Egyptian Premier League
· Championship Group - 2
April 11, 2026 20:00
Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
✓Model correct — prediction Al Ahly
Mahmoud Trézéguet
(ast. Zizo)
24'
Taher Mohamed
(ast. Mohamed Hany)
90'+2
45'+3
(ast. Hossam Ashraf)
Samuel Amadi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ahly a 64% win probability (draw 22%, Smouha SC 13%). The final result was Al Ahly 2–1 Smouha SC. In 1 previous meetings, Al Ahly have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Smouha SC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
0.40
4
Saves
0
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
1
9
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Mahmoud Trézéguet
· ast. Zizo
24'
45'+3
ast. Hossam Ashraf ·
Samuel Amadi⚽
Mohamed Sherif
/ Marwan Osman
56'
56'
Sherif Reda
/
Abdel Rahman Amer
64'
Sherif Reda
Zizo
/ Achraf Bencharki
65'
Emam Ashour
/ Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane
65'
66'
Youssef Afifi
/
Samuel Amadi
Yassin Marei
/ Taher Mohamed
83'
83'
Mohamed Kone
/
Samir Fekri
83'
Mohamed Saeed
/
Samadou Attidjikou
83'
Ahmed Fawzi
/
Amr El Sisi
⚽Taher Mohamed
· ast. Mohamed Hany
90'+2
Taher Mohamed
90'+2
Hussein El Shahat
90'+6
90'+6
Khaled El Ghandour
Pre-match prediction
64.48%
Al ←
22.0%
X
13.52%
Smouha
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al Ahly)
64.48%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.22
0.55
-1.67
0.78
0.40
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (0.55 – 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
20
Youssef Belammari
D
Youssef Belammari
D
2
Yassin Marei
83'
D
Yassin Marei
83'
D
6
Yasser Ibrahim
D
Yasser Ibrahim
D
30
Mohamed Hany
1 👟
D
Mohamed Hany
1 👟
D
7
Trézéguet
1 ⚽
M
Trézéguet
1 ⚽
M
13
Marwan Attia
M
Marwan Attia
M
22
Emam Ashour
65'
M
Emam Ashour
65'
M
14
Hussein El Shahat
M
Hussein El Shahat
M
10
Mohamed Sherif
56'
F
Mohamed Sherif
56'
F
25
Zizo
1 👟
65'
F
Zizo
1 👟
65'
F
Bench
17
A. Bencharki
25'
F
A. Bencharki
25'
F
23
A. Dieng
M
A. Dieng
M
24
A. Eid
D
4
Ahmed Ramadan
D
Ahmed Ramadan
D
27
Marwan Osman
34'
F
Marwan Osman
34'
F
29
Taher Mohamed
1 ⚽
13'
F
Taher Mohamed
1 ⚽
13'
F
28
G
6
Abdel Rahman Amer
56'
D
21
Mido Mostafa
D
Mido Mostafa
D
24
D
2
Hesham Hafez
D
Hesham Hafez
D
15
S. Attidjikou
83'
M
S. Attidjikou
83'
M
8
Samir Fekri
83'
M
Samir Fekri
83'
M
7
Amr El Sisi
83'
M
Amr El Sisi
83'
M
10
Khaled El Ghandour
M
Khaled El Ghandour
M
23
S. Amadi
1 ⚽
66'
M
S. Amadi
1 ⚽
66'
M
9
Hossam Ashraf
1 👟
F
Hossam Ashraf
1 👟
F
Bench
35
A. Fawzi
13'
M
14
Juhayna
13'
F
11
Sherif Reda
34'
D
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Hany
D · Al
7.90
1 👟
· 67 pass
S. Amadi
M · Smouha
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Taher Mohamed
F · Al
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Hussein El Shahat
M · Al
7.50
1 shots
· 33 pass
Mostafa Shobeir
G · Al
7.30
· 27 pass
Yassin Marei
D · Al
7.30
· 45 pass
Al Ahly — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Youssef Belammari | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Yassin Marei | D | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Trézéguet | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Hussein El Shahat | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Sherif | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Zizo | F | 65 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bencharki | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Marwan Osman | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Taher Mohamed | F | 13 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Smouha SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Abdel Rahman Amer | D | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Mido Mostafa | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — | |
| Hesham Hafez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Attidjikou | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Samir Fekri | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Amr El Sisi | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Khaled El Ghandour | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Amadi | M | 66 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Hossam Ashraf | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Fawzi | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juhayna | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sherif Reda | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
The final score was Al Ahly 2–1 Smouha SC.
What did the model predict before Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Al Ahly win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Smouha SC win.