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Egyptian Premier League · Relegation Group - 10 May 13, 2026 19:00
Al Ittihad
#16 · 32 pts
1 – 0
Final score
El Geish
#14 · 34 pts
M. Alaa 36' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ittihad a 36% win probability (draw 34%, El Geish 28%). The final result was Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish. In 1 previous meetings, Al Ittihad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for El Geish.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.77
Actual xG
1.52
5
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
7
21
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Alaa (pen.)
36'
46'
I. Ouro-Agoro / F. Hatem ↕
46'
A. Keita / K. Tarek ↕
M. Ibrahim
56'
↕ Y. Wahid / A. Eid
62'
↕ M. Emad / M. Tony
63'
67'
A. Tarek / I. Mohareb ↕
↕ S. Isaac / A. Mohamed
69'
73'
A. Tarek
K. Abdelfattah
74'
↕ J. Ebuka / Mabululu
77'
↕ M. Dunga / Afsha
78'
78'
H. El Gabry / A. Tarek ↕
79'
M. Hany / A. Zola ↕
K. El Deeb
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.77%
Al ←
34.81%
X
28.42%
El
we assigned to the actual result (Al Ittihad) 36.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
0.96
1.77
+0.81
El
0.81
1.52
+0.71
xG dominance was balanced (1.77 – 1.52). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zamalek SC Zamalek SC 5 53
2 Pyramids FC Pyramids FC 5 51
3 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5 50
4 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 5 44
5 AL Masry AL Masry 5 40
6 Enppi Enppi 6 36
7 Smouha SC Smouha SC 5 31
8 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 10 48
9 Masr Masr 10 46
10 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 10 43
11 Petrojet Petrojet 10 41
12 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 10 39
13 Future FC Future FC 10 35
14 El Geish El Geish 10 34
15 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 10 33
16 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 10 32
17 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 10 31
18 Kahraba Ismailia Kahraba Ismailia 10 30
19 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 10 23
20 Pharco Pharco 10 22
21 Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 10 19
Lineups
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
16 Mahmoud Genesh Mahmoud Genesh G 7.90
17 Karim El Deeb Karim El Deeb D 7.60
4 Mahmoud Alaa Mahmoud Alaa 1 ⚽ D 7.50
5 Mostafa Ibrahim Mostafa Ibrahim D 7.30
2 Khaled Abdelfattah Khaled Abdelfattah D 6.90
25 Mahmoud Emad Mahmoud Emad 63' M 6.90
26 Mahmoud Dunga Mahmoud Dunga 78' M 6.60
11 Youssry Wahid Youssry Wahid 62' M 6.70
23 Isaac Saviour Isaac Saviour 69' M 6.70
27 Abdel Rahman Magdi Abdel Rahman Magdi M 6.30
18 John Okoye Ebuka John Okoye Ebuka 77' F 6.20
Bench
14 Abdelghani Mohamed Abdelghani Mohamed 21' F 6.90
33 Ahmed Eid Ahmed Eid 28' F 7.30
88 Ahmed Mahmoud Ahmed Mahmoud D
9 Fady Farid Fady Farid F
90 Mabululu Mabululu 13' F 6.70
6 Mahmoud Shabana Mahmoud Shabana D
10 Mohamed Magdy Afsha Mohamed Magdy Afsha 12' M 6.70
13 Mohamed Toni Mohamed Toni 27' M 6.30
1 Sobhy Soliman Sobhy Soliman G
El Geish El Geish 4-4-2
18 Emad El-Sayed Emad El-Sayed G 7.30
3 Amro Tarek Amro Tarek 78' D 6.90
27 Ahmed Alaa Eldin Ahmed Alaa Eldin D 6.90
6 Khaled Stouhi Khaled Stouhi D 6.70
24 Khaled Awad Khaled Awad D 6.90
11 Karim Tarek Karim Tarek 45' M 6.20
32 Yehia Mostafa Yehia Mostafa M 6.30
14 Ali Hamdy Ali Hamdy M 6.70
8 Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola 79' M 7.30
9 Fares Hatem Fares Hatem 45' F 6.20
12 Islam Mohareb Islam Mohareb 67' F 6.90
Bench
25 Ahmed Tarek Ahmed Tarek 23' M 6.90
23 Alpha Boubacar Keita Alpha Boubacar Keita 45' D 6.90
19 Hamed Khaled El Gabry Hamed Khaled El Gabry 12' M 6.60
5 Houssem Eddine Souissi Houssem Eddine Souissi M
28 Ismail Ouro-Agoro Ismail Ouro-Agoro 45' F 6.50
21 Khaled Abo Ziada Khaled Abo Ziada F
10 Mohamed Hany Mohamed Hany 11' F 6.70
16 Mohamed Shaaban Mohamed Shaaban G
7 Ragab Omran Ragab Omran M
Best on the pitch
Mahmoud Genesh
Mahmoud Genesh
G · Al
7.90
· 21 pass
Karim El Deeb
Karim El Deeb
D · Al
7.60
· 29 pass
Mahmoud Alaa
Mahmoud Alaa
D · Al
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
M · El
7.30
· 27 pass
Ahmed Eid
Ahmed Eid
F · Al
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
Emad El-Sayed
Emad El-Sayed
G · El
7.30
· 18 pass
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mahmoud Genesh G 90 7.90 — — — 21 6% — — —
Karim El Deeb D 90 7.60 — — — 29 23% 6 1 —
Mahmoud Alaa D 90 7.50 1 — 3 34 20% 1 — —
Mostafa Ibrahim D 90 7.30 — — — 17 15% — 1 —
Khaled Abdelfattah D 90 6.90 — — — 31 21% 3 1 —
Mahmoud Emad M 63 6.90 — — — 33 24% 4 — —
Mahmoud Dunga M 78 6.60 — — — 19 15% — — —
Youssry Wahid M 62 6.70 — — 1 13 8% — — —
Isaac Saviour M 69 6.70 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
Abdel Rahman Magdi M 90 6.30 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
John Okoye Ebuka F 77 6.20 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Abdelghani Mohamed F 21 6.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
Ahmed Eid F 28 7.30 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
Mabululu F 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Mohamed Magdy Afsha M 12 6.70 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Mohamed Toni M 27 6.30 — — — 12 7% 2 — —
El Geish El Geish — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Emad El-Sayed G 90 7.30 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
Amro Tarek D 78 6.90 — — — 32 21% 2 — —
Ahmed Alaa Eldin D 90 6.90 — — 1 40 31% — — —
Khaled Stouhi D 90 6.70 — — 1 52 39% 3 — —
Khaled Awad D 90 6.90 — — 1 41 29% 1 — —
Karim Tarek M 45 6.20 — — — 4 1% 2 — —
Yehia Mostafa M 90 6.30 — — 2 30 18% 4 — —
Ali Hamdy M 90 6.70 — — — 55 43% 1 — —
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola M 79 7.30 — — — 27 22% — — —
Fares Hatem F 45 6.20 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
Islam Mohareb F 67 6.90 — — 2 23 20% 3 — —
Ahmed Tarek M 23 6.90 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Alpha Boubacar Keita D 45 6.90 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
Hamed Khaled El Gabry M 12 6.60 — — — 2 — — — —
Ismail Ouro-Agoro F 45 6.50 — — 1 9 6% — — —
Mohamed Hany F 11 6.70 — — — 5 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The final score was Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish.
What did the model predict before Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Al Ittihad win, 34% to a draw, and 28% to an El Geish win.