismael Silva Lima | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Egas Cacintura | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Konaté | F | 68 | 6.45 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Maksuti | F | 22 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Manuel Keliano | M | 16 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
Baltika — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Latyshonok | G | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ćivić | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Gassama | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mouyokolo | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Varatynov | D | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Beveev | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 23% | 8 | — | — |
| K. Shiltsov | M | 85 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Petrov | M | 45 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Belikov | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Petrov | M | 72 | 6.65 | — | — | 5 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Offor | F | 45 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Mendel | M | 45 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Gil | F | 45 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | D | 25 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ryadno | D | 5 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Pospelov | M | 18 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Akhmat vs Baltika?
The final score was Akhmat 0–0 Baltika.
What did the model predict before Akhmat vs Baltika?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Akhmat win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Baltika win.