AFC Champions League
· Quarter-finals
April 17, 2026 16:45
F. Kessie
(ast. Galeno)
45'+3
Galeno
(ast. Z. Al Hawsawi)
54'
(og)
19'
A. Majrashi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Johor Darul Takzim FC 28%). The final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
3
0.66
Actual xG
0.41
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
19'
(og)
A. Majrashi⚽
29'
Marcos Guilherme
A. Majrashi
37'
41'
J. Silva
41'
N. Insa
43'
A. Aketxe
/
Jairo
⚽F. Kessie
· ast. Galeno
45'+3
I. Toney
45'+6
⚽Galeno
· ast. Z. Al Hawsawi
54'
Matheus Goncalves
/ V. Atangana
63'
67'
Yago Cesar
/
N. Insa
R. Mahrez
/ F. Al Buraikan
72'
V. Atangana
73'
74'
Nene
76'
Bergson
/
R. Parra
E. Mendy
85'
86'
A. Aketxe
89'
M. Hidalgo
/
Marcos Guilherme
Z. Al Hawsawi
/ M. Demiral
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
40.15%
Al-Ahli ←
31.47%
X
28.38%
Johor
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah)
40.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
0.66
-0.95
0.75
0.41
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
É. Mendy
G
É. Mendy
G
2
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
1 👟
89'
D
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
1 👟
89'
D
3
Ibañez
D
Ibañez
D
46
D
27
Ali Majrashi
1 ⚽
37'
D
Ali Majrashi
1 ⚽
37'
D
10
E. Millot
M
E. Millot
M
79
F. Kessié
1 ⚽
M
F. Kessié
1 ⚽
M
13
Galeno
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Galeno
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
20
Matheus Gonçalves
63'
M
Matheus Gonçalves
63'
M
7
R. Mahrez
72'
M
R. Mahrez
72'
M
17
I. Toney
F
I. Toney
F
Bench
14
Eid Al Muwallad
M
Eid Al Muwallad
M
9
Feras Al Brikan
18'
F
Feras Al Brikan
18'
F
28
M. Demiral
1'
D
M. Demiral
1'
D
29
Mohammed Yousef
D
Mohammed Yousef
D
6
V. Atangana Edoa
27'
M
V. Atangana Edoa
27'
M
30
Ziyad Al Johani
M
Ziyad Al Johani
M
58
G
33
J. Silva
D
J. Silva
D
5
D
23
D
36
Raúl Parra
76'
D
30
Natxo Insa
67'
M
Natxo Insa
67'
M
18
Nene
M
95
Marcos Guilherme
89'
M
Marcos Guilherme
89'
M
28
M
24
M
11
Jairo
43'
F
Jairo
43'
F
Bench
47
A. Aketxe
47'
M
Best on the pitch
Galeno
M · Al-Ahli
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
F. Kessié
M · Al-Ahli
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
D · Al-Ahli
7.60
1 👟
· 36 pass
É. Mendy
G · Al-Ahli
7.50
· 28 pass
Ibañez
D · Al-Ahli
7.20
· 43 pass
R. Mahrez
M · Al-Ahli
7.00
2 shots
· 25 pass
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| É. Mendy | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Al Hawsawi | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Ibañez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ali Majrashi | D | 37 | 4.90 | 1 | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
| E. Millot | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kessié | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Galeno | M | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Gonçalves | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Mahrez | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Feras Al Brikan | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Atangana Edoa | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
Johor Darul Takzim FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| J. Silva | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| Raúl Parra | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Natxo Insa | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nene | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcos Guilherme | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jairo | F | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Aketxe | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
The final score was Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC.
What did the model predict before Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Johor Darul Takzim FC win.