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AFC Champions League · League Phase - 2 October 12, 2026 20:15
Al-Gharafa
#15 · 0 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Esteghlal FC
#4 · 6 pts
Ferjani Sassi (ast. Seydou Sano) 48'
37' (ast. Saleh Hardani) Jasir Asani
60' Hossein Goudarzi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Esteghlal FC a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Al-Gharafa 32%). The final result was Al-Gharafa 1–2 Esteghlal FC.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
9
Shots on target
3
1.99
Actual xG
0.77
1
Saves
7
45%
Possession
55%
9
Corners
5
16
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
32'
Jasir Asani / Amirmohammad Razaghinia ↕
37'
ast. Saleh Hardani · Jasir Asani⚽
44'
Jaloliddin Masharipov
45'+4
Roozbeh Cheshmi
↕ Dame Traore / Hassan Aladin
45'
⚽Ferjani Sassi · ast. Seydou Sano
48'
53'
Alireza Koushki / Jaloliddin Masharipov ↕
60'
Hossein Goudarzi⚽
↕ Frank Magri / Amro Surag
64'
67'
Mohammadhossein Eslami / Jasir Asani ↕
↕ Seydou Sano / Florinel Coman
75'
↕ Abdulrahman Al-Rashidi / Mason Holgate
75'
↕ Yacine Brahimi / Amjed Nasar Mohamed
80'
82'
Esmaeil Gholizadeh
Pre-match prediction
32.7%
Al-Gharafa
31.43%
X
35.87%
Esteghlal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Esteghlal FC) 35.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Gharafa
1.32
1.99
+0.67
Esteghlal
2.58
0.77
-1.81
Al-Gharafa dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0
Lineups
Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3-4-3
31 A. Kone A. Kone G 5.90
6 Dame Traoré Dame Traoré 45' D 6.41
18 Ayoub Al Oui Ayoub Al Oui D 6.09
4 S. Sano S. Sano 1 👟 75' D 7.30
23 Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla M 6.63
29 F. Díaz F. Díaz M 6.01
13 F. Sassi F. Sassi 1 ⚽ M 7.52
2 Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi 75' M 5.76
8 Y. Brahimi Y. Brahimi 80' F 6.48
9 F. Magri F. Magri 64' F 6.23
96 A. Ounas A. Ounas F 6.82
Bench
90 A. Hassan A. Hassan 45' F 6.51
11 Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag 26' D 6.27
97 A. Nasar Mohamed A. Nasar Mohamed 10' F 6.42
7 F. Coman F. Coman 15' F 6.71
24 Hamad Kahiout Hamad Kahiout G 0.00
16 Jamil Friarkh Jamil Friarkh M 0.00
1 Khalifa Ababacar Khalifa Ababacar G 0.00
27 M. Holgate M. Holgate 15' D 6.06
5 Mostafa Essam Mostafa Essam D 0.00
49 R. Faragalla R. Faragalla M 0.00
Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3-4-3
76 H. Far Abbasi H. Far Abbasi G 7.66
5 R. Ashurmatov R. Ashurmatov D 7.00
33 A. Aghasi A. Aghasi D 6.93
6 S. Fallah S. Fallah D 7.00
27 H. Goudarzi H. Goudarzi 1 ⚽ M 8.09
8 A. Razzaghinia A. Razzaghinia 32' M 6.41
4 R. Cheshmi R. Cheshmi M 6.34
2 Saleh Hardani Saleh Hardani 1 👟 M 7.48
87 E. Saitmuratov E. Saitmuratov F 6.07
11 S. Saharkhizan S. Saharkhizan F 6.49
10 J. Masharipov J. Masharipov 53' F 6.74
Bench
20 A. Koushki A. Koushki 37' F 6.36
15 A. Zamani A. Zamani M 0.00
7 J. Asani J. Asani 1 ⚽ 35' F 7.61
88 M. Ahmadi M. Ahmadi M 0.00
9 M. Azadi M. Azadi F 0.00
80 M. Eslami M. Eslami 23' M 6.33
60 S. Hosseinifar S. Hosseinifar G 0.00
Best on the pitch
H. Goudarzi
H. Goudarzi
M · Esteghlal
8.09
1 ⚽
2 shots · 32 pass
H. Far Abbasi
H. Far Abbasi
G · Esteghlal
7.66
· 34 pass
J. Asani
J. Asani
F · Esteghlal
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
F. Sassi
F. Sassi
M · Al-Gharafa
7.52
1 ⚽
2 shots · 44 pass
Saleh Hardani
Saleh Hardani
M · Esteghlal
7.48
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
S. Sano
S. Sano
D · Al-Gharafa
7.30
1 👟
3 shots · 40 pass
Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Kone G 90 5.90 — — 0 15 9% 0 — —
Dame Traoré D 45 6.41 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
Ayoub Al Oui D 90 6.09 — — 1 43 34% 1 — —
S. Sano D 75 7.30 — 1 3 40 31% 3 — —
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla M 90 6.63 — — 0 23 20% 3 — —
F. Díaz M 90 6.01 — — 0 44 37% 3 — —
F. Sassi M 90 7.52 1 — 2 44 34% 4 — —
Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi M 75 5.76 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
Y. Brahimi F 80 6.48 — — 1 35 29% 0 — —
F. Magri F 64 6.23 — — 2 16 11% 0 — —
A. Ounas F 90 6.82 — — 3 31 24% 0 — —
A. Hassan F 45 6.51 — — 2 5 3% 0 — —
Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag D 26 6.27 — — 2 14 11% 1 — —
A. Nasar Mohamed F 10 6.42 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
F. Coman F 15 6.71 — — 2 5 5% 0 — —
M. Holgate D 15 6.06 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Far Abbasi G 90 7.66 — — 0 34 21% 0 — —
R. Ashurmatov D 90 7.00 — — 0 57 48% 1 — —
A. Aghasi D 90 6.93 — — 0 65 59% 1 — —
S. Fallah D 90 7.00 — — 2 63 52% 0 — —
H. Goudarzi M 90 8.09 1 — 2 32 28% 0 — —
A. Razzaghinia M 32 6.41 — — 0 18 17% 1 — —
R. Cheshmi M 90 6.34 — — 0 40 33% 0 1 —
Saleh Hardani M 90 7.48 — 1 1 29 23% 4 — —
E. Saitmuratov F 90 6.07 — — 0 41 36% 0 1 —
S. Saharkhizan F 90 6.49 — — 3 17 15% 0 — —
J. Masharipov F 53 6.74 — — 0 16 13% 1 1 —
A. Koushki F 37 6.36 — — 1 8 5% 0 — —
J. Asani F 35 7.61 1 — 1 15 12% 0 — —
M. Eslami M 23 6.33 — — 0 10 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC?
The final score was Al-Gharafa 1–2 Esteghlal FC.
What did the model predict before Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Al-Gharafa win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Esteghlal FC win.