AFC Champions League
· Round of 16
April 13, 2026 20:00
S. Milinkovic-Savic
(ast. T. Hernandez)
29'
S. Al Dawsari
(ast. R. Neves)
55'
Marcos Leonardo
(ast. K. Benzema)
67'
R. Neves
120'+1
(pen.)
Marcos Leonardo
120'+2
(pen.)
36'
(ast. R. Saiss)
Claudinho
58'
(ast. Claudinho)
R. Mujica
70'
(ast. A. Soria)
Roberto Firmino
(pen.)
120'+2
A. Soria
(pen.)
120'+3
Claudinho
(pen.)
120'+4
R. Mujica
(pen.)
120'+5
A. Afif
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Al Sadd 29%). The final result was Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–3 Al Sadd. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Sadd.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
18
6
Shots on target
13
2.54
Actual xG
1.98
9
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
12
9
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽S. Milinkovic-Savic
· ast. T. Hernandez
29'
36'
ast. R. Saiss ·
Claudinho⚽
45'+3
A. Afif
52'
M. Camara
⚽S. Al Dawsari
· ast. R. Neves
55'
58'
ast. Claudinho ·
R. Mujica⚽
S. Mandash
/ Marcos Leonardo
65'
A. Lajami
/ P. Mari
65'
⚽Marcos Leonardo
· ast. K. Benzema
67'
70'
ast. A. Soria ·
Roberto Firmino⚽
76'
Pedro Miguel
M. Kanno
83'
S. Al Dawsari
/ N. Al Dawsari
85'
M. Kanno
/ S. Bouabre
85'
M. Al Harbi
/ M. Al Hawsawi
91'
Marcos Leonardo
101'
S. Inzaghi
102'
T. Hernandez
/ A. Darisi
114'
120'+1
(missed pen.)
Roberto Firmino⚽
⚽R. Neves
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.)
A. Soria⚽
⚽Marcos Leonardo
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.)
Claudinho⚽
⚽K. Benzema
(missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
R. Mujica⚽
⚽S. Bouabre
(missed pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(pen.)
A. Afif⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.47%
Al-Hilal
30.55%
X ←
29.97%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.18
2.54
-0.64
0.95
1.98
+1.03
Al-Hilal Saudi FC dominated by xG (2.54 vs 1.98).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
37
G
24
Moteb Al-Harbi
D
Moteb Al-Harbi
D
87
Hassan Altambakti
D
Hassan Altambakti
D
78
Ali Lajami
65'
D
Ali Lajami
65'
D
19
Theo Hernández
1 👟
D
Theo Hernández
1 👟
D
8
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
23
Sultan Mandash
65'
M
Sultan Mandash
65'
M
22
S. Milinković-Savić
1 ⚽
M
S. Milinković-Savić
1 ⚽
M
28
Mohamed Kanno
85'
M
Mohamed Kanno
85'
M
29
Salem Al-Dawsari
1 ⚽
85'
M
Salem Al-Dawsari
1 ⚽
85'
M
90
K. Benzema
1 👟
F
K. Benzema
1 👟
F
Bench
9
Marcos Leonardo
2 ⚽
55'
F
Marcos Leonardo
2 ⚽
55'
F
75
M. Meite
F
18
Murad Al Hawsawi
30'
M
Murad Al Hawsawi
30'
M
70
S. Bouabre
35'
M
22
G
16
D
6
D
2
Pedro Miguel
D
Pedro Miguel
D
29
Romain Saiss
1 👟
D
4
M. Camara
M
M. Camara
M
33
Claudinho
2 ⚽
1 👟
M
Claudinho
2 ⚽
1 👟
M
80
A. Soria
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
9
Roberto Firmino
1 ⚽
M
Roberto Firmino
1 ⚽
M
7
Akram Afif
1 ⚽
M
Akram Afif
1 ⚽
M
19
Rafa Mujica
F
Rafa Mujica
F
Best on the pitch
Claudinho
M · Al
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 80 pass
Rúben Neves
M · Al-Hilal
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
· 77 pass
Sultan Mandash
M · Al-Hilal
8.30
· 19 pass
G · Al-Hilal
8.20
· 29 pass
A. Soria
M · Al
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
Salem Al-Dawsari
M · Al-Hilal
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 120 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Moteb Al-Harbi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Hassan Altambakti | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Theo Hernández | D | 114 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 62 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Rúben Neves | M | 120 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | — | 77 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Mandash | M | 65 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Milinković-Savić | M | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Salem Al-Dawsari | M | 85 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| K. Benzema | F | 120 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 55 | 7.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bouabre | M | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
Al Sadd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 7 | — | — | |
| Pedro Miguel | D | 120 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Romain Saiss | D | 120 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 64 | 52% | — | — | — |
| M. Camara | M | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Claudinho | M | 120 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 80 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Soria | M | 120 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Roberto Firmino | M | 120 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Akram Afif | M | 120 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 60 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| Rafa Mujica | F | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Sadd?
The final score was Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–3 Al Sadd.
What did the model predict before Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Sadd?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Al-Hilal Saudi FC win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Al Sadd win.