Al-Gharafa - Al-Qadisiyah FC
AFC Champions League
November 02, 2026 19:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.92%
Win
Al-Gharafa
23.12%
Draw
52.95%
Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1.05
2.11
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(9.78%)
1X2 Result
1
24%
X
23%
2
53%
Double Chance
1X
47%
X2
76%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
61%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Qadisiyah FC a 52% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Al-Gharafa. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al-Gharafa and 2.1 for Al-Qadisiyah FC (total 3.2), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.78% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
9L
1W
2D
0L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.3
2.4
Conceded
1.0
4.7
Shots OT
3.7
4.7
Corners
5.7
38%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
91%
O 1.5
100%
64%
O 2.5
33%
45%
BTTS
100%
18%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
2W
0D
3L
· at home
0W
1D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
0%
40%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Al-Gharafa
Al-Qadisiyah FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Al-Gharafa
Attack
37
Defence
57
Form
33
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Attack
57
Defence
64
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Ain
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Esteghlal FC
|
3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
3 | 6 |
| 6 |
Al Shamal
|
3 | 5 |
| 7 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
3 | 5 |
| 8 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Al-Nassr
|
2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Neftchi
|
3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Pakhtakor
|
3 | 2 |
| 13 |
Tractor Sazi
|
3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Al Sadd
|
3 | 1 |
| 15 |
Al-Gharafa
|
3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #15 | #7 |
| → Al-Gharafa | #12 | #7 |
| → Draw | #14 | #6 |
| → Al-Qadisiyah FC | #15 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The model gives Al-Gharafa a 23% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 52% for an Al-Qadisiyah FC win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Expected goals: Al-Gharafa 1.1, Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.1 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.78%.