Skip to main content
← AFC Champions League

Al-Ittihad FC - Pakhtakor

AFC Champions League November 23, 2026 19:15
Al-Ittihad FC
#8 · 4 pts
vs
Pakhtakor
#12 · 2 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.17%
Win
Al-Ittihad FC
30.97%
Draw
28.86%
Win
Pakhtakor
1.54
Expected xG
0.66

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.22%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 31%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 60%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 50%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Ittihad FC a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pakhtakor. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al-Ittihad FC and 0.7 for Pakhtakor (total 2.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.22% probability.

Season Stats

Al-Ittihad FC
8W 1D 5L
Pakhtakor
1W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.2
1.1
Conceded
0.8
4.8
Shots OT
2.5
7.2
Corners
7.5
61%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
75%
64%
O 2.5
25%
57%
BTTS
50%
29%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Al-Ittihad FC
4W 0D 2L · at home
Pakhtakor
0W 1D 1L · away
2.2
gls/g
0.5
0.5
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
0%
17%
O 3.5
0%
17%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al-Ittihad FC Pakhtakor →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 17.2% 11.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% —
2 13.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 6.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
W Neftchi 1–2
L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–2
D Al Shamal 1–1
W Al-Jazira 1–4
L Machida Zelvia 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Pakhtakor Pakhtakor
L Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0
D Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1
D Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1
W Al Hussein 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
Attack
53
Defence
66
Form
56
Pakhtakor Pakhtakor
Attack
34
Defence
72
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al-Ittihad FC Pakhtakor
Current #8 #12
→ Al-Ittihad FC #4 #12
→ Draw #8 #9
→ Pakhtakor #9 #8

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Pakhtakor?
The model gives Al-Ittihad FC a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an Pakhtakor win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ittihad FC vs Pakhtakor?
Expected goals: Al-Ittihad FC 1.5, Pakhtakor 0.7 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Ittihad FC vs Pakhtakor?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.22%.