Akhmat - Fakel
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.98%
Win
Akhmat
29.56%
Draw
26.46%
Win
Fakel
1.96
0.94
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.73%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
30%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
56%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
65%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Akhmat a 43% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Fakel. Expected goals are 2.0 for Akhmat and 0.9 for Fakel (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.73% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
4L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.3
1.7
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
67%
17%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
1W
0D
2L
· at home
0W
1D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
33%
Win %
0%
33%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Akhmat
Fakel →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Akhmat
Attack
48
Defence
88
Form
75
Fakel
Attack
40
Defence
73
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Akhmat vs Fakel?
The model gives Akhmat a 43% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 26% for an Fakel win.
How many goals are expected in Akhmat vs Fakel?
Expected goals: Akhmat 2.0, Fakel 0.9 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Akhmat vs Fakel?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.73%.