Al-Ahli Jeddah - Pakhtakor
AFC Champions League
September 14, 2026 20:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.6%
Win
Al-Ahli Jeddah
32.71%
Draw
32.69%
Win
Pakhtakor
1.75
1.11
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.77%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Pakhtakor. Expected goals are 1.8 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.1 for Pakhtakor (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.77% probability.
Season Stats
9W
2D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
3.0
0.9
Conceded
0.0
5.5
Shots OT
—
4.0
Corners
—
55%
Poss.
—
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
0%
42%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Al-Ahli Jeddah
Pakhtakor →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
W
3–0
Playing profile
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
48
Defence
65
Form
65
Pakhtakor
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Al-Nassr
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Al Ain
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Al Sadd
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Al-Gharafa
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Al Shamal
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Esteghlal FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Tractor Sazi
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Neftchi
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Pakhtakor
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #16 |
| → Al-Ahli Jeddah | #1 | #16 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Pakhtakor | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
The model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Pakhtakor win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Expected goals: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.8, Pakhtakor 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.77%.