AFC Champions League
· League Phase - 1
September 15, 2026 20:15
Rúben Neves
45'+3
(pen.)
Sergej Milinković-Savić
(ast. Rúben Neves)
72'
90'+2
(ast. Ayoub Al-Oui)
Hassan Aladin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Al-Gharafa 23%). The final result was Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–1 Al-Gharafa. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al-Gharafa.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
14
Corners
2
9
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Crysencio Summerville
32'
33'
Ismaël Bennacer
⚽Rúben Neves
(pen.)
45'+3
62'
Florinel Coman
/
Abdulrahman Al-Rashidi
Yusuf Akcicek
/ Hassan Al-Tambakti
66'
Saimon Bouabre
/ Sultan Mandash
66'
Nasser Al-Dawsari
/ Moteb Al-Harbi
66'
69'
Fabricio Díaz
69'
Hassan Aladin
/
Adam Ounas
71'
Saifeldeen Fadlalla
⚽Sergej Milinković-Savić
· ast. Rúben Neves
72'
Mohamed Kader Meïté
/ Nawaf Al-Habashi
81'
82'
Mason Holgate
/
Fabricio Díaz
90'+2
ast. Ayoub Al-Oui ·
Hassan Aladin⚽
Sergej Milinković-Savić
/ Suhayb Ayman Alzaid
90'
Pre-match prediction
51.51%
Al-Hilal ←
24.55%
X
23.93%
Al-Gharafa
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Hilal Saudi FC)
51.51%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.58
—
—
1.24
—
—
Lineups
37
Y. Bounou
G
Y. Bounou
G
6
Nasser Al Dawsari
66'
D
Nasser Al Dawsari
66'
D
4
Yusuf Akçiçek
66'
D
Yusuf Akçiçek
66'
D
3
K. Koulibaly
D
K. Koulibaly
D
2
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D
70
Saïmon Bouabré
66'
M
Saïmon Bouabré
66'
M
8
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
22
S. Milinković-Savić
1 ⚽
89'
M
S. Milinković-Savić
1 ⚽
89'
M
38
C. Summerville
32'
F
C. Summerville
32'
F
75
M. Meïté
81'
F
M. Meïté
81'
F
7
Gabriel Martinelli
F
Gabriel Martinelli
F
Bench
93
Abdullah Al Anazi
M
Abdullah Al Anazi
M
87
Hassan Tambakti
24'
D
Hassan Tambakti
24'
D
28
Mohamed Kanno
M
Mohamed Kanno
M
33
Mohammed Al Owais
G
Mohammed Al Owais
G
17
Mohammed Al Yami
G
Mohammed Al Yami
G
24
Moteb Al Harbi
24'
D
Moteb Al Harbi
24'
D
18
Murad Al Hawsawi
M
Murad Al Hawsawi
M
77
Nawaf Al Habashi
9'
M
Nawaf Al Habashi
9'
M
96
Suhayb Al Zaid
1'
M
Suhayb Al Zaid
1'
M
27
Sultan Mandash
24'
F
Sultan Mandash
24'
F
31
A. Kone
G
A. Kone
G
4
S. Sano
D
S. Sano
D
20
Jang Hyun-Soo
D
Jang Hyun-Soo
D
18
Ayoub Al Oui
1 👟
D
Ayoub Al Oui
1 👟
D
23
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
M
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
M
13
F. Sassi
M
F. Sassi
M
29
F. Díaz
82'
M
F. Díaz
82'
M
2
Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi
62'
M
Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi
62'
M
96
A. Ounas
69'
M
A. Ounas
69'
M
10
I. Bennacer
33'
M
I. Bennacer
33'
M
9
F. Magri
F
F. Magri
F
Bench
90
A. Hassan
1 ⚽
21'
F
A. Hassan
1 ⚽
21'
F
11
Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag
D
Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag
D
97
A. Nasar Mohamed
F
A. Nasar Mohamed
F
6
Dame Traoré
D
Dame Traoré
D
7
F. Coman
28'
F
F. Coman
28'
F
1
Khalifa Ababacar
G
Khalifa Ababacar
G
34
M. Gamal
G
M. Gamal
G
27
M. Holgate
8'
D
M. Holgate
8'
D
26
Rayyan Al Ali
D
Rayyan Al Ali
D
49
R. Faragalla
M
R. Faragalla
M
Best on the pitch
S. Milinković-Savić
M · Al-Hilal
8.16
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 54 pass
Rúben Neves
M · Al-Hilal
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 128 pass
A. Hassan
F · Al-Gharafa
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
K. Koulibaly
D · Al-Hilal
6.93
· 50 pass
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D · Al-Hilal
6.91
1 shots
· 57 pass
Jang Hyun-Soo
D · Al-Gharafa
6.89
2 shots
· 25 pass
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bounou | G | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Nasser Al Dawsari | D | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Yusuf Akçiçek | D | 66 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Koulibaly | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Saïmon Bouabré | M | 66 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| Rúben Neves | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 128 | 115% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Milinković-Savić | M | 89 | 8.16 | 1 | — | 3 | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Summerville | F | 32 | 5.95 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | 1 |
| M. Meïté | F | 81 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 24 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 24 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Nawaf Al Habashi | M | 9 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Suhayb Al Zaid | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Sultan Mandash | F | 24 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Al-Gharafa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kone | G | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Sano | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jang Hyun-Soo | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ayoub Al Oui | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla | M | 90 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Sassi | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Díaz | M | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi | M | 62 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ounas | M | 69 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Bennacer | M | 33 | 5.48 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | 1 |
| F. Magri | F | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hassan | F | 21 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Coman | F | 28 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Holgate | D | 8 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Gharafa?
The final score was Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–1 Al-Gharafa.
What did the model predict before Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Gharafa?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Al-Hilal Saudi FC win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Al-Gharafa win.