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Al-Hilal Saudi FC - NEOM

Saudi Pro League May 16, 2026 18:05
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
#2 · 78 pts
vs
NEOM
#8 · 44 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 38.2°C 💨 16 km/h · Riyadh
⚡ Pre-match analysis
69.77%
Win
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
15.65%
Draw
14.58%
Win
NEOM
2.62
Expected xG
1.05
Model prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
69.77%
Probability
59.4%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 69% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 14% for NEOM. Expected goals are 2.6 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC and 1.1 for NEOM (total 3.7), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for NEOM.

Score Matrix
↕ Al-Hilal Saudi FC NEOM →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
Recent form
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
D Al-Nassr 1–1
W Al Khaleej Saihat 1–2
W Al-Hazm 0–3
W Damac 1–0
W Al Kholood 6–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 41%
NEOM NEOM
W Al Shabab 2–1
D Al-Fateh 2–2
D Al-Hazm 1–1
L Al Najma 2–1
W Al-Ittihad FC 3–4
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Attack
58
Defence
88
Form
74
NEOM NEOM
Attack
45
Defence
61
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
Draw
0
NEOM
W 18 Jan 2026 Saudi Pro League 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM?
The model gives Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 69% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 14% for an NEOM win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM?
Expected goals: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.6, NEOM 1.1 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.2%.