Al Ain - Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League
September 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.07%
Win
Al Ain
31.78%
Draw
33.15%
Win
Al-Nassr
2.03
1.66
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.31%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Ain a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Al-Nassr. Expected goals are 2.0 for Al Ain and 1.7 for Al-Nassr (total 3.7), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.31% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Al Ain
Al-Nassr →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Playing profile
Al Ain
Attack
50
Defence
76
Form
24
Al-Nassr
Attack
51
Defence
65
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Al-Nassr
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Al Ain
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Al Sadd
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Al-Gharafa
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Al Shamal
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Esteghlal FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Tractor Sazi
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Neftchi
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Pakhtakor
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #5 | #2 |
| → Al Ain | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Al-Nassr | #5 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Ain vs Al-Nassr?
The model gives Al Ain a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Al-Nassr win.
How many goals are expected in Al Ain vs Al-Nassr?
Expected goals: Al Ain 2.0, Al-Nassr 1.7 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Al Ain vs Al-Nassr?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.31%.