← Egyptian Premier League
Egyptian Premier League · Championship Group - 2 April 11, 2026 22:00
Al Ahly
#3 · 50 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Smouha SC
#7 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Al Ahly
Mahmoud Trézéguet (ast. Zizo) 24'
Taher Mohamed (ast. Mohamed Hany) 90'+2
45'+3 (ast. Hossam Ashraf) Samuel Amadi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ahly a 64% win probability (draw 22%, Smouha SC 13%). The final result was Al Ahly 2–1 Smouha SC. In 1 previous meetings, Al Ahly have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Smouha SC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
0.40
4
Saves
0
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
1
9
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Mahmoud Trézéguet · ast. Zizo
24'
45'+3
ast. Hossam Ashraf · Samuel Amadi⚽
↕ Mohamed Sherif / Marwan Osman
56'
56'
Sherif Reda / Abdel Rahman Amer ↕
64'
Sherif Reda
↕ Zizo / Achraf Bencharki
65'
↕ Emam Ashour / Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane
65'
66'
Youssef Afifi / Samuel Amadi ↕
↕ Yassin Marei / Taher Mohamed
83'
83'
Mohamed Kone / Samir Fekri ↕
83'
Mohamed Saeed / Samadou Attidjikou ↕
83'
Ahmed Fawzi / Amr El Sisi ↕
⚽Taher Mohamed · ast. Mohamed Hany
90'+2
Taher Mohamed
90'+2
Hussein El Shahat
90'+6
90'+6
Khaled El Ghandour
Pre-match prediction
64.48%
Al ←
22.0%
X
13.52%
Smouha
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al Ahly) 64.48% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
2.22
0.55
-1.67
Smouha
0.78
0.40
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (0.55 – 0.40). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zamalek SC Zamalek SC 5 53
2 Pyramids FC Pyramids FC 5 51
3 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5 50
4 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 5 44
5 AL Masry AL Masry 5 40
6 Enppi Enppi 6 36
7 Smouha SC Smouha SC 5 31
8 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 10 48
9 Masr Masr 10 46
10 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 10 43
11 Petrojet Petrojet 10 41
12 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 10 39
13 Future FC Future FC 10 35
14 El Geish El Geish 10 34
15 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 10 33
16 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 10 32
17 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 10 31
18 Kahraba Ismailia Kahraba Ismailia 10 30
19 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 10 23
20 Pharco Pharco 10 22
21 Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 10 19
Lineups
Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-4-2
31
O. Shobeir G 7.30
20
Y. Belammari D 6.60
2
Yassin Marei 83' D 7.30
6
Y. Ibrahim D 6.50
30
M. Hany 1 👟 D 7.90
7
Mahmoud Trézéguet 1 ⚽ M 7.20
13
M. Attia M 7.30
22
E. Ashour 65' M 6.70
14
H. El Shahat M 7.50
10
Mohamed Sherif 56' F 6.20
25 Zizo Zizo 1 👟 65' F 7.00
Bench
17
A. Bencharki 25' F 6.70
23 A. Dieng A. Dieng M
24
A. Eid D
4
A. Ramadan D
27
M. Otaka 34' F 6.20
29
Taher Mohamed 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.70
Smouha SC Smouha SC 4-1-4-1
28
G 6.50
6
Abdel Rahman Amer 56' D 6.70
21
Mido Mostafa D 6.20
24
D 6.30
2
Hesham Hafez D 6.90
15
A. Samadou 83' M 6.90
8
Samir Fekri 83' M 6.90
7
A. El Sisi 83' M 6.60
10
Khaled El Ghandour M 7.20
23
S. Amadi 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.90
9
H. Ashraf 1 👟 F 6.20
Bench
35
A. Fawzi 13' M 6.50
14
Juhayna 13' F 6.70
11
Sherif Reda 34' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Hany
D · Al
7.90
1 👟
· 67 pass
S. Amadi
M · Smouha
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
Taher Mohamed
F · Al
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
H. El Shahat
M · Al
7.50
1 shots · 33 pass
O. Shobeir
G · Al
7.30
· 27 pass
Yassin Marei
D · Al
7.30
· 45 pass
Al Ahly Al Ahly — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Shobeir G 90 7.30 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
Y. Belammari D 90 6.60 — — — 49 44% — — —
Yassin Marei D 83 7.30 — — — 45 40% 2 — —
Y. Ibrahim D 90 6.50 — — — 49 45% — — —
M. Hany D 90 7.90 — 1 — 67 61% 2 — —
Mahmoud Trézéguet M 90 7.20 1 — 3 42 33% 2 — —
M. Attia M 90 7.30 — — 2 68 61% — — —
E. Ashour M 65 6.70 — — 2 38 34% — — —
H. El Shahat M 90 7.50 — — 1 33 25% 1 1 —
Mohamed Sherif F 56 6.20 — — — 7 7% — — —
Zizo F 65 7.00 — 1 — 27 24% 1 — —
A. Bencharki F 25 6.70 — — — 17 15% — — —
M. Otaka F 34 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
Taher Mohamed F 13 7.70 1 — 1 10 10% — 1 —
Smouha SC Smouha SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 25 16% — — —
Abdel Rahman Amer D 56 6.70 — — — 9 5% 2 — —
Mido Mostafa D 90 6.20 — — — 16 10% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 23 15% 2 — —
Hesham Hafez D 90 6.90 — — — 22 14% 4 — —
A. Samadou M 83 6.90 — — 1 26 22% 3 — —
Samir Fekri M 83 6.90 — — 2 14 13% 1 — —
A. El Sisi M 83 6.60 — — 1 18 13% 1 — —
Khaled El Ghandour M 90 7.20 — — 2 25 19% 1 1 —
S. Amadi M 66 7.90 1 — 2 19 16% — — —
H. Ashraf F 90 6.20 — 1 2 17 11% — — —
A. Fawzi M 13 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Juhayna F 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sherif Reda D 34 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
The final score was Al Ahly 2–1 Smouha SC.
What did the model predict before Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Al Ahly win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Smouha SC win.