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Al Ain - Esteghlal FC

AFC Champions League November 23, 2026 17:00
Al Ain
#1 · 9 pts
vs
Esteghlal FC
#4 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.08%
Win
Al Ain
29.39%
Draw
28.52%
Win
Esteghlal FC
2.65
Expected xG
0.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.72%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 29%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 58%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Ain a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Esteghlal FC. Expected goals are 2.6 for Al Ain and 0.8 for Esteghlal FC (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.72% probability.

Season Stats

Al Ain
3W 0D 0L
Esteghlal FC
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.3
Goals
1.7
0.7
Conceded
1.0
7.3
Shots OT
3.7
4.3
Corners
2.7
49%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Al Ain
2W 0D 0L · at home
Esteghlal FC
1W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al Ain Esteghlal FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% — —
1 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 10.2% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% —
4 6.7% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 3.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Al Ain Al Ain
W Tractor Sazi 2–1
W Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–4
W Al-Nassr 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC
L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0
W Al-Gharafa 1–2
W Al Sadd 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Al Ain Al Ain
Attack
65
Defence
76
Form
80
Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC
Attack
35
Defence
60
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al Ain Esteghlal FC
Current #1 #4
→ Al Ain #1 #4
→ Draw #1 #4
→ Esteghlal FC #1 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC?
The model gives Al Ain a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Esteghlal FC win.
How many goals are expected in Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC?
Expected goals: Al Ain 2.6, Esteghlal FC 0.8 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.72%.