✓Model correct — prediction Al-Hilal Saudi FC
R. Neves
10'
(pen.)
S. Mandash
(ast. Malcom)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 70% win probability (draw 15%, NEOM 14%). The final result was Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 NEOM. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for NEOM.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
2
2.09
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
2
19
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Neves
(pen.)
10'
S. Mandash
29'
⚽S. Mandash
· ast. Malcom
58'
63'
I. Hawsawi
/
M. Al Burayk
63'
A. Al Oyayari
/
F. Abdi
63'
M. Al Saad
/
A. Al Haji
S. Mandash
/ M. Meite
65'
Marcos Leonardo
/ A. Darisi
79'
79'
Y. Gharwi
/
L. Rodriguez
T. Hernandez
86'
Malcom
/ S. Bouabre
89'
M. Al Harbi
/ A. Lajami
89'
90'+1
K. Al Dawsari
Pre-match prediction
70.16%
Al-Hilal ←
15.39%
X
14.46%
NEOM
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Hilal Saudi FC)
70.16%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.63
2.09
-0.54
1.05
0.63
-0.42
Al-Hilal Saudi FC dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
37
Y. Bounou
G
Y. Bounou
G
24
Moteb Al Harbi
89'
D
Moteb Al Harbi
89'
D
8
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
D
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
D
87
Hassan Tambakti
D
Hassan Tambakti
D
19
Theo Hernández
M
Theo Hernández
M
28
Mohamed Kanno
M
Mohamed Kanno
M
16
Nasser Al Dawsari
M
Nasser Al Dawsari
M
22
S. Milinković-Savić
M
S. Milinković-Savić
M
23
Sultan Mandash
1 ⚽
65'
M
Sultan Mandash
1 ⚽
65'
M
9
Marcos Leonardo
79'
F
Marcos Leonardo
79'
F
10
Malcom
1 👟
89'
F
Malcom
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
14
Abdulkarim Darisi
11'
F
Abdulkarim Darisi
11'
F
40
Ahmad Abu Rasen
G
Ahmad Abu Rasen
G
78
Ali Lajami
1'
D
Ali Lajami
1'
D
75
M. Meïté
25'
F
M. Meïté
25'
F
17
Mohammed Al-Yami
G
Mohammed Al-Yami
G
18
Murad Al Hawsawi
M
Murad Al Hawsawi
M
70
Saimon Bouabre
1'
M
Saimon Bouabre
1'
M
99
M. Bułka
G
M. Bułka
G
25
F. Abdi
63'
D
F. Abdi
63'
D
44
N. Zézé
D
N. Zézé
D
26
Ahmed Hegazy
D
Ahmed Hegazy
D
4
Khalifah Al Dawsari
D
Khalifah Al Dawsari
D
80
R. Messi
M
R. Messi
M
72
A. Koné
M
A. Koné
M
18
Ala Al Hajji
63'
M
Ala Al Hajji
63'
M
2
Mohammed Al Burayk
63'
M
Mohammed Al Burayk
63'
M
91
A. Lacazette
F
A. Lacazette
F
19
L. Rodríguez
79'
F
L. Rodríguez
79'
F
Bench
60
A. Al Anzi
F
A. Al Anzi
F
15
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
27'
D
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
27'
D
93
Awn Al Saluli
D
Awn Al Saluli
D
95
Ayman Fallatah\t
M
Ayman Fallatah\t
M
27
Islam Hawsawi
27'
D
Islam Hawsawi
27'
D
81
Luís Maximiano
G
Luís Maximiano
G
14
Muhannad Al Saad
27'
F
Muhannad Al Saad
27'
F
61
Yahya Mousa Gharawi
11'
M
Yahya Mousa Gharawi
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Rúben Neves
D · Al-Hilal
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 74 pass
Theo Hernández
M · Al-Hilal
8.20
1 shots
· 42 pass
Y. Bounou
G · Al-Hilal
7.30
· 34 pass
Sultan Mandash
M · Al-Hilal
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Moteb Al Harbi
D · Al-Hilal
7.00
· 49 pass
Hassan Tambakti
D · Al-Hilal
7.00
· 45 pass
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bounou | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Rúben Neves | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 74 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| Theo Hernández | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Nasser Al Dawsari | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Milinković-Savić | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Mandash | M | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Malcom | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Abdulkarim Darisi | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Meïté | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Saimon Bouabre | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
NEOM — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bułka | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Abdi | D | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| N. Zézé | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Ahmed Hegazy | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Messi | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Koné | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ala Al Hajji | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Burayk | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Lacazette | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Islam Hawsawi | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Yahya Mousa Gharawi | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM?
The final score was Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 NEOM.
What did the model predict before Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Al-Hilal Saudi FC win, 15% to a draw, and 14% to an NEOM win.