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Egyptian Premier League · Relegation Group - 10 May 13, 2026 19:00 Haras El-Hodod Stadium, Alexandria
Al Ittihad
#17 · 36 pts
1 – 0
Final score
El Geish
#16 · 37 pts
M. Alaa 36' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ittihad a 36% win probability (draw 34%, El Geish 28%). The final result was Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish. In 1 previous meetings, Al Ittihad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for El Geish.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.77
Actual xG
1.52
5
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
7
21
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Alaa (pen.)
36'
46'
I. Ouro-Agoro / F. Hatem ↕
46'
A. Keita / K. Tarek ↕
M. Ibrahim
56'
↕ Y. Wahid / A. Eid
62'
↕ M. Emad / M. Tony
63'
67'
A. Tarek / I. Mohareb ↕
↕ S. Isaac / A. Mohamed
69'
73'
A. Tarek
K. Abdelfattah
74'
↕ J. Ebuka / Mabululu
77'
↕ M. Dunga / Afsha
78'
78'
H. El Gabry / A. Tarek ↕
79'
M. Hany / A. Zola ↕
K. El Deeb
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.77%
Al ←
34.81%
X
28.42%
El
we assigned to the actual result (Al Ittihad) 36.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
0.96
1.77
+0.81
El
0.81
1.52
+0.71
xG dominance was balanced (1.77 – 1.52). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
8 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 13 53
9 Masr Masr 13 49
10 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 13 48
11 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 13 46
12 Petrojet Petrojet 13 45
13 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 13 38
14 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 13 38
15 Future FC Future FC 13 37
16 El Geish El Geish 13 37
17 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 13 36
18 Kahraba Ismailia Kahraba Ismailia 13 32
19 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 13 26
20 Pharco Pharco 13 25
21 Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 13 20
Lineups
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
16 Mahmoud Genesh Mahmoud Genesh G 7.90
17 Karim El Deeb Karim El Deeb D 7.60
4 Mahmoud Alaa Mahmoud Alaa 1 ⚽ D 7.50
5 Mostafa Ibrahim Mostafa Ibrahim D 7.30
2 Khaled Abdelfattah Khaled Abdelfattah D 6.90
25 Mahmoud Emad Mahmoud Emad 63' M 6.90
26 Mahmoud Dunga Mahmoud Dunga 78' M 6.60
11 Youssry Wahid Youssry Wahid 62' M 6.70
23 Isaac Saviour Isaac Saviour 69' M 6.70
27 Abdel Rahman Magdi Abdel Rahman Magdi M 6.30
18 J. Ebuka J. Ebuka 77' F 6.20
Bench
14 Abdelghani Mohamed Abdelghani Mohamed 21' F 6.90
33 Ahmed Eid Ahmed Eid 28' F 7.30
88 Ahmed Mahmoud Ahmed Mahmoud D
9 Fady Farid Fady Farid F
90
Mabululu 13' F 6.70
6 Mahmoud Shabana Mahmoud Shabana D
10 Mohamed Magdy Afsha Mohamed Magdy Afsha 12' M 6.70
13 Mohamed Toni Mohamed Toni 27' M 6.30
1 Sobhy Soliman Sobhy Soliman G
El Geish El Geish 4-4-2
18 Emad El-Sayed Emad El-Sayed G 7.30
3 Amro Tarek Amro Tarek 78' D 6.90
27 Ahmed Alaa Eldin Ahmed Alaa Eldin D 6.90
6 Khaled Stouhi Khaled Stouhi D 6.70
24 Khaled Awad Khaled Awad D 6.90
11 Karim Tarek Karim Tarek 45' M 6.20
32 Yehia Mostafa Yehia Mostafa M 6.30
14 Ali Hamdy Ali Hamdy M 6.70
8 Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola 79' M 7.30
9 Fares Hatem Fares Hatem 45' F 6.20
12 Islam Mohareb Islam Mohareb 67' F 6.90
Bench
25 Ahmed Tarek Ahmed Tarek 23' M 6.90
23 Alpha Boubacar Keita Alpha Boubacar Keita 45' D 6.90
19 Hamed Khaled El Gabry Hamed Khaled El Gabry 12' M 6.60
5 H. Souissi H. Souissi M
28 I. Ouro-Agoro I. Ouro-Agoro 45' F 6.50
21 Khaled Abo Ziada Khaled Abo Ziada F
10 Mohamed Hany Mohamed Hany 11' F 6.70
16 Mohamed Shaaban Mohamed Shaaban G
7 Ragab Omran Ragab Omran M
Best on the pitch
Mahmoud Genesh
Mahmoud Genesh
G · Al
7.90
· 21 pass
Karim El Deeb
Karim El Deeb
D · Al
7.60
· 29 pass
Mahmoud Alaa
Mahmoud Alaa
D · Al
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
M · El
7.30
· 27 pass
Ahmed Eid
Ahmed Eid
F · Al
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
Emad El-Sayed
Emad El-Sayed
G · El
7.30
· 18 pass
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mahmoud Genesh G 90 7.90 — — — 21 6% — — —
Karim El Deeb D 90 7.60 — — — 29 23% 6 1 —
Mahmoud Alaa D 90 7.50 1 — 3 34 20% 1 — —
Mostafa Ibrahim D 90 7.30 — — — 17 15% — 1 —
Khaled Abdelfattah D 90 6.90 — — — 31 21% 3 1 —
Mahmoud Emad M 63 6.90 — — — 33 24% 4 — —
Mahmoud Dunga M 78 6.60 — — — 19 15% — — —
Youssry Wahid M 62 6.70 — — 1 13 8% — — —
Isaac Saviour M 69 6.70 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
Abdel Rahman Magdi M 90 6.30 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
J. Ebuka F 77 6.20 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Abdelghani Mohamed F 21 6.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
Ahmed Eid F 28 7.30 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
Mabululu F 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Mohamed Magdy Afsha M 12 6.70 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Mohamed Toni M 27 6.30 — — — 12 7% 2 — —
El Geish El Geish — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Emad El-Sayed G 90 7.30 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
Amro Tarek D 78 6.90 — — — 32 21% 2 — —
Ahmed Alaa Eldin D 90 6.90 — — 1 40 31% — — —
Khaled Stouhi D 90 6.70 — — 1 52 39% 3 — —
Khaled Awad D 90 6.90 — — 1 41 29% 1 — —
Karim Tarek M 45 6.20 — — — 4 1% 2 — —
Yehia Mostafa M 90 6.30 — — 2 30 18% 4 — —
Ali Hamdy M 90 6.70 — — — 55 43% 1 — —
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola M 79 7.30 — — — 27 22% — — —
Fares Hatem F 45 6.20 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
Islam Mohareb F 67 6.90 — — 2 23 20% 3 — —
Ahmed Tarek M 23 6.90 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Alpha Boubacar Keita D 45 6.90 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
Hamed Khaled El Gabry M 12 6.60 — — — 2 — — — —
I. Ouro-Agoro F 45 6.50 — — 1 9 6% — — —
Mohamed Hany F 11 6.70 — — — 5 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The final score was Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish.
What did the model predict before Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Al Ittihad win, 34% to a draw, and 28% to an El Geish win.