AFC Champions League
· Final
April 25, 2026 18:15
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Ahli Jeddah
F. Al Buraikan
(ast. F. Kessie)
96'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 63% win probability (draw 23%, Machida Zelvia 13%). The final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–0 Machida Zelvia.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
3
2.11
Actual xG
0.72
3
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
1
19
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
E. Millot
57'
62'
Na Sang-Ho
/
Erik
E. Millot
/ F. Al Buraikan
62'
Z. Al Hawsawi
68'
70'
T. Yengi
89'
H. Shimoda
/
N. Lavi
89'
S. Fujio
/
T. Yengi
M. Abdulrahman
90'+5
90'+7
I. Dresevic
/
Y. Nakayama
⚽F. Al Buraikan
· ast. F. Kessie
96'
99'
H. Mochizuki
/
H. Nakamura
105'
K. Sento
/
G. Shoji
R. Hamidou
/ M. Sulaiman
111'
R. Mahrez
/ Z. Al Johani
114'
E. Mendy
118'
I. Toney
/ Ricardo Mathias
120'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.23%
Al-Ahli ←
23.11%
X
13.66%
Machida
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah)
63.23%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
2.11
+0.32
0.59
0.72
+0.13
Al-Ahli Jeddah dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
É. Mendy
G
É. Mendy
G
2
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
68'
D
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
68'
D
3
Ibañez
D
Ibañez
D
28
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
46
D
79
Franck Kessié
1 👟
M
Franck Kessié
1 👟
M
6
V. Atangana Edoa
M
V. Atangana Edoa
M
13
Galeno
M
Galeno
M
10
E. Millot
62'
M
E. Millot
62'
M
7
R. Mahrez
M
R. Mahrez
M
17
I. Toney
F
I. Toney
F
Bench
14
Eid Al Muwallad
M
Eid Al Muwallad
M
9
Feras Al Brikan
1 ⚽
58'
F
Feras Al Brikan
1 ⚽
58'
F
20
Matheus Gonçalves
F
Matheus Gonçalves
F
29
Mohammed Yousef
D
Mohammed Yousef
D
30
Ziyad Al Johani
10'
M
Ziyad Al Johani
10'
M
1
K. Tani
G
K. Tani
G
19
Y. Nakayama
89'
D
Y. Nakayama
89'
D
50
D. Okamura
D
D. Okamura
D
3
G. Shōji
D
G. Shōji
D
26
K. Hayashi
M
K. Hayashi
M
31
N. Lavi
89'
M
N. Lavi
89'
M
16
H. Mae
M
H. Mae
M
88
H. Nakamura
M
H. Nakamura
M
99
T. Yengi
89'
F
T. Yengi
89'
F
7
Y. Soma
F
Y. Soma
F
27
Erik
62'
F
Erik
62'
F
Bench
11
A. Masuyama
M
A. Masuyama
M
34
Futa Tokumura
F
Futa Tokumura
F
6
H. Mochizuki
21'
D
H. Mochizuki
21'
D
18
H. Shimoda
31'
M
H. Shimoda
31'
M
5
I. Drešević
31'
D
I. Drešević
31'
D
49
Kanji Kuwayama
F
Kanji Kuwayama
F
8
K. Sento
15'
M
K. Sento
15'
M
10
Na Sang-Ho
58'
F
Na Sang-Ho
58'
F
9
S. Fujio
31'
F
S. Fujio
31'
F
Best on the pitch
Y. Nakayama
D · Machida
8.20
· 30 pass
Ibañez
D · Al-Ahli
7.90
1 shots
· 71 pass
R. Mahrez
M · Al-Ahli
7.70
· 45 pass
Galeno
M · Al-Ahli
7.60
3 shots
· 30 pass
É. Mendy
G · Al-Ahli
7.30
· 42 pass
Feras Al Brikan
F · Al-Ahli
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| É. Mendy | G | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Al Hawsawi | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Ibañez | D | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| D | 111 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Franck Kessié | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Atangana Edoa | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Galeno | M | 120 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Millot | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Mahrez | M | 114 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 119 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Feras Al Brikan | F | 58 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Ziyad Al Johani | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tani | G | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Y. Nakayama | D | 89 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Okamura | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Shōji | D | 105 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Hayashi | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Lavi | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Mae | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| H. Nakamura | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Yengi | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Soma | F | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mochizuki | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| H. Shimoda | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| I. Drešević | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sento | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Na Sang-Ho | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Fujio | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–0 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 23% to a draw, and 13% to an Machida Zelvia win.