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Egyptian Premier League · Relegation Group - 10 May 13, 2026 19:00 Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Al Ittihad
#6 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
El Geish
#9 · 7 pts
M. Alaa 36' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ittihad a 36% win probability (draw 34%, El Geish 28%). The final result was Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish. In 1 previous meetings, Al Ittihad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for El Geish.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.77
Actual xG
1.52
5
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
7
21
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Alaa (pen.)
36'
46'
I. Ouro-Agoro / F. Hatem ↕
46'
A. Keita / K. Tarek ↕
M. Ibrahim
56'
↕ Y. Wahid / A. Eid
62'
↕ M. Emad / M. Tony
63'
67'
A. Tarek / I. Mohareb ↕
↕ S. Isaac / A. Mohamed
69'
73'
A. Tarek
K. Abdelfattah
74'
↕ J. Ebuka / Mabululu
77'
↕ M. Dunga / Afsha
78'
78'
H. El Gabry / A. Tarek ↕
79'
M. Hany / A. Zola ↕
K. El Deeb
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.77%
Al ←
34.81%
X
28.42%
El
we assigned to the actual result (Al Ittihad) 36.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
0.96
1.77
+0.81
El
0.81
1.52
+0.71
xG dominance was balanced (1.77 – 1.52). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Pyramids FC Pyramids FC 5 15
2 Zamalek SC Zamalek SC 5 13
3 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 5 12
5 Future FC Future FC 5 10
6 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 5 10
7 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 5 7
8 Petrojet Petrojet 5 7
9 El Geish El Geish 5 7
10 Masr Masr 5 7
11 Olympic El Qanah Olympic El Qanah 5 6
12 AL Masry AL Masry 5 6
13 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 5 6
14 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 5 5
15 Enppi Enppi 5 4
16 Smouha SC Smouha SC 5 4
17 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad 5 3
18 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 5 2
19 Asyut Petrol Asyut Petrol 5 2
20 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 5 1
Lineups
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
16 Mahmoud Genesh Mahmoud Genesh G 7.90
17 Karim El Deeb Karim El Deeb D 7.60
4 Mahmoud Alaa Mahmoud Alaa 1 ⚽ D 7.50
5 Mostafa Ibrahim Mostafa Ibrahim D 7.30
2 Khaled Abdel Fattah Khaled Abdel Fattah D 6.90
25 Mahmoud Emad Mahmoud Emad 63' M 6.90
26 Mahmoud Dunga Mahmoud Dunga 78' M 6.60
11 Youssry Wahid Youssry Wahid 62' M 6.70
23 I. Saviour I. Saviour 69' M 6.70
27 Abdel Rahman Magdi Abdel Rahman Magdi M 6.30
18 J. Ebuka J. Ebuka 77' F 6.20
Bench
14 Abdel Ghani Mohamed Abdel Ghani Mohamed 21' F 6.90
33 Ahmed Eid Ahmed Eid 28' F 7.30
88 Ahmed Mahmoud Ahmed Mahmoud D
9 Fady Farid Fady Farid F
90 Mabululu Mabululu 13' F 6.70
6 Mahmoud Shabana Mahmoud Shabana D
10 Mohamed Magdi Kafsha Mohamed Magdi Kafsha 12' M 6.70
13 Mohamed Toni Mohamed Toni 27' M 6.30
1 Sobhi Soliman Sobhi Soliman G
El Geish El Geish 4-4-2
18 Emad El Sayed Emad El Sayed G 7.30
3 Amro Tarek Amro Tarek 78' D 6.90
27 Ahmed Alaa Eldin Ahmed Alaa Eldin D 6.90
6 Khaled Stouhi Khaled Stouhi D 6.70
24 Khaled Mohamed Awad Khaled Mohamed Awad D 6.90
11 Karim Tarek Karim Tarek 45' M 6.20
32 Yehia Mostafa Yehia Mostafa M 6.30
14 Ali Hamdy Ali Hamdy M 6.70
8 Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola 79' M 7.30
9 Fares Hatem Fares Hatem 45' F 6.20
12 Islam Mohareb Islam Mohareb 67' F 6.90
Bench
25 Ahmed Tarek Ahmed Tarek 23' M 6.90
23 Alpha Boubacar Keita Alpha Boubacar Keita 45' D 6.90
19 Hamed Khaled Hamed Khaled 12' M 6.60
5 H. Souissi H. Souissi M
28 I. Ouro-Agoro I. Ouro-Agoro 45' F 6.50
21 Khaled Abo Ziada Khaled Abo Ziada F
10 Mohamed Hany Mohamed Hany 11' F 6.70
16 Mohamed Shaaban Mohamed Shaaban G
7 Ragab Omran Ragab Omran M
Best on the pitch
Mahmoud Genesh
Mahmoud Genesh
G · Al
7.90
· 21 pass
Karim El Deeb
Karim El Deeb
D · Al
7.60
· 29 pass
Mahmoud Alaa
Mahmoud Alaa
D · Al
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
M · El
7.30
· 27 pass
Ahmed Eid
Ahmed Eid
F · Al
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
Emad El Sayed
Emad El Sayed
G · El
7.30
· 18 pass
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mahmoud Genesh G 90 7.90 — — — 21 6% — — —
Karim El Deeb D 90 7.60 — — — 29 23% 6 1 —
Mahmoud Alaa D 90 7.50 1 — 3 34 20% 1 — —
Mostafa Ibrahim D 90 7.30 — — — 17 15% — 1 —
Khaled Abdel Fattah D 90 6.90 — — — 31 21% 3 1 —
Mahmoud Emad M 63 6.90 — — — 33 24% 4 — —
Mahmoud Dunga M 78 6.60 — — — 19 15% — — —
Youssry Wahid M 62 6.70 — — 1 13 8% — — —
I. Saviour M 69 6.70 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
Abdel Rahman Magdi M 90 6.30 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
J. Ebuka F 77 6.20 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Abdel Ghani Mohamed F 21 6.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
Ahmed Eid F 28 7.30 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
Mabululu F 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Mohamed Magdi Kafsha M 12 6.70 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Mohamed Toni M 27 6.30 — — — 12 7% 2 — —
El Geish El Geish — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Emad El Sayed G 90 7.30 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
Amro Tarek D 78 6.90 — — — 32 21% 2 — —
Ahmed Alaa Eldin D 90 6.90 — — 1 40 31% — — —
Khaled Stouhi D 90 6.70 — — 1 52 39% 3 — —
Khaled Mohamed Awad D 90 6.90 — — 1 41 29% 1 — —
Karim Tarek M 45 6.20 — — — 4 1% 2 — —
Yehia Mostafa M 90 6.30 — — 2 30 18% 4 — —
Ali Hamdy M 90 6.70 — — — 55 43% 1 — —
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola M 79 7.30 — — — 27 22% — — —
Fares Hatem F 45 6.20 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
Islam Mohareb F 67 6.90 — — 2 23 20% 3 — —
Ahmed Tarek M 23 6.90 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Alpha Boubacar Keita D 45 6.90 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
Hamed Khaled M 12 6.60 — — — 2 — — — —
I. Ouro-Agoro F 45 6.50 — — 1 9 6% — — —
Mohamed Hany F 11 6.70 — — — 5 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The final score was Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish.
What did the model predict before Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Al Ittihad win, 34% to a draw, and 28% to an El Geish win.