Al-Ittihad FC 1–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC — pre-match prediction — Saudi Pro League — May 21, 2026

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Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 34 May 21, 2026 20:00 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah

Al-Ittihad FC

#2 · 17 pts

1 – 5

Final score

Al-Qadisiyah FC

#4 · 16 pts

Y. En Nesyri 42' (pen.)

2' (ast. N. Nandez) M. Al Juwayr

(pen.) 37' J. Quinones

37' (ast. N. Nandez) J. Quinones

55' M. Abu Al Shamat

64' (ast. N. Nandez) J. Quinones

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 51% win probability (draw 19%, Al-Ittihad FC 29%). The final result was Al-Ittihad FC 1–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Ittihad FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.83

Actual xG

4.17

Saves

35%

Possession

65%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. N. Nandez · M. Al Juwayr⚽

37'

(pen.) J. Quinones⚽

37'

ast. N. Nandez · J. Quinones⚽

⚽Y. En Nesyri (pen.)

42'

44'

J. Quinones

↕ F. Al Ghamdi / A. Al Bishi

55'

M. Abu Al Shamat⚽

M. Mitaj

59'

A. Al Oboud

60'

64'

ast. N. Nandez · J. Quinones⚽

↕ A. Al Nashri / M. Fallatah

68'

↕ J. Simic / S. Al Shehri

69'

Gabriel Carvalho / A. Al Salem ↕

↕ A. Al Oboud / A. Al Ghamdi

76'

↕ Y. En Nesyri / G. Ilenikhena

77'

A. A. Hazazi / N. Nandez ↕

77'

H. Asiri / J. Quinones ↕

M. Fallatah

84'

86'

Y. Al Shahrani / C. Bonsu Baah ↕

86'

I. Mahnashi / J. Thakri ↕

Pre-match prediction

29.02%

Al-Ittihad

19.45%

51.54%

Al-Qadisiyah ←

we assigned to the actual result (Al-Qadisiyah FC) 51.54% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Al-Ittihad

1.71

1.83

+0.12

Al-Qadisiyah

2.54

4.17

+1.63

Al-Qadisiyah FC dominated by xG (4.17 vs 1.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	17
3	Al-Nassr	7	16
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	16
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	12
6	NEOM	6	12
7	Al Kholood	6	12
8	Al-Ettifaq	7	11
9	Al Diriyah	6	10
10	Al-Hazm	7	8
11	Al-Fayha	7	6
12	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	5
13	Al Riyadh	6	5
14	Al Shabab	7	4
15	Al-Fateh	6	3
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	3
17	Al Taawon	7	3
18	Abha	6	1

Lineups

Al-Ittihad FC 3-4-2-1

P. Rajković G 4.70

Hassan Kadesh D 5.30

Danilo Pereira D 7.60

J. Šimić 68' D 5.70

Mario Mitaj M 7.20

Faisal Al Ghamdi 54' M 5.60

Awad Al Nashri 68' M 6.20

Muhannad Al Shanqiti M 7.50

M. Diaby F 6.90

Abdulrahman Al Obud 76' F 6.70

Y. En-Nesyri 1 ⚽ 76' F 6.90

Bench

Abdulaziz Al Bishi 36' F 6.20

Ahmed Al Ghamdi 14' F 6.90

Ahmed Al Julaydan D

G. Ilenikhena 14' F 6.50

Mohammed Al Absi G

Mohammed Barnawi D

Mohammed Fallatah 22' M 6.30

Osama Al Mermesh G

Saleh Al Shehri 22' F 6.50

Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1-4-2

K. Casteels G 7.20

G. Álvarez D 7.50

Nacho D 7.00

Jehad Abdullatif Ahm 86' D 5.90

Otávio M 7.90

C. Bonsu Baah 86' M 8.00

Musab Al Juwayr 1 ⚽ M 8.20

N. Nández 3 👟 76' M 8.30

Mohammed Abu Al Shamat 1 ⚽ M 8.50

Abdullah Al Salem 69' F 6.70

J. Quiñones 3 ⚽ 76' F 8.30

Bench

Ahmed Al Kassar G

Ali Hazazi 14' M 6.90

Amar Hamed Al Yuhaybi M

E. Houssa M

Gabriel Carvalho 21' F 6.70

Haitham Asiri 14' F 6.50

Ibrahim Mahnashi 4' M

Mohammed Qasem D

Yasir Al Shahrani 4' D

Best on the pitch

Mohammed Abu Al Shamat

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 52 pass

J. Quiñones

F · Al-Qadisiyah

8.30

3 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

N. Nández

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.30

3 👟

1 shots · 43 pass

Musab Al Juwayr

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 84 pass

C. Bonsu Baah

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.00

· 39 pass

Otávio

M · Al-Qadisiyah

7.90

· 71 pass

Al-Ittihad FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Rajković	G	90	4.70	—	—	—	34	17%	—	—	—
Hassan Kadesh	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	41	39%	1	—	—
Danilo Pereira	D	90	7.60	—	—	3	32	31%	3	—	—
J. Šimić	D	68	5.70	—	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
Mario Mitaj	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	31	28%	2	1	—
Faisal Al Ghamdi	M	54	5.60	—	—	1	18	11%	1	—	—
Awad Al Nashri	M	68	6.20	—	—	—	15	12%	2	—	—
Muhannad Al Shanqiti	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	23	18%	4	—	—
M. Diaby	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
Abdulrahman Al Obud	F	76	6.70	—	—	—	18	12%	—	1	—
Y. En-Nesyri	F	76	6.90	1	—	3	16	12%	—	—	—
Abdulaziz Al Bishi	F	36	6.20	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Ahmed Al Ghamdi	F	14	6.90	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
G. Ilenikhena	F	14	6.50	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
Mohammed Fallatah	M	22	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	1	—
Saleh Al Shehri	F	22	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	1	—	—

Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Casteels	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	35	31%	—	—	—
G. Álvarez	D	90	7.50	—	—	1	60	55%	1	—	—
Nacho	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	63	61%	1	—	—
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm	D	86	5.90	—	—	1	59	56%	—	—	—
Otávio	M	90	7.90	—	—	—	71	70%	4	—	—
C. Bonsu Baah	M	86	8.00	—	—	—	39	38%	2	—	—
Musab Al Juwayr	M	90	8.20	1	—	2	84	75%	—	—	—
N. Nández	M	76	8.30	—	3	1	43	35%	—	—	—
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat	M	90	8.50	1	—	2	52	50%	2	—	—
Abdullah Al Salem	F	69	6.70	—	—	3	21	19%	—	—	—
J. Quiñones	F	76	8.30	3	—	3	17	13%	1	1	—
Ali Hazazi	M	14	6.90	—	—	—	10	10%	—	—	—
Gabriel Carvalho	F	21	6.70	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
Haitham Asiri	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Ibrahim Mahnashi	M	4	—	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Yasir Al Shahrani	D	4	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?

The final score was Al-Ittihad FC 1–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC.

What did the model predict before Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?

The model assigned 29% probability to a Al-Ittihad FC win, 19% to a draw, and 51% to an Al-Qadisiyah FC win.