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Akritas - AEL

First Division May 15, 2026 18:00
Akritas
#12 · 35 pts
vs
AEL
#8 · 41 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.57%
Win
Akritas
30.22%
Draw
38.21%
Win
AEL
0.88
Expected xG
1.11

The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEL a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Akritas. Expected goals are 0.9 for Akritas and 1.1 for AEL (total 2.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Akritas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AEL.

Score Matrix
↕ Akritas AEL →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7% 15.2% 8.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.3% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Akritas Akritas
L Omonia Aradippou 2–1
W Ethnikos Achna 1–0
W Enosis 1–2
W Olympiakos 0–1
L Krasava Ypsonas 0–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
AEL AEL
L Olympiakos 1–3
D Krasava Ypsonas 1–1
L Anorthosis 0–1
W Enosis 2–1
W Omonia Aradippou 0–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 35%
Playing profile
Akritas Akritas
Attack
23
Defence
57
Form
41
AEL AEL
Attack
31
Defence
65
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Akritas
0
Draw
1
AEL
L 17 Jan 2026 First Division 0–2
W 27 Sep 2025 First Division 2–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 34 81
1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 26 61
2 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 26 53
2 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 34 65
3 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 26 53
3 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 34 64
4 Pafos Pafos 34 58
4 Pafos Pafos 26 51
5 Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 34 52
5 Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 26 45
6 Aris Aris 34 51
6 Aris Aris 26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 26 34
7 Anorthosis Anorthosis 32 45
8 AEL AEL 32 41
8 AEL AEL 26 33
9 Anorthosis Anorthosis 26 32
9 Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 32 39
10 Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 32 39
10 Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 26 28
11 Olympiakos Olympiakos 32 37
11 Olympiakos Olympiakos 26 28
12 Akritas Akritas 32 35
12 Akritas Akritas 26 26
13 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 26 23
13 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 32 33
14 Enosis Enosis 32 4
14 Enosis Enosis 26 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Akritas vs AEL?
The model gives Akritas a 31% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an AEL win.
How many goals are expected in Akritas vs AEL?
Expected goals: Akritas 0.9, AEL 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Akritas vs AEL?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.2%.