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Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 28 May 06, 2026 20:00 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · 81 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Al-Fateh
#11 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Ahli Jeddah
I. Toney 27' (pen.)
I. Toney 76' (pen.)
I. Toney (ast. S. Abu Al Shamat) 90'
50' (ast. M. Vargas) S. Bendebka
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Al-Fateh 18%). The final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Fateh.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
5
4.89
Actual xG
1.38
4
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
2
20
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem
⚽I. Toney (pen.)
27'
↕ F. Kessie / Matheus Goncalves
32'
50'
ast. M. Vargas · S. Bendebka⚽
56'
F. Al Zubaidi / Wesley Delgado ↕
56'
Z. Youssouf / M. Al Sahihi ↕
⚽I. Toney (pen.)
76'
78'
Matías Vargas
80'
M. Al Aboud / N. Masoud ↕
↕ R. Mahrez / S. Abu Al Shamat
84'
86'
Bin Mahmoud / S. Baattia ↕
86'
A. Al Anazi / S. Bendebka ↕
↕ V. Atangana / Z. Al Johani
89'
⚽I. Toney · ast. S. Abu Al Shamat
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.71%
Al-Ahli ←
23.24%
X
18.06%
Al-Fateh
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah) 58.71% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Ahli
1.56
4.89
+3.33
Al-Fateh
0.80
1.38
+0.58
Al-Ahli Jeddah dominated by xG (4.89 vs 1.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 34 86
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 34 84
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 81
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 77
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 34 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 34 53
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 34 50
8 NEOM NEOM 34 45
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 34 42
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 34 38
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 34 37
12 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 34 37
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab 34 35
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood 34 33
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 34 30
16 Damac Damac 34 29
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 34 20
18 Al Najma Al Najma 34 16
Lineups
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1
16 É. Mendy É. Mendy G 7.00
2 Zakaria Al Hawsawi Zakaria Al Hawsawi D 7.30
3 Roger Ibañez Roger Ibañez D 7.50
46
R. Hamidou
27 Ali Majrashi Ali Majrashi D 7.70
10 E. Millot E. Millot M 7.30
6 Valentin Atangana Edoa Valentin Atangana Edoa 89' M 6.70
9 Firas Al-Buraikan Firas Al-Buraikan M 6.20
79 F. Kessié F. Kessié 32' M 7.00
7 R. Mahrez R. Mahrez 84' M 8.90
17 Ivan Toney Ivan Toney 3 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
1 Abdulrahman Al Sanbi Abdulrahman Al Sanbi G
14 Eid Al Muwallad Eid Al Muwallad M
20 Matheus Gonçalves Matheus Gonçalves 58' F 6.60
5 Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor D
29 Mohammed Yousef Mohammed Yousef D
47 Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 1 👟 11' F 7.70
49 Salem Abdullah Salem Abdullah F
60 Yazan Madani Yazan Madani D
30 Ziyad Aljohani Ziyad Aljohani 1' M
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 3-4-2-1
1 Fernando Pacheco Fernando Pacheco G 7.70
78 Abdulaziz Al-Swealem Abdulaziz Al-Swealem D 5.20
17 Marwane Saadane Marwane Saadane D 7.20
4 Ziyad Aljari Ziyad Aljari D 6.50
23 Wesley Delgado Wesley Delgado 56' M 6.70
6
N. Masoud
25
M. Al Sahihi
15 Saeed Baattia Saeed Baattia 86' M 6.50
28 Sofiane Bendebka Sofiane Bendebka 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.60
11 M. Batna M. Batna F 6.30
10 Matías Vargas Matías Vargas 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
94 Abdullah Al-Anazi Abdullah Al-Anazi 9' M 6.30
97 Amin Al-Bukhari Amin Al-Bukhari G
87
Bin Mahmoud
27
F. Al Zubaidi
12 Hussain Qasim Hussain Qasim D
44 Jorge Fernandes Jorge Fernandes D
24 Mahdi Al Obod Mahdi Al Obod 10' F 6.70
88 O. Al Othman O. Al Othman M
33 Zaydou Youssouf Zaydou Youssouf 34' M 5.60
Best on the pitch
R. Mahrez
R. Mahrez
M · Al-Ahli
8.90
5 shots · 40 pass
Ivan Toney
Ivan Toney
F · Al-Ahli
8.20
3 ⚽
8 shots · 25 pass
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat
F · Al-Ahli
7.70
1 👟
· 4 pass
Ali Majrashi
Ali Majrashi
D · Al-Ahli
7.70
1 shots · 27 pass
Fernando Pacheco
Fernando Pacheco
G · Al-Fateh
7.70
· 22 pass
Sofiane Bendebka
Sofiane Bendebka
F · Al-Fateh
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
É. Mendy G 90 7.00 — — — 30 19% — — —
Zakaria Al Hawsawi D 90 7.30 — — — 37 29% 7 — —
Roger Ibañez D 90 7.50 — — — 47 37% — — —
R. Hamidou — — — — — — — — — —
Ali Majrashi D 90 7.70 — — 1 27 19% 2 — —
E. Millot M 90 7.30 — — — 44 38% 5 — —
Valentin Atangana Edoa M 89 6.70 — — 1 26 20% 3 — —
Firas Al-Buraikan M 90 6.20 — — 2 27 21% 1 — —
F. Kessié M 32 7.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
R. Mahrez M 84 8.90 — — 5 40 35% — — —
Ivan Toney F 90 8.20 3 — 8 25 18% 1 — —
Matheus Gonçalves F 58 6.60 — — 3 30 23% 1 — —
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat F 11 7.70 — 1 — 4 3% — — —
Ziyad Aljohani M 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fernando Pacheco G 90 7.70 — — — 22 16% — — —
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem D 90 5.20 — — — 25 18% 1 1 —
Marwane Saadane D 90 7.20 — — 1 42 30% 4 — —
Ziyad Aljari D 90 6.50 — — — 14 11% 3 — —
Wesley Delgado M 56 6.70 — — 1 18 15% — — —
N. Masoud — — — — — — — — — —
M. Al Sahihi — — — — — — — — — —
Saeed Baattia M 86 6.50 — — — 26 15% — — —
Sofiane Bendebka F 86 7.60 1 — 2 23 15% 3 — —
M. Batna F 90 6.30 — — 1 12 8% 2 — —
Matías Vargas F 90 6.60 — 1 1 25 15% — 1 —
Abdullah Al-Anazi M 9 6.30 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
Mahdi Al Obod F 10 6.70 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Zaydou Youssouf M 34 5.60 — — — 13 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
The final score was Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh.
What did the model predict before Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Al-Fateh win.