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Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr

Saudi Pro League March 06, 2027 20:00 Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#5 · 21 pts
vs
Al-Nassr
#2 · 25 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 31.2°C 💨 7 km/h · Jeddah
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.1%
Win
Al-Ahli Jeddah
29.78%
Draw
37.12%
Win
Al-Nassr
1.57
Expected xG
1.78

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.43%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 30%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 67%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Nassr a 37% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.8 for Al-Nassr (total 3.3), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.43% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Nassr.

Season Stats

Al-Ahli Jeddah
12W 0D 3L
Al-Nassr
11W 2D 2L
Averages per game
2.9
Goals
2.3
1.1
Conceded
1.0
6.5
Shots OT
5.9
3.2
Corners
7.4
54%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
93%
93%
O 2.5
73%
53%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Saudi Pro League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Al-Ahli Jeddah
10W 0D 0L · at home
Al-Nassr
7W 1D 2L · away
3.6
gls/g
2.7
0.5
Conceded
1.2
100%
Win %
70%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
80%
80%
O 3.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Nassr →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.5% 9.8% 8.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
W Al Khaleej Saihat 4–1
W Al-Fayha 2–3
W Al-Fateh 0–4
W Al-Hazm 3–1
L Al-Qadisiyah FC 3–2
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
W Al-Faisaly FC 1–3
W NEOM 1–0
W Al Diriyah 3–0
D Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1
W Abha 2–1

Playing profile

Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
64
Defence
66
Form
68
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
Attack
53
Defence
77
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
Draw
1
Al-Nassr
29 Apr 2026 Saudi Pro League 0–2
2 Jan 2026 Saudi Pro League 3–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 10 27
2 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 10 25
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 11 25
4 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 10 23
5 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 10 21
6 NEOM NEOM 11 19
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 11 18
8 Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 11 15
9 Al Kholood Al Kholood 10 12
10 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 11 12
11 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 10 12
12 Al Shabab Al Shabab 10 11
13 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 11 10
14 Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 11 10
15 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 11 8
16 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 11 6
17 Al Taawon Al Taawon 11 4
18 Abha Abha 10 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
The model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 37% for an Al-Nassr win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
Expected goals: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.6, Al-Nassr 1.8 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.43%.