← Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 28 May 06, 2026 20:00
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · 75 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Al-Fateh
#12 · 36 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Ahli Jeddah
I. Toney 27' (pen.)
I. Toney 76' (pen.)
I. Toney (ast. S. Abu Al Shamat) 90'
50' (ast. M. Vargas) S. Bendebka

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Al-Fateh 18%). The final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Fateh.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
5
4.89
Actual xG
1.38
4
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
2
20
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem
⚽I. Toney (pen.)
27'
↕ F. Kessie / Matheus Goncalves
32'
50'
ast. M. Vargas · S. Bendebka⚽
56'
F. Al Zubaidi / Wesley Delgado ↕
56'
Z. Youssouf / M. Al Sahihi ↕
⚽I. Toney (pen.)
76'
78'
Matías Vargas
80'
M. Al Aboud / N. Masoud ↕
↕ R. Mahrez / S. Abu Al Shamat
84'
86'
Bin Mahmoud / S. Baattia ↕
86'
A. Al Anazi / S. Bendebka ↕
↕ V. Atangana / Z. Al Johani
89'
⚽I. Toney · ast. S. Abu Al Shamat
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.71%
Al-Ahli ←
23.24%
X
18.06%
Al-Fateh
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah) 58.71% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Ahli
1.56
4.89
+3.33
Al-Fateh
0.80
1.38
+0.58
Al-Ahli Jeddah dominated by xG (4.89 vs 1.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Lineups
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1
16 É. Mendy É. Mendy G 7.00
2 Z. Al Hawsawi Z. Al Hawsawi D 7.30
3 Ibanez Ibanez D 7.50
46
R. Hamidou
27 A. Majrashi A. Majrashi D 7.70
10 E. Millot E. Millot M 7.30
6 V. Atangana V. Atangana 89' M 6.70
9 F. Al Buraikan F. Al Buraikan M 6.20
79 F. Kessie F. Kessie 32' M 7.00
7 R. Mahrez R. Mahrez 84' M 8.90
17 I. Toney I. Toney 3 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
1 A. Al Sanbi A. Al Sanbi G
14 E. Al Muwallad E. Al Muwallad M
29 M. Abdulrahman M. Abdulrahman D
20 Matheus Gonçalves Matheus Gonçalves 58' F 6.60
5 M. Sulaiman M. Sulaiman D
49 S. Abdullah S. Abdullah F
47 S. Abu Al Shamat S. Abu Al Shamat 1 👟 11' F 7.70
60 Y. Madani Y. Madani D
30 Z. Al Johani Z. Al Johani 1' M
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 3-4-2-1
1 Fernando Pacheco Fernando Pacheco G 7.70
78 Abdulaziz Al-Swealem Abdulaziz Al-Swealem D 5.20
17 Marwane Saadane Marwane Saadane D 7.20
4 Ziyad Aljari Ziyad Aljari D 6.50
23 Wesley Delgado Wesley Delgado 56' M 6.70
6
N. Masoud
25
M. Al Sahihi
15 Saeed Baattia Saeed Baattia 86' M 6.50
28 Sofiane Bendebka Sofiane Bendebka 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.60
11 M. Batna M. Batna F 6.30
10 Matías Vargas Matías Vargas 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
94 Abdullah Al-Anazi Abdullah Al-Anazi 9' M 6.30
97 Amin Al-Bukhari Amin Al-Bukhari G
87
Bin Mahmoud
27
F. Al Zubaidi
12 Hussain Qasim Hussain Qasim D
44 Jorge Fernandes Jorge Fernandes D
24 Mahdi Al Obod Mahdi Al Obod 10' F 6.70
88 O. Al Othman O. Al Othman M
33 Zaydou Youssouf Zaydou Youssouf 34' M 5.60
Best on the pitch
R. Mahrez
R. Mahrez
M · Al-Ahli
8.90
5 shots · 40 pass
I. Toney
I. Toney
F · Al-Ahli
8.20
3 ⚽
8 shots · 25 pass
S. Abu Al Shamat
S. Abu Al Shamat
F · Al-Ahli
7.70
1 👟
· 4 pass
A. Majrashi
A. Majrashi
D · Al-Ahli
7.70
1 shots · 27 pass
Fernando Pacheco
Fernando Pacheco
G · Al-Fateh
7.70
· 22 pass
Sofiane Bendebka
Sofiane Bendebka
F · Al-Fateh
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
É. Mendy G 90 7.00 — — — 30 19% — — —
Z. Al Hawsawi D 90 7.30 — — — 37 29% 7 — —
Ibanez D 90 7.50 — — — 47 37% — — —
R. Hamidou — — — — — — — — — —
A. Majrashi D 90 7.70 — — 1 27 19% 2 — —
E. Millot M 90 7.30 — — — 44 38% 5 — —
V. Atangana M 89 6.70 — — 1 26 20% 3 — —
F. Al Buraikan M 90 6.20 — — 2 27 21% 1 — —
F. Kessie M 32 7.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
R. Mahrez M 84 8.90 — — 5 40 35% — — —
I. Toney F 90 8.20 3 — 8 25 18% 1 — —
Matheus Gonçalves F 58 6.60 — — 3 30 23% 1 — —
S. Abu Al Shamat F 11 7.70 — 1 — 4 3% — — —
Z. Al Johani M 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fernando Pacheco G 90 7.70 — — — 22 16% — — —
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem D 90 5.20 — — — 25 18% 1 1 —
Marwane Saadane D 90 7.20 — — 1 42 30% 4 — —
Ziyad Aljari D 90 6.50 — — — 14 11% 3 — —
Wesley Delgado M 56 6.70 — — 1 18 15% — — —
N. Masoud — — — — — — — — — —
M. Al Sahihi — — — — — — — — — —
Saeed Baattia M 86 6.50 — — — 26 15% — — —
Sofiane Bendebka F 86 7.60 1 — 2 23 15% 3 — —
M. Batna F 90 6.30 — — 1 12 8% 2 — —
Matías Vargas F 90 6.60 — 1 1 25 15% — 1 —
Abdullah Al-Anazi M 9 6.30 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
Mahdi Al Obod F 10 6.70 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Zaydou Youssouf M 34 5.60 — — — 13 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
The final score was Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh.
What did the model predict before Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Al-Fateh win.